School of Earth Sciences - Research Publications
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ItemNo Preview AvailableToward an understanding of vertical momentum transports in cloud-system-resolving model simulations of multiscale tropical convection(American Meteorological Society, 2013-10-24)This study examines the characteristics of convective momentum transport (CMT) and gravity wave momentum transport (GWMT) in two-dimensional cloud-system-resolving model simulations, including the relationships between the two transports. A linear group velocity criterion is shown to objectively separate CMT and GWMT. TheGWMTcontribution is mostly consistent with upward-propagating gravity waves and is present in the troposphere and the stratosphere. The CMT contribution forms a large part of the residual (nonupward-propagating contribution) and dominates the fluxes in the troposphere. Additional analysis of the vertical sensible heat flux supports the physical interpretation of the two contributions, further isolating the effects of unstable convection from vertically propagating gravity waves. The role of transient and nonconservative (friction and diabatic heating) processes in generating momentum flux and their dependence on changes in convective organization was assessed using a pseudomomentum budget analysis. Nonconservative effects were found to dominate the transports; the GWMT contribution involved a diabatic source region in the troposphere and a dissipative sink region in the stratosphere. The CMT contribution was consistent with transport between the boundary layer and free troposphere via tilted convection. Transient buoyancy-vorticity correlations highlighted wave sources in the region of convective outflow and the boundary layer. These sources were akin to the previously described ''mechanical oscillator'' mechanism. Fluxes associated with this upper-level source were most sensitive to convective organization, highlighting the mechanism by which changes in organization are communicated to GWMT. The results elucidate important interactions between CMT and GWMT, adding further weight to suggestions that the two transports should be linked in parameterizations.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableThe meteorology of Black Saturday(Royal Meteorological Society, 2012)The meteorological conditions are investigated over the state of Victoria, Australia on 7 February 2009, the day of the 'Black Saturday' fires. Daytime temperatures exceeding 45°C, strong surface winds and extremely dry conditions combined to produce the worst fire weather conditions on record. A high-resolution nested simulation with the UK Met Office Unified Model and available observations are used to identify the important mesoscale features of the day. The highest resolution domain has horizontal grid spacing of 444 m and reproduces most aspects of the observed meteorological conditions. These include organized horizontal convective rolls, a strong late-afternoon cool change with many of the characteristics of an unsteady gravity current, a weaker late-evening cold front and propagating nocturnal bores. These mesoscale phenomena introduce variability in the winds, temperature and humidity at short temporal and spatial scales, which in turn lead to large spatial and temporal variability in fire danger.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableThe generation of near-cloud turbulence in idealized simulations(American Meteorological Society, 2014-01-01)This study explores the generation of turbulence in the upper outflow regions of simulated idealized mesoscale convective systems. The simulated storms are shown to generate parameterized turbulence that occurs significant distances (>100 km) from the main convective regions, in both the clear air surrounding the convection and low simulated reflectivity regions with cloud ice but negligible amounts of graupel and snow. The source of the turbulence is related to Kelvin-Helmholtz instabilities that occur in the shear zones above and below the storm-induced upper-level outflow jet that is centered near the tropopause; the model produces resolved-scale billows within regions of low gradient Richardson number. Short-scale gravity waves are also coincident with the regions of turbulence, become trapped within the jet core, and appear to be generated by the shear instability. Additional experiments with different initial upper-level wind shear show similar mechanisms to those simulations with no initial upper-level shear. These results help elucidate the dynamics of turbulence generation near convection, which has important implications for the aviation industry and the fundamental understanding of how convective clouds interact with their environment.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableStatistical assessment of tropical convection-permitting model simulations using a cell-tracking algorithm(American Meteorological Society, 2013-02)This study presents a method for comparing convection-permitting model simulations to radar observations using an innovative object-based approach. The method uses the automated cell-tracking algorithm, Thunderstorm Identification Tracking Analysis and Nowcasting (TITAN), to identify individual convective cells and determine their properties. Cell properties are identified in the same way for model and radar data, facilitating comparison of their statistical distributions. The method is applied to simulations of tropical convection during the Tropical Warm Pool-International Cloud Experiment (TWP-ICE) using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model, and compared to data from a ground-based radar. Simulations with different microphysics and model resolution are also conducted. Among other things, the comparisons between the model and the radar elucidate model errors in the depth and size of convective cells. On average, simulated convective cells reached higher altitudes than the observations. Also, when using a low reflectivity (25 dBZ) threshold to define convective cells, the model underestimates the size of the largest cells in the observed population. Some of these differences are alleviated with a change of microphysics scheme and higher model resolution, demonstrating the utility of this method for assessing model changes.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableRecent Advances in the Understanding of Near-Cloud Turbulence(American Meteorological Society, 2012)Anyone who has flown in a commercial aircraft is familiar with turbulence. Unexpected encounters with turbulence pose a safety risk to airline passengers and crew, can occasionally damage aircraft, and indirectly increase the cost of air travel. Deep convective clouds are one of the most important sources of turbulence. Cloud-induced turbulence can occur both within clouds and in the surrounding clear air. Turbulence associated with but outside of clouds is of particular concern because it is more difficult to discern using standard hazard identification technologies (e.g., satellite and radar) and thus is often the source of unexpected turbulence encounters. Although operational guidelines for avoiding near-cloud turbulence exist, they are in many ways inadequate because they were developed before the governing dynamical processes were understood. Recently, there have been significant advances in the understanding of the dynamics of near-cloud turbulence. Using examples, this article demonstrates how these advances have stemmed from improved turbulence observing and reporting systems, the establishment of archives of turbulence encounters, detailed case studies, and high-resolution numerical simulations. Some of the important phenomena that have recently been identified as contributing to near-cloud turbulence include atmospheric wave breaking, unstable upper-level thunderstorm outflows, shearing instabilities, and cirrus cloud bands. The consequences of these phenomena for developing new en route turbulence avoidance guidelines and forecasting methods are discussed, along with outstanding research questions.
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ItemOn the identification of the large-scale properties of tropical convection using cloud regimes(American Meteorological Society, 2013-09)The use of cloud regimes in identifying tropical convection and the associated large-scale atmospheric properties is investigated. The regimes are derived by applying cluster analysis to satellite retrievals of daytime-averaged frequency distributions of cloud-top pressure and optical thickness within grids of 280km by 280km resolution from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project between 1983 and 2008. An investigation of atmospheric state variables as a function of cloud regime reveals that the regimes are useful indicators of the archetypal states of the tropical atmosphere ranging from a strongly convecting regime with large stratiform cloudiness to strongly suppressed conditions showing a large coverage with stratocumulus clouds. The convectively active regimes are shown to be moist and unstable with large-scale ascending motion, while convectively suppressed regimes are dry and stable with large-scale descending winds. Importantly, the cloud regimes also represent several transitional states. In particular, the cloud regime approach allows for the identification of the "building blocks" of tropical convection, namely, the regimes dominated by stratiform, deep, and congestus convection. The availability of the daily distribution of these building blocks for more than 20 years opens new avenues for the diagnosis of convective behavior as well as the evaluation of the representation of convection in global and regional models.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableMesoscale modelling of two 'drying events': Governing processes and implications for fire danger(Australian Bureau of Meteorology, 2012-12-01)This study uses mesoscale modelling to examine the processes underlying two 'drying events' and their implications for fire danger. Both events occurred in Gippsland, Victoria, Australia, in the lee of the Great Dividing Range, and the role of terrain-induced flows in causing the events is one underlying focus. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used in a nested configuration; the highest resolution domain has horizontal grid spacing equal to 1.5 km. The WRF model simulations identify that the first event (29 December 2001) is caused by a regime transition from blocked to unblocked flow, with the cross-mountain flow bringing warmer and drier conditions. The second event (29 May 2007) is related to enhanced downslope flow. Simulations of both events also elucidate important mesoscale processes, namely 'streamers' and lee waves, that cause significant perturbations in the fire danger in the lee of the mountains.
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ItemIntensity of thunderstorm-generated turbulence revealed by large-eddy simulation(American Geophysical Union, 2014-03-28)Thunderstorms are characterized by turbulent processes that constitute an important aviation hazard and cause vertical transport of atmospheric constituents. Turbulence occurs within cloud and in the surrounding clear air, but, despite its importance, the characteristics of thunderstorm-generated turbulence and its spatial distribution are poorly understood, especially outside of cloud. Here we use large-eddy simulation to characterize turbulence generated by a canonical thunderstorm. The simulation identifies regions of notable three-dimensional anisotropic turbulence more than 5 km above the storm, in a shallow layer above the storm's anvil, and a horizontally asymmetric pattern of weaker turbulence that extends more than 50 km horizontally away from the cloud. Our results provide the first continuous estimate of turbulence intensity in and around thunderstorms and represent a major step toward improved turbulence avoidance methods. The results have broader implications for understanding the fundamental aspects of how thunderstorms affect their environment through vertical exchange processes.
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ItemGround-based observations of overshooting convection during the tropical warm pool-international cloud experiment(American Meteorological Society, 2014-01-27)This study uses gridded radar data to investigate the properties of deep convective storms that penetrate the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) and overshoot the cold-point tropopause during the Tropical Warm Pool-International Cloud Experiment (TWP-ICE). Overshooting convection during the observed break period is relatively more intense and exhibits lesser diurnal variability than severe monsoonal storms in terms of mean overshooting area in the TTL (as covered by >20 dBZ echoes). However, ground-based radar has geometrical constraints and sampling gaps at high altitude that lead to biases in the final radar product. Using synthetic observations derived from model-based data, ground-based radar is shown to underestimate the mean overshooting area in the TTL across both TWP-ICE regimes. Differences range from ∼180 km2(∼100 km2) to ∼14 km2(∼8 km2) between 14 and 18 km for the active (break) period. This implies that the radar is underestimating the transport of water and ice mass into the TTL by convective overshoots during TWP-ICE. The synthetic data is also used to correct profiles of the mean observed overshooting area. These are shown to differ only marginally between the two sampled regimes once the influence of a large mesoscale convective system, considered as a departure from normal monsoon behavior, was removed from the statistics. The results of our study provide a useful cross-validation comparison for satellite-based detections of overshooting top areas over Darwin, Australia.
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ItemGravity waves generated by convection during TWP-ICE: 2. High-frequency gravity waves(American Geophysical Union, 2014-05-16)High-frequency gravity waves are analyzed using radiosonde soundings taken during the Tropical Warm Pool-International Cloud Experiment (TWP-ICE). The intrinsic periods of these waves are estimated to be between 10 and 50 min. The high-frequency wave activity in the stratosphere, defined by mass-weighted variance of the vertical motion of the sonde, has a maximum following the afternoon local convection indicating that these waves are generated by local convection. The wave activity is the strongest in the lower stratosphere below 22 km and, during the suppressed monsoon period, is modulated with a 3-4 day period. The concentration of the wave activity in the lower stratosphere is consistent with the properties of the environment in which these waves propagate, whereas its 3-4 day modulation is explained by the variation of the convection activity in the TWP-ICE domain. For shallow convection, the wave activity has a weak tendency to increase as the rainfall intensity increases. The wave activity associated with deep convection, which typically occurs at high rainfall intensities, is larger and has more spread than that associated with shallow convection.