Medicine (St Vincent's) - Research Publications

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    Multidisciplinary team discussion: the emerging gold standard for management of cardiopulmonary complications of connective tissue disease
    Fairley, JL ; Ross, L ; Burns, A ; Prior, D ; Conron, M ; Rouse, H ; McDonald, J ; MacIsaac, A ; La Gerche, A ; Morrisroe, K ; Ferdowsi, N ; Quinlivan, A ; Brown, Z ; Stevens, W ; Nikpour, M (WILEY, 2023-10)
    Cardiopulmonary complications of connective tissue diseases (CTDs), particularly pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and interstitial lung disease (ILD), are major determinants of morbidity and mortality. Multidisciplinary meetings may improve diagnostic accuracy and optimise treatment. We review the literature regarding multidisciplinary meetings in CTD-ILD and PAH and describe our tertiary centre experience of the role of the multidisciplinary meeting in managing CTD-PAH.
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    Disease specific determinants of cardiopulmonary fitness in systemic sclerosis
    Ross, L ; Costello, B ; Lindqvist, A ; Hansen, D ; Brown, Z ; Stevens, W ; Burns, A ; Prior, D ; Pianta, M ; Perera, W ; La Gerche, A ; Nikpour, M (W B SAUNDERS CO-ELSEVIER INC, 2023-02)
    OBJECTIVES: We aimed to quantify the burden of exercise intolerance in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and explore the disease features that contribute to impaired exercise capacity (measured as peak oxygen uptake, peak VO2) to provide novel mechanistic insights into the causes of physical disability in SSc. METHODS: Thirty-three SSc patients with no history of cardiac disease and no active myositis underwent cardiac and skeletal muscle MRI, transthoracic echocardiography, pulmonary function tests and cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET). CPET results were compared to an age-, sex-, and weight-matched controls with no overt cardiopulmonary disease. Native T1 and T2-mapping sequences were used to quantify diffuse fibroinflammatory myocardial disease and qualitative assessment of skeletal muscle oedema was performed. The associations between parameters of cardiorespiratory function and skeletal muscle abnormalities and peak VO2 were evaluated with linear regression analysis. RESULTS: Exercise capacity was markedly impaired in SSc and significantly reduced when compared to control subjects (percent predicted peak VO2: 70% vs 98%, p < 0⋅01). Diffuse myocardial fibroinflammatory disease (p < 0⋅01) and skeletal muscle oedema (p = 0⋅01) were significantly associated with reduced exercise capacity. There was no association between impaired exercise capacity and left ventricular ejection fraction. CONCLUSION: SSc is associated with marked functional impairment that is not explained by commonly used parameters of cardiac function such as left ventricular ejection fraction. Rather, only more sensitive measures of organ involvement are associated with impaired exercise tolerance. Our results show diffuse interstitial changes of the myocardium and skeletal muscle affect oxygen uptake and are important contributors to functional limitation in SSc.
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    Myocardial fibrosis and arrhythmic burden in systemic sclerosis
    Ross, L ; Costello, B ; Brown, Z ; Hansen, D ; Lindqvist, A ; Stevens, W ; Burns, A ; Prior, D ; Nikpour, M ; La Gerche, A (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2022-11-02)
    OBJECTIVES: Cardiac complications of SSc are a leading cause of SSc-associated death. Cardiac imaging for identifying substrate abnormality may be useful in predicting risk of cardiac arrhythmias or future cardiac failure. The aim of this study was to quantify the burden of asymptomatic fibro-inflammatory myocardial disease using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) and assess the relationship between asymptomatic myocardial fibrosis and cardiac arrhythmias in SSc. METHODS: Thirty-two patients with SSc with no documented history of pulmonary vascular or heart disease underwent CMR with gadolinium and 24-h ambulatory ECG. Focal myocardial fibrosis was assessed using post-gadolinium imaging and diffuse fibro-inflammatory myocardial disease quantified using T1- and T2-mapping. CMR results were compared with an age- and sex-matched control group. RESULTS: Post-gadolinium focal fibrosis was prevalent in SSc but not controls (30% vs 0%, p < 0.01).. T1-mapping values (as a marker of diffuse fibrosis) were greater in SSc than controls [saturated recovery single-shot acquisition (SASHA): 1584 ms vs 1515 ms, P < 0.001; shortened Modified look locker sequence (ShMOLLI): 1218 ms vs 1138 ms, p < 0.001]. More than one-fifth (22.6%) of the participants had ventricular arrhythmias on ambulatory ECG, but no associations between focal or diffuse myocardial fibrosis and arrhythmias were evident. CONCLUSION: In SSc patients without evidence of overt cardiac disease, a high burden of myocardial fibrosis and arrhythmias was identified. However, there was no clear association between focal or diffuse myocardial fibrosis and arrhythmias, suggesting CMR may have limited use as a screening tool to identify SSc patients at risk of future significant arrhythmias.
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    N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in a novel screening algorithm for pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis: a case-control study
    Thakkar, V ; Stevens, WM ; Prior, D ; Moore, OA ; Byron, J ; Liew, D ; Patterson, K ; Hissaria, P ; Roddy, J ; Zochling, J ; Sahhar, J ; Nash, P ; Tymms, K ; Celermajer, D ; Gabbay, E ; Youssef, P ; Proudman, SM ; Nikpour, M (BMC, 2012)
    INTRODUCTION: Pulmonary arterial hypertension is a major cause of mortality in systemic sclerosis. N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has emerged as a candidate biomarker that may enable the early detection of systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH). The objective of our study was to incorporate NT-proBNP into a screening algorithm for SSc-PAH that could potentially replace transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) as a more convenient and less costly "first tier" test. METHODS: NT-proBNP levels were measured in patients from four clinical groups: a group with right heart catheter (RHC)-diagnosed SSc-PAH before commencement of therapy for PAH; a group at high risk of SSc-PAH based on TTE; a group with interstitial lung disease; and systemic sclerosis (SSc) controls with no cardiopulmonary complications. NT-proBNP levels were compared by using ANOVA and correlated with other clinical variables by using simple and multiple linear regression. ROC curve analyses were performed to determine the optimal cut point for NT-proBNP and other clinical variables in prediction of PAH. RESULTS: NT-proBNP was highest in the PAH group compared with other groups (P < 0.0001), and higher in the risk group compared with controls (P < 0.0001). NT-proBNP was positively correlated with systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) on TTE (P < 0.0001), and mean PAP (P = 0.013), pulmonary vascular resistance (P = 0.005), and mean right atrial pressure (P = 0.006) on RHC. A composite model wherein patients screened positive if NT-proBNP was ≥ 209.8 pg/ml, and/or DLCOcorr was < 70.3% with FVC/DLCOcorr ≥ 1.82, had a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 77.8% for SSc-PAH. CONCLUSION: We have proposed a screening algorithm for SSc-PAH, incorporating NT-proBNP level and PFTs. This model has high sensitivity and specificity for SSc-PAH and, if positive, should lead to TTE and confirmatory testing for PAH. This screening algorithm must be validated prospectively.
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    Development and validation of the Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Damage Index (SCTC-DI): a novel instrument to quantify organ damage in systemic sclerosis
    Ferdowsi, N ; Huq, M ; Stevens, W ; Hudson, M ; Wang, M ; Tay, T ; Burchell, JL ; Mancuso, S ; Rabusa, C ; Sundararajan, V ; Prior, D ; Proudman, SM ; Baron, M ; Nikpour, M ; Frech, T ; Hudson, M ; Proudman, S ; Stevens, W ; Tay, T ; Chatterjee, S ; Chung, L ; Gordon, JK ; Haemel, A ; Johnson, SR ; Khanna, D ; Medsger, TA ; Merkel, P ; Pauling, J ; Pope, JE ; Rodriguez-Reyna, T ; Saketkoo, L ; Seibold, JR ; Shah, A ; Steen, V ; Strickland, G ; Ngian, G-S ; Nikpour, M ; Proudman, S ; Rischmueller, M ; Roddy, J ; Sahhar, J ; Stevens, W ; Strickland, G ; Walker, J ; Youssef, P ; Pope, J ; Baron, M ; Markland, J ; Robinson, D ; Jones, N ; Khalidi, N ; Docherty, P ; Kaminska, E ; Masetto, A ; Sutton, E ; Mathieu, J-P ; Hudson, M ; Ligier, S ; Grodzicky, T ; LeClercq, S ; Thorne, C ; Gyger, G ; Smith, D ; Fortin, PR ; Larche, M ; Abu-Hakima, M ; Rodriguez-Reyna, TS ; Cabral, AR ; Fritzler, M (BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, 2019-06)
    OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop the first Damage Index (DI) in systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: The conceptual definition of 'damage' in SSc was determined through consensus by a working group of the Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium (SCTC). Systematic literature review and consultation with patient partners and non-rheumatologist experts produced a list of potential items for inclusion in the DI. These steps were used to reduce the items: (1) Expert members of the SCTC (n=331) were invited to rate the appropriateness of each item for inclusion, using a web-based survey. Items with >60% consensus were retained; (2) Using a prospectively acquired Australian cohort data set of 1568 patients, the univariable relationships between the remaining items and the endpoints of mortality and morbidity (Physical Component Summary score of the Short Form 36) were analysed, and items with p<0.10 were retained; (3) using multivariable regression analysis, coefficients were used to determine a weighted score for each item. The DI was externally validated in a Canadian cohort. RESULTS: Ninety-three (28.1%) complete survey responses were analysed; 58 of 83 items were retained. The univariable relationships with death and/or morbidity endpoints were statistically significant for 22 items, with one additional item forced into the multivariable model by experts due to clinical importance, to create a 23-item weighted SCTC DI (SCTC-DI). The SCTC-DI was predictive of morbidity and mortality in the external cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Through the combined use of consensus and data-driven methods, a 23-item SCTC-DI was developed and retrospectively validated.
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    Predictors of mortality in connective tissue disease-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: a cohort study
    Ngian, GS ; Stevens, W ; Prior, D ; Gabbay, E ; Roddy, J ; Tran, A ; Minson, R ; Hill, C ; Chow, K ; Sahhar, J ; Proudman, S ; Nikpour, M (BioMed Central, 2012)
    Introduction Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a major cause of mortality in connective tissue disease (CTD). We sought to quantify survival and determine factors predictive of mortality in a cohort of patients with CTD-associated PAH (CTD-PAH) in the current era of advanced PAH therapy. Methods Patients with right heart catheter proven CTD-PAH were recruited from six specialised PAH treatment centres across Australia and followed prospectively. Using survival methods including Cox proportional hazards regression, we modelled for all-cause mortality. Independent variables included demographic, clinical and hemodynamic data. Results Among 117 patients (104 (94.9%) with systemic sclerosis), during 2.6 ± 1.8 (mean ± SD) years of follow-up from PAH diagnosis, there were 32 (27.4%) deaths. One-, two- and three-year survivals were 94%, 89% and 73%, respectively. In multiple regression analysis, higher mean right atrial pressure (mRAP) at diagnosis (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.24, P = 0.007), lower baseline six-minute walk distance (HR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.43 to 0.97, P = 0.04), higher baseline World Health Organization functional class (HR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.25 to 9.36, P = 0.04) and presence of a pericardial effusion (HR = 3.39, 95% CI: 1.07 to 10.68, P = 0.04) were predictive of mortality. Warfarin (HR = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.05 to 0.78, P = 0.02) and combination PAH therapy (HR = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.05 to 0.83, P = 0.03) were protective. Conclusions In this cohort of CTD-PAH patients, three-year survival was 73%. Independent therapeutic predictors of survival included warfarin and combination PAH therapy. Our findings suggest that anticoagulation and combination PAH therapy may improve survival in CTD-PAH. This observation merits further evaluation in randomised controlled trials.
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    Survival and quality of life in incident systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension
    Morrisroe, K ; Stevens, W ; Huq, M ; Prior, D ; Sahhar, J ; Ngian, G-S ; Celermajer, D ; Zochling, J ; Proudman, S ; Nikpour, M (BMC, 2017-06-02)
    BACKGROUND: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a leading cause of mortality in systemic sclerosis (SSc). We sought to determine survival, predictors of mortality, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) related to PAH in a large SSc cohort with PAH. METHODS: We studied consecutive SSc patients with newly diagnosed (incident) World Health Organization (WHO) Group 1 PAH enrolled in a prospective cohort between 2009 and 2015. Survival methods were used to determine age and sex-adjusted standardised mortality ratio (SMR) and years of life lost (YLL), and to identify predictors of mortality. HRQoL was measured using the Short form 36 (SF-36) instrument. RESULTS: Among 132 SSc-PAH patients (112 female (85%); mean age 62 ± 11 years), 60 (45.5%) died, with a median (±IQR) survival time from PAH diagnosis of 4.0 (2.2-6.2) years. Median (±IQR) follow up from study enrolment was 3.8 (1.6-5.8) years. The SMR for patients with SSc-PAH was 5.8 (95% CI 4.3-7.8), with YLL of 15.2 years (95% CI 12.3-18.1). Combination PAH therapy had a survival advantage (p < 0.001) compared with monotherapy, as did anticoagulation compared with no anticoagulation (p < 0.003). Furthermore, combination PAH therapy together with anticoagulation had a survival benefit compared with monotherapy with or without anticoagulation and combination therapy without anticoagulation (hazard ratio 0.28, 95% CI 0.1-0.7). Older age at PAH diagnosis (p = 0.03), mild co-existent interstitial lung disease (ILD) (p = 0.01), worse WHO functional class (p = 0.03) and higher mean pulmonary arterial pressure at PAH diagnosis (p = 0.001), and digital ulcers (p = 0.01) were independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the significant benefits conferred by advanced PAH therapies suggested in this study, the median survival in SSc PAH remains short at only 4 years.
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    A COMPARISON OF THE PREDICTIVE ACCURACY OF THREE SCREENING MODELS (DETECT V. ESC/ERS V. ASIG) FOR PULMONARY ARTERIAL HYPERTENSION IN SYSTEMIC SCLEROSIS
    Hao, Y ; Thakkar, V ; Stevens, W ; Morrisroe, K ; Prior, D ; Rabusa, C ; Youssef, P ; Gabbay, E ; Roddy, J ; Walker, J ; Zochling, J ; Sahhar, J ; Nash, P ; Lester, S ; Rischmueller, M ; Proudman, S ; Nikpour, M (WILEY-BLACKWELL, 2014-05)
    INTRODUCTION: There is evidence that early screening for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) improves outcomes. We compared the predictive accuracy of two recently published screening algorithms (DETECT 2013 and Australian Scleroderma Interest Group (ASIG) 2012) for SSc-associated PAH (SSc-PAH) with the commonly used European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS 2009) guidelines. METHODS: We included 73 consecutive SSc patients with suspected PAH undergoing right heart catheterization (RHC). The three screening models were applied to each patient. For each model, contingency table analysis was used to determine sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values for PAH. These properties were also evaluated in an 'alternate scenario analysis' in which the prevalence of PAH was set at 10%. RESULTS: RHC revealed PAH in 27 (36.9%) patients. DETECT and ASIG algorithms performed equally in predicting PAH with sensitivity and NPV of 100%. The ESC/ERS guidelines had sensitivity of 96.3% and NPV of only 91%, missing one case of PAH; these guidelines could not be applied to three patients who had absent tricuspid regurgitant (TR) jet. The ASIG algorithm had the highest specificity (54.5%). With PAH prevalence set at 10%, the NPV of the models was unchanged, but the PPV dropped to less than 20%. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, the DETECT and ASIG algorithms out-perform the ESC/ERS guidelines, detecting all patients with PAH. The ESC/ERS guidelines have limitations in the absence of a TR jet. Ultimately, the choice of SSc-PAH screening algorithm will also depend on cost and ease of application.
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    Multicentre randomised placebo-controlled trial of oral anticoagulation with apixaban in systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension: the SPHInX study protocol
    Calderone, A ; Stevens, W ; Prior, D ; Nandurkar, H ; Gabbay, E ; Proudman, SM ; Williams, T ; Celermajer, D ; Sahhar, J ; Wong, PKK ; Thakkar, V ; Dwyer, N ; Wrobel, J ; Chin, W ; Liew, D ; Staples, M ; Buchbinder, R ; Nikpour, M (BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, 2016)
    INTRODUCTION: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a severe and costly multiorgan autoimmune connective tissue disease characterised by vasculopathy and fibrosis. One of the major causes of SSc-related death is pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), which develops in 12-15% of patients with SSc and accounts for 30-40% of deaths. In situ thrombosis in the small calibre peripheral pulmonary vessels resulting from endothelial dysfunction and an imbalance of anticoagulant and prothrombotic mediators has been implicated in the complex pathophysiology of SSc-related PAH (SSc-PAH), with international clinical guidelines recommending the use of anticoagulants for some types of PAH, such as idiopathic PAH. However, anticoagulation has not become part of standard clinical care for patients with SSc-PAH as only observational evidence exists to support its use. Therefore, we present the rationale and methodology of a phase III randomised controlled trial (RCT) to evaluate the efficacy, safety and cost-effectiveness of anticoagulation in SSc-PAH. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This Australian multicentre RCT will compare 2.5 mg apixaban with placebo, in parallel treatment groups randomised in a 1:1 ratio, both administered twice daily for 3 years as adjunct therapy to stable oral PAH therapy. The composite primary outcome measure will be the time to death or clinical worsening of PAH. Secondary outcomes will include functional capacity, health-related quality of life measures and adverse events. A cost-effectiveness analysis of anticoagulation versus placebo will also be undertaken. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval for this RCT has been granted by the Human Research Ethics Committees of all participating centres. An independent data safety monitoring board will review safety and tolerability data for the duration of the trial. The findings of this RCT are to be published in open access journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12614000418673, Pre-results.
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    Defining primary systemic sclerosis heart involvement: A scoping literature review
    Ross, L ; Prior, D ; Proudman, S ; Vacca, A ; Baron, M ; Nikpour, M (W B SAUNDERS CO-ELSEVIER INC, 2019-04)
    BACKGROUND: Clinically evident primary heart involvement due to systemic sclerosis (SHI) is considered a poor prognostic factor and is a leading cause of systemic sclerosis (SSc) related death. Yet, there remains no consensus definition of SHI and poor understanding of the natural history and risk factors for the development of SHI. METHODS: We performed a scoping literature review of published articles with a primary focus of SHI to capture previously used definitions of SHI and items used to measure SHI. Any factors reported to be associated with an increased risk of SHI were recorded. RESULTS: Of the 2436 records identified in a search of MEDLINE, EMBASE and PubMed databases, 295 were included in the final scoping review. Analysis of the literature revealed studies of variable quality, generally low patient numbers and highly heterogeneous definitions of SHI within studies. There is no clear consensus from the literature as to the scope of SHI and the prognostic significance of sub-clinical investigation abnormalities commonly detected. CONCLUSION: The lack of a standardised definition of SHI remains a significant unmet need in SSc. The results of this review will assist in the development of consensus classification criteria to enable more accurate quantification of the burden of SHI, identification of factors associated with increased risk of developing SHI, and evaluation of the efficacy of any novel therapeutic strategies.