- School of Earth Sciences - Research Publications
School of Earth Sciences - Research Publications
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ItemNo Preview AvailableSouthern Australia's warmest October on record: The role of ENSO and climate changeBlack, MT ; Karoly, DJ (American Meteorological Society, 2016-12-01)Anthropogenic climate change was found to have a substantial influence on southern Australia’s extreme heat in October 2015. The relative influence of El Niño conditions was less clear.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableThe weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New ZealandBlack, MT ; Karoly, DJ ; Rosier, SM ; Dean, SM ; King, AD ; Massey, NR ; Sparrow, SN ; Bowery, A ; Wallom, D ; Jones, RG ; Otto, FEL ; Allen, MR (COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH, 2016-09-15)Abstract. A new climate modelling project has been developed for regional climate simulation and the attribution of weather and climate extremes over Australia and New Zealand. The project, known as weather@home Australia–New Zealand, uses public volunteers' home computers to run a moderate-resolution global atmospheric model with a nested regional model over the Australasian region. By harnessing the aggregated computing power of home computers, weather@home is able to generate an unprecedented number of simulations of possible weather under various climate scenarios. This combination of large ensemble sizes with high spatial resolution allows extreme events to be examined with well-constrained estimates of sampling uncertainty. This paper provides an overview of the weather@home Australia–New Zealand project, including initial evaluation of the regional model performance. The model is seen to be capable of resolving many climate features that are important for the Australian and New Zealand regions, including the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on driving natural climate variability. To date, 75 model simulations of the historical climate have been successfully integrated over the period 1985–2014 in a time-slice manner. In addition, multi-thousand member ensembles have also been generated for the years 2013, 2014 and 2015 under climate scenarios with and without the effect of human influences. All data generated by the project are freely available to the broader research community.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableTHE ROLES OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND EL NINO IN THE RECORD LOW RAINFALL IN OCTOBER 2015 IN TASMANIA, AUSTRALIAKaroly, DJ ; Black, MT ; Grose, MR ; King, AD (AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC, 2016-12)
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ItemNo Preview AvailableTHE CONTRIBUTION OF ANTHROPOGENIC FORCING TO THE ADELAIDE AND MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA, HEAT WAVES OF JANUARY 2014Black, MT ; Karoly, DJ ; King, AD (AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC, 2015-12)
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ItemNo Preview AvailableLimited evidence of anthropogenic influence on the 2011-12 Extreme Rainfall over Southeast AustraliaKing, AD ; Lewis, SC ; Perkins, SE ; Alexander, LV ; Donat, MG ; Karoly, DJ ; Black, MT ( 2013-09-01)
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ItemNo Preview AvailableINCREASED LIKELIHOOD OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, G20 HEAT EVENT DUE TO ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGEKing, AD ; Black, MT ; Karoly, DJ ; Donat, MG (AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC, 2015-12)
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ItemNo Preview AvailableATTRIBUTION OF EXCEPTIONAL MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ANOMALIES SOUTH OF AUSTRALIA IN AUGUST 2014Grose, MR ; Black, MT ; Risbey, JS ; Karoly, DJ (AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC, 2015-12)