Economics - Research Publications
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ItemDividend and Capital Injection Optimization with Transaction Cost for Levy Risk Processes(SPRINGER/PLENUM PUBLISHERS, 2022-09)Abstract The optimal dividends problem has remained an active research field for decades. For an insurance company with reserve modelled by a spectrally negative Lévy process having finite first-order moment, we study the optimalimpulse dividend and capital injection(IDCI) strategy for maximizing the expected accumulated discounted net dividend payment subtracted by the accumulated discounted cost of injecting capital. In this setting, the beneficiary of the dividends injects capital to ensure a non-negative risk process so that the insurer never goes bankrupt. The optimal IDCI strategy together with its value function is obtained. Besides, two numerical examples are provided to illustrate the features of the optimal strategies. The impacts of model parameters are also studied.
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ItemDiscrete-Time Risk Models with Claim Correlated Premiums in a Markovian Environment(MDPI, 2021-01-01)In this paper we consider a discrete-time risk model, which allows the premium to be adjusted according to claims experience. This model is inspired by the well-known bonusmalus system in the non-life insurance industry. Two strategies of adjusting periodic premiums are considered: aggregate claims or claim frequency. Recursive formulae are derived to compute the finite-time ruin probabilities, and Lundberg-type upper bounds are also derived to evaluate the ultimate-time ruin probabilities. In addition, we extend the risk model by considering an external Markovian environment in which the claims distributions are governed by an external Markov process so that the periodic premium adjustments vary when the external environment state changes. We then study the joint distribution of premium level and environment state at ruin given ruin occurs. Two numerical examples are provided at the end of this paper to illustrate the impact of the initial external environment state, the initial premium level and the initial surplus on the ruin probability.
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ItemOn the Type I multivariate zero-truncated hurdle model with applications in health insurance(Elsevier, 2020-01-01)In the general insurance modeling literature, there has been a lot of work based on univariate zero-truncated models, but little has been done in the multivariate zero-truncation cases, for instance a line of insurance business with various classes of policies. There are three types of zero-truncation in the multivariate setting: only records with all zeros are missing, zero counts for one or some classes are missing, or zeros are completely missing for all classes. In this paper, we focus on the first case, the so-called Type I zero-truncation, and a new multivariate zero-truncated hurdle model is developed to study it. The key idea of developing such a model is to identify a stochastic representation for the underlying random variables, which enables us to use the EM algorithm to simplify the estimation procedure. This model is used to analyze a health insurance claims dataset that contains claim counts from different categories of claims without common zero observations.
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ItemOptimal implementation delay of taxation with trade-off for spectrally negative Lévy risk processes(Springer Verlag, 2021)In this paper we consider two cases of optimal implementation delay of taxation with trade-off under spectrally negative Lévy insurance risk processes. In the first case, we assume that the insurance company starts to pay tax only when its surplus level reaches a certain level, and at the termination time of the business there is a terminal value incurred to the company. A method is developed to determine the optimal starting-tax surplus level at which the total expected discounted value of all tax payments up to the termination time plus the discounted terminal value is maximized. In the second case, the company still pays tax subject to a starting-tax surplus level, but with capital injections to prevent bankruptcy. The total expected discounted value of tax payments minus the total discounted capital injection costs is maximized to determine the optimal starting-tax surplus level. Numerical examples are given at the end to illustrate the existence of positive optimal starting-tax surplus levels for both cases considered in this paper.