Finance - Theses

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    Essays on Political Economy of Finance
    Zhou, Yifan ( 2021)
    This thesis explores mechanisms that connect firms to politicians, as well as new channels through which firms benefit from being politically connected, under different ecopolitical environments. It contains three essays examining various aspects of finance at its intersection with political science. The first essay exploits Donald Trump’s nonpolitical background and surprise election victory to identify the value of sudden presidential ties among S&P 500 firms. In our setting firms did not choose to become politically connected, so we identify treatment effects comparatively free of selection bias prevalent in this literature. Firms with presidential ties enjoyed greater abnormal returns around the 2016 election. Since Trump’s inauguration, connected firms had better performance, received more government contracts, and were less subject to unfavorable regulatory actions. We rule out a number of confounding factors, including industry designation, sensitivity to Republican platforms, campaign finance, and lobbying expenditures. The second essay finds that borrowers from the same state as the Chairman of the US Senate Banking Committee, whom I term "connected", are able to borrow at spreads 14 basis points lower than other borrowers. Connected borrowers’ contributions toward the Chairman are influenced by their cost of loans, but the same is not true for nonconnected borrowers. Findings suggest the Chairman is incentivized by reelection to actively help connected borrowers obtain cheaper loans. Banks that offer a larger fraction of connected loans enjoy higher future excess stock returns. Results are consistent with the existence of a quid pro quo relationship triangle between firms, banks, and politicians. The third essay examines how changes in local political leadership affect firms’ gover- nance structures. Using a novel dataset, I document that following the appointment of a new city-level Chinese Communist Party (CCP) secretary, local firms increase (decrease) the fraction of directors who share a common birthplace with the incoming (departing) secretary. This appears to be a channel through which Chinese firms establish political connections. Firms with a higher percentage of birthplace-connected directors exhibit higher abnormal returns around secretary appointments. These firms enjoy superior accounting performances and attract institutional fund flows. I reject an alternative hypothesis that these directors are appointed to company boards on the "orders" of the politician, rather than actively recruited by firms.