School of Social and Political Sciences - Research Publications

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    Was Donald Trump on the money about China?
    Lynch, T (Jakarta Post Publishing, 2022)
    As US president, Donald Trump rewrote the rule book for dealing with China, breaking norms enshrined in bilateral relations since the days of Richard Nixon. Yet even Trump’s harshest critics have since warmed to his assertive, unconventional approach to Beijing, and there’s now recognition that there is no return to the China policy of old. But was this radical reshaping really down to Trump, or was it somehow inevitable given China's inexorable rise as an economic and military power? Professor of American Politics Timothy Lynch examines Trump’s China legacy with presenter Ali Moore. A podcast from Asia Institute of the University of Melbourne.
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    The prospects of great power war in the Indo-Pacific
    Lynch, TJ (Asia Institute, University of Melbourne, 2022)
    The war in Ukraine invites us to consider the prospects for conflict in Australia’s region. International relations experts Diane Hu, Tim Lynch, Robert Ross, and Michael Wesley will debate what war might look like, how far a Beijing-Moscow axis is forming, the capacity of democracies to resist aggression, and whether our regional order is being rewritten. This discussion also launches a special edition of the Melbourne Asia Review dedicated to the prospects for war and peace in the Indo-Pacific. Co-contributing editors: Tim Lynch and Robert Ross.
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    Is China a threat not because it is strong but because it is weak?
    Lynch, T (Asia Institute, University of Melbourne, 2022)
    The rise of China is central to the international relations of the Indo-Pacific. But what if that rise has been overstated? This article tests the argument that China’s weaknesses pose a greater threat to regional stability than its strengths. Using four levels of analysis – geography, ideology, economics, and diplomacy – the article assesses how far the PRC’s disadvantages at each have made its behaviour more erratic and thus more prone to conflict. The article concludes by considering the foreign policy implications of this finding for states dealing with China.