Medicine (St Vincent's) - Research Publications

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    A systematic review of the epidemiology, disease characteristics and management of systemic sclerosis in Australian adults
    Morrisroe, K ; Stevens, W ; Proudman, S ; Nikpour, M (WILEY, 2017-11)
    OBJECTIVE: Australia has one of the highest prevalence rates of systemic sclerosis (SSc) worldwide. In order to highlight management deficiencies and key areas for further research, it is essential to understand its local epidemiological patterns, natural history, prognosis and mortality trends over time. METHODS: To identify Australian SSc-specific information through a systematic review focusing on areas of epidemiology, disease characteristics, treatment, functional ability, disease burden and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). RESULTS: MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched on 14 September, 2016. All original full text articles on SSc in Australia were included. Of the 54 articles included in this review, the majority of studies recruited from South Australia, Victoria and New South Wales. The prevalence of SSc in Australia is increasing and is similar among the general population and the Aboriginal population. Despite improvements in care over the last three decades, morbidity and mortality remain high, with an overall standardized mortality ratio of 3.4 and a 10-year survival of 84% in a newly diagnosed patient. Cardiorespiratory manifestations are the leading cause of SSc-related death. Malignancy is the leading cause of non-SSc-related death. The role of autoantibodies in predicting disease subtype, visceral involvement and their use as a prognostic marker is becoming increasingly recognized. CONCLUSION: Information on SSc in Australia, particularly unmet healthcare needs, HRQoL and economic burden, is limited. As a heterogenous condition, SSc requires a multi-disciplinary approach to care. Research aimed at quantifying HRQoL and burden of disease in Australia is essential for advocacy and resource allocation.
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    Early Mortality in a Multinational Systemic Sclerosis Inception Cohort
    Hao, Y ; Hudson, M ; Baron, M ; Carreira, P ; Stevens, W ; Rabusa, C ; Tatibouet, S ; Carmona, L ; Joven, BE ; Huq, M ; Proudman, S ; Nikpour, M (WILEY, 2017-05)
    OBJECTIVE: To determine mortality and causes of death in a multinational inception cohort of subjects with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: We quantified mortality as standardized mortality ratio (SMR), years of life lost, and percentage mortality in the first decade of disease. The inception cohort comprised subjects recruited within 4 years of disease onset. For comparison, we used a prevalent cohort, which included all subjects irrespective of disease duration at recruitment. We determined a single primary cause of death (SSc related or non-SSc related) using a standardized case report form, and we evaluated predictors of mortality using multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: In the inception cohort of 1,070 subjects, there were 140 deaths (13%) over a median follow-up of 3.0 years (interquartile range 1.0-5.1 years), with a pooled SMR of 4.06 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 3.39-4.85), up to 22.4 years of life lost in women and up to 26.0 years of life lost in men, and mortality in the diffuse disease subtype of 24.2% at 8 years. In the prevalent cohort of 3,218 subjects, the pooled SMR was lower at 3.39 (95% CI 3.06-3.71). In the inception cohort, 62.1% of the primary causes of death were SSc related. Malignancy, sepsis, cerebrovascular disease, and ischemic heart disease were the most common non-SSc-related causes of death. Predictors of early mortality included male sex, older age at disease onset, diffuse disease subtype, pulmonary arterial hypertension, and renal crisis. CONCLUSION: Early mortality in SSc is substantial, and prevalent cohorts underestimate mortality in SSc by failing to capture early deaths, particularly in men and those with diffuse disease.
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    Long-term efficacy and tolerability of mycophenolate mofetil therapy in diffuse scleroderma skin disease
    Boulos, D ; Ngian, G-S ; Rajadurai, A ; Elford, K ; Stevens, W ; Proudman, S ; Owen, C ; Roddy, J ; Nikpour, M ; Youssef, P ; Hill, C ; Sahhar, J (WILEY, 2017-04)
    OBJECTIVES: To assess the long-term efficacy and tolerability of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc). METHODS: Patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort study with dcSSc and baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥ 12 who were treated for a minimum of 12 months with MMF for the primary indication of skin disease were included and their prospectively collected data retrieved. Change in mRSS, the proportion with a clinically significant improvement (reduction in mRSS ≥ 5 from baseline) and adverse effects due to therapy were determined. RESULTS: Seventy-four participants treated with MMF were identified and of these, 42 met inclusion criteria. The mean age was 53 ± 12 years, with mean disease duration at MMF commencement of 4.8 ± 4.3 years. Twenty-one participants (50%) commenced MMF within 2 years of disease onset and the mean duration of therapy was 2.7 ± 1.7 years. The mean mRSS at baseline was 25.9 ± 9.2 with a reduction of 3.7 ± 7.1 (P = 0.07) after 1 year of therapy, 7.6 ± 8.3 after 2 years (P = 0.01) and 10.5 ± 10.3 after 5 years (P < 0.01). Response to treatment was not affected by disease duration at MMF commencement or baseline skin score. Eighteen participants (43%) demonstrated clinically significant improvement after 1 year, increasing to 92% after 4 years. Two participants (5%) ceased MMF due to adverse effects. CONCLUSION: MMF was associated with a modest improvement in mRSS and was well tolerated in the treatment of dcSSc. Given the natural history of dcSSc where skin involvement can spontaneously improve, randomized, placebo-controlled studies are required to confirm whether improvement can be attributed to MMF therapy.
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    Cost savings with a novel algorithm for early detection of systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension: alternative scenario analyses
    Quinlivan, A ; Proudman, S ; Sahhar, J ; Stevens, W ; Nikpour, M (WILEY, 2019-06)
    Pulmonary arterial hypertension is an important cause of death and disability in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Yearly screening of all SSc patients with transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) is recommended in international guidelines and currently utilised by the Australian Scleroderma Interest Group (ASIGSTANDARD ). Owing to the limitations of TTE, the ASIG developed a new screening algorithm (ASIGPROPOSED ) utilising a serum biomarker, NT-proBNP, in place of TTE, which has been shown to be equally accurate as the current algorithm. The aim of this study was to compare the cost of these two algorithms using different scenarios. The new algorithm resulted in significant yearly cost savings of between AU$42 913.35 and AU$84 570 in screening and diagnosis of an Australian cohort which, if extrapolated to the Australian population, would result in a yearly cost saving of between AU$367 066 and AU$725 564. There was no scenario in which the proposed algorithm did not result in a cost saving.
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    Lymphocytic thrombophilic arteritis complicated by systemic involvement
    Wee, E ; Nikpour, M ; Balta, S ; Williams, RA ; Kelly, RI (WILEY, 2018-08)
    Lymphocytic thrombophilic arteritis (LTA) is a recently described entity defined by primary lymphocytic vasculitis; it typically has a chronic indolent course. We describe a patient who presented with clinical and histological findings consistent with LTA and later developed bilateral focal testicular infarcts as well as an acute median nerve neuropathy.
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    Development of the Asia Pacific Lupus Collaboration cohort
    Kandane-Rathnayake, R ; Golder, V ; Louthrenoo, W ; Luo, S-F ; Wu, Y-JJ ; Li, Z ; An, Y ; Lateef, A ; Sockalingam, S ; Navarra, SV ; Zamora, L ; Hamijoyo, L ; Katsumata, Y ; Harigai, M ; Chan, M ; O'Neill, S ; Goldblatt, F ; Hao, Y ; Zhang, Z ; Al-Saleh, J ; Khamashta, M ; Takeuchi, T ; Tanaka, Y ; Bae, S-C ; Lau, CS ; Hoi, A ; Nikpour, M ; Morand, EF (WILEY, 2019-03)
    AIM: The aim of this manuscript is to describe the development of the Asia Pacific Lupus Collaboration (APLC) cohort. METHOD: The APLC cohort is an ongoing, prospective longitudinal cohort. Adult patients who meet either the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) Modified Classification Criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), or the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) Classification Criteria, and provide informed consent are recruited into the cohort. Patients are routinely followed up at 3- to 6-monthly intervals. Information on demographics, clinical manifestations, treatment, pathology results, outcomes, and patient-reported quality of life (Short-form 36 version 2) are collected using a standardized case report form. Each site is responsible for obtaining local ethics and governance approval, patient recruitment, data collection, and data transfer into a centralized APLC database. RESULTS: The latest APLC cohort comprises 2160 patients with >12 000 visits from Australia, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand. The APLC has proposed the Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) as a treat-to-target (T2T) endpoint, and reported several retrospective and cross-sectional analyses consistent with the validity of LLDAS. Longitudinal validation of LLDAS as a T2T endpoint is currently underway. CONCLUSION: The APLC cohort is one of the largest contemporary SLE patient cohorts in the world. It is the only cohort with substantial representation of Asian patients. This cohort represents a unique resource for future clinical research including evaluation of other endpoints and quality of care.
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    Rituximab treatment in primary angiitis of the central nervous system
    Patel, S ; Ross, L ; Oon, S ; Nikpour, M (WILEY, 2018-06)
    Primary angiitis of the central nervous system (PACNS) is a rare autoimmune vasculitis affecting the brain and spinal cord. Treatment with biological agents has revolutionised the treatment of many rheumatic conditions but there is scant literature regarding the use of biological agents in PACNS. We present three cases of PACNS treated with rituximab, including two cases of relapsed disease, and a literature review suggesting a role for rituximab in this condition.
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    EVOLVE: The Australian Rheumatology Association's "top five' list of investigations and interventions doctors and patients should question
    Morrisroe, K ; Nakayama, A ; Soon, J ; Arnold, M ; Barnsley, L ; Barrett, C ; Brooks, PM ; Hall, S ; Hanrahan, P ; Hissaria, P ; Jones, G ; Katikireddi, VS ; Keen, H ; Laurent, R ; Nikpour, M ; Poulsen, K ; Robinson, P ; Soden, M ; Wood, N ; Cook, N ; Hill, C ; Buchbinder, R (WILEY, 2018-02)
    BACKGROUND: The EVOLVE (evaluating evidence, enhancing efficiencies) initiative aims to drive safer, higher-quality patient care through identifying and reducing low-value practices. AIMS: To determine the Australian Rheumatology Association's (ARA) 'top five' list of low-value practices. METHODS: A working group comprising 19 rheumatologists and three trainees compiled a preliminary list. Items were retained if there was strong evidence of low value and there was high or increasing clinical use and/or increasing cost. All ARA members (356 rheumatologists and 72 trainees) were invited to indicate their 'top five' list from a list of 12-items through SurveyMonkey in December 2015 (reminder February 2016). RESULTS: A total of 179 rheumatologists (50.3%) and 19 trainees (26.4%) responded. The top five list (percentage of rheumatologists, including item in their top five list) was: Do not perform arthroscopy with lavage and/or debridement for symptomatic osteoarthritis of the knee nor partial meniscectomy for a degenerate meniscal tear (73.2%); Do not order anti-nuclear antibody (ANA) testing without symptoms and/or signs suggestive of a systemic rheumatic disease (56.4%); Do not undertake imaging for low back pain for patients without indications of an underlying serious condition (50.8%); Do not use ultrasound guidance to perform injections into the subacromial space as it provides no additional benefit in comparison to landmark-guided injection (50.3%) and Do not order anti-double-stranded DNA antibodies in ANA negative patients unless the clinical suspicion of systemic lupus erythematosus remains high (45.3%). CONCLUSIONS: This list is intended to increase awareness among rheumatologists, other clinicians and patients about commonly used low-value practices that should be questioned.
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    The Assessment of Disease Activity in Rheumatic Diseases
    Arayssi, T ; Touma, Z ; Nikpour, M ; Ghandour, L (HINDAWI LTD, 2013)
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    N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in a novel screening algorithm for pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis: a case-control study
    Thakkar, V ; Stevens, WM ; Prior, D ; Moore, OA ; Byron, J ; Liew, D ; Patterson, K ; Hissaria, P ; Roddy, J ; Zochling, J ; Sahhar, J ; Nash, P ; Tymms, K ; Celermajer, D ; Gabbay, E ; Youssef, P ; Proudman, SM ; Nikpour, M (BMC, 2012)
    INTRODUCTION: Pulmonary arterial hypertension is a major cause of mortality in systemic sclerosis. N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has emerged as a candidate biomarker that may enable the early detection of systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH). The objective of our study was to incorporate NT-proBNP into a screening algorithm for SSc-PAH that could potentially replace transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) as a more convenient and less costly "first tier" test. METHODS: NT-proBNP levels were measured in patients from four clinical groups: a group with right heart catheter (RHC)-diagnosed SSc-PAH before commencement of therapy for PAH; a group at high risk of SSc-PAH based on TTE; a group with interstitial lung disease; and systemic sclerosis (SSc) controls with no cardiopulmonary complications. NT-proBNP levels were compared by using ANOVA and correlated with other clinical variables by using simple and multiple linear regression. ROC curve analyses were performed to determine the optimal cut point for NT-proBNP and other clinical variables in prediction of PAH. RESULTS: NT-proBNP was highest in the PAH group compared with other groups (P < 0.0001), and higher in the risk group compared with controls (P < 0.0001). NT-proBNP was positively correlated with systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) on TTE (P < 0.0001), and mean PAP (P = 0.013), pulmonary vascular resistance (P = 0.005), and mean right atrial pressure (P = 0.006) on RHC. A composite model wherein patients screened positive if NT-proBNP was ≥ 209.8 pg/ml, and/or DLCOcorr was < 70.3% with FVC/DLCOcorr ≥ 1.82, had a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 77.8% for SSc-PAH. CONCLUSION: We have proposed a screening algorithm for SSc-PAH, incorporating NT-proBNP level and PFTs. This model has high sensitivity and specificity for SSc-PAH and, if positive, should lead to TTE and confirmatory testing for PAH. This screening algorithm must be validated prospectively.