Veterinary Clinical Sciences - Research Publications

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    Using farmer observations for animal health syndromic surveillance: Participation and performance of an online enhanced passive surveillance system
    Pfeiffer, C ; Stevenson, M ; Firestone, S ; Larsen, J ; Campbell, A (ELSEVIER, 2021-03)
    The challenge of animal health surveillance is to provide the information necessary to appropriately inform disease prevention and control activities within the constraints of available resources. Syndromic surveillance of farmers' disease observations can improve animal health data capture from extensive livestock farming systems, especially where data are not otherwise being systematically collected or when data on confirmed aetiological diagnoses are unavailable at the disease level. As it is rarely feasible to recruit a truly random sample of farmers to provide observational reports, directing farmer sampling to align with the surveillance objectives is a reasonable and practical approach. As long as potential bias is recognised and managed, farmers who will report reliably can be desirable participants in a surveillance system. Thus, one early objective of a surveillance program should be to identify characteristics associated with reporting behaviour. Knowledge of the demographic and managerial characteristics of good reporters can inform efforts to recruit additional farms into the system or aid understanding of potential bias of system reports. We describe the operation of a farmer syndromic surveillance system in Victoria, Australia, over its first two years from 2014 to 2016. Survival analysis and classification and regression tree analysis were used to identify farm level factors associated with 'reliable' participation (low non-response rates in longitudinal reporting). Response rate and timeliness were not associated with whether farmers had disease to report, or with different months of the year. Farmers keeping only sheep were the most reliable and timely respondents. Farmers < 43 years of age had lower response rates than older farmers. Farmers with veterinary qualifications and those working full-time on-farm provided less timely reports than other educational backgrounds and farmers who worked part-time on-farm. These analyses provide a starting point to guide recruitment of participants for surveillance of farmers' observations using syndromic surveillance, and provide examples of strengths and weaknesses of syndromic surveillance systems for extensively-managed livestock. Once farm characteristics associated with reliable participation are known, they can be incorporated into surveillance system design in accordance with the objectives of the system.
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    Factors associated with racing performance and career duration for Victorian-born Thoroughbreds
    Flash, ML ; Crabb, HK ; Hitchens, PL ; Firestone, SM ; Stevenson, MA ; Gilkerson, JR (WILEY, 2022-01)
    The number of horses leaving the Australian Thoroughbred (TB) racing industry each year is of concern to animal welfare advocates, public and regulators. A horse's previous athletic performance is a significant driver of retirement from racing. Racehorse performance can be measured in terms of the total number of starts, duration of racing and prize money earned. This study investigated Australian racing records for the 2005 and 2010 Victorian TB foal crops to identify factors associated with total number of starts, racing career duration, prize money earned and age of last race start-up to the 10-year-old racing season. Racing Australia registered 4,577 TB horses born in Victoria in 2005 (n = 2,506) and 2010 (n = 2,071) that raced in Australia. Horses that started racing at 2-years of age had fewer race starts in their first racing season but an increased total number of starts, prize money and duration of racing. The median age of last start (LS) was five (Q1 4; Q3 7) years. Horses that had won a race, had a maximum handicap rating of 61 or above and those racing over distances of more than 2,400 m had an increased racing career duration and an age of last race start greater than 6-years of age. Horses participating in jumps races (n = 63) had the longest careers and older age of LS. These horses were more likely to have had a handicap rating over 80 and were just as likely to start their racing careers as 2-years-olds.
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    Participation of Victorian Thoroughbreds in the racing industry: a whole-of-population benchmark
    Flash, ML ; Crabb, HK ; Hitchens, PL ; Firestone, SM ; Stevenson, MA ; Gilkerson, JR (Wiley Online Library, 2021)
    The proportion of Thoroughbred (TB) horses that commence training and eventually race, is an important industry-level indicator of how successful it is at producing horses suitable for racing. It is also of interest to the wider community and is central to the issue of whether there is overbreeding in the Australian TB industry. This study investigated the training and racing records for the 2005 and 2010 Victorian TB foal crops to determine the proportion of TBs that train and race, and the age of entering training and first race start. Subsets of the foal crop were also examined to determine if premier yearling sale cohorts would produce selection bias. The Australian Stud Book (ASB) registered 7662 TB horses born in Victoria in 2005 (n = 4116) and 2010 (n = 3546). Of these, 5614 (73%) entered training and 4868 (64%) started in at least one race. Fourteen percent (n = 1045) of the study cohort had their first race start as 2-year-olds and 35% (n = 2644) had their first start as 3-year-olds. A higher proportion of TB horses that attended premier yearling sales entered training (93%) and raced (84%). This study established a baseline for training and racing milestones, such as the proportion and age that horses commenced training, and age of first start using population-level data. It also established that the use of subsets of the population can introduce selection bias.