Centre for Youth Mental Health - Research Publications

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    Deviations From Normative Age-Brain Associations in Over 3,000 Individuals With Major Depressive Disorder
    Schmaal, L ; Han, L ; Bayer, J ; Marquand, A ; Dinga, R ; Cole, J ; Hahn, T ; Penninx, B ; Veltman, D ; Thompson, P (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, 2019-05-15)
    Background: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a complex heterogeneous disorder. Identifying brain alterations as indi- vidual deviations from normative patterns of brain-age asso- ciations, instead of patient group mean differences, can provide important insights into heterogeneous patterns of brain abnormalities observed in MDD. Methods: We estimated normative models of (1) age pre- dicting individual structural brain measures, and (2) structural brain measures predicting age (Brain Age model) using ma- chine learning in healthy individuals (N¼2,515) from the ENIGMA MDD consortium. We applied model parameters to independent samples of healthy individuals (N¼2,513) and MDD patients (N¼3,433) to obtain predicted values of brain structure (model 1) and age (model 2). Z-scores quantifying differences between predictive and true values were calcu- lated, representing individual deviations from the normative range. Results: The estimated normative models showed good model fit in the training sample; e.g. a correlation of R¼0.86 between actual and predicted age for the Brain Age Model, and good generalization to independent healthy and MDD samples. We identified heterogeneous patterns of brain deviations in MDD patients (model 1). Patients with more extreme deviations showed different clinical characteristics compared to patients residing within the normative range. Additionally, patients were estimated on average w1 year older than controls (model 2), but we also observed large between-person variation in brain age gaps. Further ana- lyses showed associations between brain age gap and clinical symptoms. Conclusions: Our work shows substantial heterogeneity in deviations from normal age-related variation in brain structure in individuals with MDD. The impact of and solutions for con- founding effects of scan site will also be discussed.