Economics - Research Publications

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    The dragon Down Under: the regional labour market impact of growth in Chinese imports to Australia
    Coelli, M ; Maccarrone, J ; Borland, J (ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2023-11-02)
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    Is It 'Dog Days' for the Young in the Australian Labour Market?
    Borland, J ; Coelli, M (WILEY, 2021-12)
    Abstract From 2008–2019 there was a substantial deterioration in employment outcomes for the young (aged 15–24 years) in Australia. Their employment/population rate decreased by 4.3 percentage points, whereas for those aged 25 years and above it increased by 1 percentage point. We argue that the major cause was the young being ‘crowded out’ from employment due to an increase in labour market competition. Adjustment to increased competition also meant they were more likely to: be employed part‐time or long‐term unemployed; start their work careers in lower‐quality jobs; and need to compete for jobs through activities such as unpaid internships.
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    The Impact of Growth in Manufactured Imports from China on Employment in Australia*
    Blanco, A ; Borland, J ; Coelli, M ; Maccarrone, J (WILEY, 2021-06)
    We examine how rapid growth in imports of manufactured goods from China affected employment in Australia from 1991 to 2006. Alternative sources of variation in Chinese import exposure (at industry level and between local labour markets) are used to identify the effect on employment. Growth in imports from China is estimated to have reduced manufacturing employment by around 53,200 to 78,900 workers, representing 5.3 to 7.5 per cent of that workforce in 1991. Largest impacts are found for manufacturing industries most exposed to import competition from China; and from 2001 to 2006 when import growth was strongest.