Biomedical Engineering - Research Publications

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    Model Parameter Estimation As Features to Predict the Duration of Epileptic Seizures From Onset.
    Liu, Y ; Xia, S ; Soto-Breceda, A ; Karoly, P ; Cook, MJ ; Grayden, DB ; Schmidt, D ; Kuhlmann, L (IEEE, 2023-07)
    The durations of epileptic seizures are linked to severity and risk for patients. It is unclear if the spatiotemporal evolution of a seizure has any relationship with its duration. Understanding such mechanisms may help reveal treatments for reducing the duration of a seizure. Here, we present a novel method to predict whether a seizure is going to be short or long at its onset using features that can be interpreted in the parameter space of a brain model. The parameters of a Jansen-Rit neural mass model were tracked given intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) signals, and were processed as time series features using MINIROCKET. By analysing 2954 seizures from 10 patients, patient-specific classifiers were built to predict if a seizure would be short or long given 7 s of iEEG at seizure onset. The method achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) greater than 0.6 for five of 10 patients. The behaviour in the parameter space has shown different mechanisms are associated with short/long seizures.Clinical relevance-This shows that it is possible to classify whether a seizure will be short or long based on its early characteristics. Timely interventions and treatments can be applied if the duration of the seizures can be predicted.
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    Seizure occurrence is linked to multiday cycles in diverse physiological signals
    Gregg, NM ; Attia, TP ; Nasseri, M ; Joseph, B ; Karoly, P ; Cui, J ; Stirling, RE ; Viana, PF ; Richner, TJ ; Nurse, ES ; Schulze-Bonhage, A ; Cook, MJ ; Worrell, GA ; Richardson, MP ; Freestone, DR ; Brinkmann, BH (WILEY, 2023-06)
    OBJECTIVE: The factors that influence seizure timing are poorly understood, and seizure unpredictability remains a major cause of disability. Work in chronobiology has shown that cyclical physiological phenomena are ubiquitous, with daily and multiday cycles evident in immune, endocrine, metabolic, neurological, and cardiovascular function. Additionally, work with chronic brain recordings has identified that seizure risk is linked to daily and multiday cycles in brain activity. Here, we provide the first characterization of the relationships between the cyclical modulation of a diverse set of physiological signals, brain activity, and seizure timing. METHODS: In this cohort study, 14 subjects underwent chronic ambulatory monitoring with a multimodal wrist-worn sensor (recording heart rate, accelerometry, electrodermal activity, and temperature) and an implanted responsive neurostimulation system (recording interictal epileptiform abnormalities and electrographic seizures). Wavelet and filter-Hilbert spectral analyses characterized circadian and multiday cycles in brain and wearable recordings. Circular statistics assessed electrographic seizure timing and cycles in physiology. RESULTS: Ten subjects met inclusion criteria. The mean recording duration was 232 days. Seven subjects had reliable electroencephalographic seizure detections (mean = 76 seizures). Multiday cycles were present in all wearable device signals across all subjects. Seizure timing was phase locked to multiday cycles in five (temperature), four (heart rate, phasic electrodermal activity), and three (accelerometry, heart rate variability, tonic electrodermal activity) subjects. Notably, after regression of behavioral covariates from heart rate, six of seven subjects had seizure phase locking to the residual heart rate signal. SIGNIFICANCE: Seizure timing is associated with daily and multiday cycles in multiple physiological processes. Chronic multimodal wearable device recordings can situate rare paroxysmal events, like seizures, within a broader chronobiology context of the individual. Wearable devices may advance the understanding of factors that influence seizure risk and enable personalized time-varying approaches to epilepsy care.
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    Chronic intracranial EEG recordings and interictal spike rate reveal multiscale temporal modulations in seizure states
    Schroeder, GM ; Karoly, PJ ; Maturana, M ; Panagiotopoulou, M ; Taylor, PN ; Cook, MJ ; Wang, Y (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2023-08-31)
    Many biological processes are modulated by rhythms on circadian and multidien timescales. In focal epilepsy, various seizure features, such as spread and duration, can change from one seizure to the next within the same patient. However, the specific timescales of this variability, as well as the specific seizure characteristics that change over time, are unclear. Here, in a cross-sectional observational study, we analysed within-patient seizure variability in 10 patients with chronic intracranial EEG recordings (185-767 days of recording time, 57-452 analysed seizures/patient). We characterized the seizure evolutions as sequences of a finite number of patient-specific functional seizure network states. We then compared seizure network state occurrence and duration to (1) time since implantation and (2) patient-specific circadian and multidien cycles in interictal spike rate. In most patients, the occurrence or duration of at least one seizure network state was associated with the time since implantation. Some patients had one or more seizure network states that were associated with phases of circadian and/or multidien spike rate cycles. A given seizure network state's occurrence and duration were usually not associated with the same timescale. Our results suggest that different time-varying factors modulate within-patient seizure evolutions over multiple timescales, with separate processes modulating a seizure network state's occurrence and duration. These findings imply that the development of time-adaptive treatments in epilepsy must account for several separate properties of epileptic seizures and similar principles likely apply to other neurological conditions.
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    Seizure forecasting: Bifurcations in the long and winding road
    Baud, MO ; Proix, T ; Gregg, NM ; Brinkmann, BH ; Nurse, ES ; Cook, MJ ; Karoly, PJ (WILEY, 2023-12)
    To date, the unpredictability of seizures remains a source of suffering for people with epilepsy, motivating decades of research into methods to forecast seizures. Originally, only few scientists and neurologists ventured into this niche endeavor, which, given the difficulty of the task, soon turned into a long and winding road. Over the past decade, however, our narrow field has seen a major acceleration, with trials of chronic electroencephalographic devices and the subsequent discovery of cyclical patterns in the occurrence of seizures. Now, a burgeoning science of seizure timing is emerging, which in turn informs best forecasting strategies for upcoming clinical trials. Although the finish line might be in view, many challenges remain to make seizure forecasting a reality. This review covers the most recent scientific, technical, and medical developments, discusses methodology in detail, and sets a number of goals for future studies.
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    Sleep and seizure risk in epilepsy: bed and wake times are more important than sleep duration
    Stirling, RE ; Hidajat, CM ; Grayden, DB ; D'Souza, WJ ; Naim-Feil, J ; Dell, KL ; Schneider, LD ; Nurse, E ; Freestone, D ; Cook, MJ ; Karoly, PJ (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2023-07-03)
    Sleep duration, sleep deprivation and the sleep-wake cycle are thought to play an important role in the generation of epileptic activity and may also influence seizure risk. Hence, people diagnosed with epilepsy are commonly asked to maintain consistent sleep routines. However, emerging evidence paints a more nuanced picture of the relationship between seizures and sleep, with bidirectional effects between changes in sleep and seizure risk in addition to modulation by sleep stages and transitions between stages. We conducted a longitudinal study investigating sleep parameters and self-reported seizure occurrence in an ambulatory at-home setting using mobile and wearable monitoring. Sixty subjects wore a Fitbit smartwatch for at least 28 days while reporting their seizure activity in a mobile app. Multiple sleep features were investigated, including duration, oversleep and undersleep, and sleep onset and offset times. Sleep features in participants with epilepsy were compared to a large (n = 37 921) representative population of Fitbit users, each with 28 days of data. For participants with at least 10 seizure days (n = 34), sleep features were analysed for significant changes prior to seizure days. A total of 4956 reported seizures (mean = 83, standard deviation = 130) and 30 485 recorded sleep nights (mean = 508, standard deviation = 445) were included in the study. There was a trend for participants with epilepsy to sleep longer than the general population, although this difference was not significant. Just 5 of 34 participants showed a significant difference in sleep duration the night before seizure days compared to seizure-free days. However, 14 of 34 subjects showed significant differences between their sleep onset (bed) and/or offset (wake) times before seizure occurrence. In contrast to previous studies, the current study found undersleeping was associated with a marginal 2% decrease in seizure risk in the following 48 h (P < 0.01). Nocturnal seizures were associated with both significantly longer sleep durations and increased risk of a seizure occurring in the following 48 h. Overall, the presented results demonstrated that day-to-day changes in sleep duration had a minimal effect on reported seizures, while patient-specific changes in bed and wake times were more important for identifying seizure risk the following day. Nocturnal seizures were the only factor that significantly increased the risk of seizures in the following 48 h on a group level. Wearables can be used to identify these sleep-seizure relationships and guide clinical recommendations or improve seizure forecasting algorithms.
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    Brain model state space reconstruction using an LSTM neural network
    Liu, Y ; Soto-Breceda, A ; Karoly, P ; Grayden, DB ; Zhao, Y ; Cook, MJ ; Schmidt, D ; Kuhlmann, L (IOP Publishing Ltd, 2023-06-01)
    Objective. Kalman filtering has previously been applied to track neural model states and parameters, particularly at the scale relevant to electroencephalography (EEG). However, this approach lacks a reliable method to determine the initial filter conditions and assumes that the distribution of states remains Gaussian. This study presents an alternative, data-driven method to track the states and parameters of neural mass models (NMMs) from EEG recordings using deep learning techniques, specifically a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network.Approach. An LSTM filter was trained on simulated EEG data generated by a NMM using a wide range of parameters. With an appropriately customised loss function, the LSTM filter can learn the behaviour of NMMs. As a result, it can output the state vector and parameters of NMMs given observation data as the input.Main results. Test results using simulated data yielded correlations withRsquared of around 0.99 and verified that the method is robust to noise and can be more accurate than a nonlinear Kalman filter when the initial conditions of the Kalman filter are not accurate. As an example of real-world application, the LSTM filter was also applied to real EEG data that included epileptic seizures, and revealed changes in connectivity strength parameters at the beginnings of seizures.Significance. Tracking the state vector and parameters of mathematical brain models is of great importance in the area of brain modelling, monitoring, imaging and control. This approach has no need to specify the initial state vector and parameters, which is very difficult to do in practice because many of the variables being estimated cannot be measured directly in physiological experiments. This method may be applied using any NMM and, therefore, provides a general, novel, efficient approach to estimate brain model variables that are often difficult to measure.
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    Multiple mechanisms shape the relationship between pathway and duration of focal seizures
    Schroeder, GM ; Chowdhury, FA ; Cook, MJ ; Diehl, B ; Duncan, JS ; Karoly, PJ ; Taylor, PN ; Wang, Y (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2022-07-04)
    A seizure's electrographic dynamics are characterized by its spatiotemporal evolution, also termed dynamical 'pathway', and the time it takes to complete that pathway, which results in the seizure's duration. Both seizure pathways and durations have been shown to vary within the same patient. However, it is unclear whether seizures following the same pathway will have the same duration or if these features can vary independently. We compared within-subject variability in these seizure features using (i) epilepsy monitoring unit intracranial EEG (iEEG) recordings of 31 patients (mean: 6.7 days, 16.5 seizures/subject), (ii) NeuroVista chronic iEEG recordings of 10 patients (mean: 521.2 days, 252.6 seizures/subject) and (iii) chronic iEEG recordings of three dogs with focal-onset seizures (mean: 324.4 days, 62.3 seizures/subject). While the strength of the relationship between seizure pathways and durations was highly subject-specific, in most subjects, changes in seizure pathways were only weakly to moderately associated with differences in seizure durations. The relationship between seizure pathways and durations was strengthened by seizures that were 'truncated' versions, both in pathway and duration, of other seizures. However, the relationship was weakened by seizures that had a common pathway, but different durations ('elasticity'), or had similar durations, but followed different pathways ('semblance'). Even in subjects with distinct populations of short and long seizures, seizure durations were not a reliable indicator of different seizure pathways. These findings suggest that seizure pathways and durations are modulated by multiple different mechanisms. Uncovering such mechanisms may reveal novel therapeutic targets for reducing seizure duration and severity.
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    Ambient air pollution and epileptic seizures: A panel study in Australia
    Chen, Z ; Yu, W ; Xu, R ; Karoly, PJ ; Maturana, M ; Payne, DE ; Li, L ; Nurse, ES ; Freestone, DR ; Li, S ; Burkitt, AN ; Cook, MJ ; Guo, Y ; Grayden, DB (WILEY, 2022-07)
    OBJECTIVE: Emerging evidence has shown that ambient air pollution affects brain health, but little is known about its effect on epileptic seizures. This work aimed to assess the association between daily exposure to ambient air pollution and the risk of epileptic seizures. METHODS: This study used epileptic seizure data from two independent data sources (NeuroVista and Seer App seizure diary). In the NeuroVista data set, 3273 seizures were recorded using intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) from 15 participants with refractory focal epilepsy in Australia in 2010-2012. In the seizure diary data set, 3419 self-reported seizures were collected through a mobile application from 34 participants with epilepsy in Australia in 2018-2021. Daily average concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ), ozone (O3 ), particulate matter ≤10 μm in diameter (PM10 ), and sulfur dioxide (SO2 ) were retrieved from the Environment Protection Authority (EPA) based on participants' postcodes. A patient-time-stratified case-crossover design with the conditional Poisson regression model was used to determine the associations between air pollutants and epileptic seizures. RESULTS: A significant association between CO concentrations and epileptic seizure risks was observed, with an increased seizure risk of 4% (relative risk [RR]: 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-1.07) for an interquartile range (IQR) increase of CO concentrations (0.13 parts per million), whereas no significant associations were found for the other four air pollutants in the whole study population. Female participants had a significantly increased risk of seizures when exposed to elevated CO and NO2 , with RRs of 1.05 (95% CI: 1.01-1.08) and 1.09 (95% CI: 1.01-1.16), respectively. In addition, a significant association was observed between CO and the risk of subclinical seizures (RR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.12-1.28). SIGNIFICANCE: Daily exposure to elevated CO concentrations may be associated with an increased risk of epileptic seizures, especially for subclinical seizures.
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    Cycles of self-reported seizure likelihood correspond to yield of diagnostic epilepsy monitoring
    Karoly, PJ ; Eden, D ; Nurse, ES ; Cook, MJ ; Taylor, J ; Dumanis, S ; Richardson, MP ; Brinkmann, BH ; Freestone, DR (WILEY, 2021-02)
    OBJECTIVE: Video-electroencephalography (vEEG) is an important component of epilepsy diagnosis and management. Nevertheless, inpatient vEEG monitoring fails to capture seizures in up to one third of patients. We hypothesized that personalized seizure forecasts could be used to optimize the timing of vEEG. METHODS: We used a database of ambulatory vEEG studies to select a cohort with linked electronic seizure diaries of more than 20 reported seizures over at least 8 weeks. The total cohort included 48 participants. Diary seizure times were used to detect individuals' multiday seizure cycles and estimate times of high seizure risk. We compared whether estimated seizure risk was significantly different between conclusive and inconclusive vEEGs, and between vEEG with and without recorded epileptic activity. vEEGs were conducted prior to self-reported seizures; hence, the study aimed to provide a retrospective proof of concept that cycles of seizure risk were correlated with vEEG outcomes. RESULTS: Estimated seizure risk was significantly higher for conclusive vEEGs and vEEGs with epileptic activity. Across all cycle strengths, the average time in high risk during vEEG was 29.1% compared with 14% for the conclusive/inconclusive groups and 32% compared to 18% for the epileptic activity/no epileptic activity groups. On average, 62.5% of the cohort showed increased time in high risk during their previous vEEG when epileptic activity was recorded (compared to 28% of the cohort where epileptic activity was not recorded). For conclusive vEEGs, 50% of the cohort had increased time in high risk, compared to 21.5% for inconclusive vEEGs. SIGNIFICANCE: Although retrospective, this study provides a proof of principle that scheduling monitoring times based on personalized seizure risk forecasts can improve the yield of vEEG. Forecasts can be developed at low cost from mobile seizure diaries. A simple scheduling tool to improve diagnostic outcomes may reduce cost and risks associated with delayed or missed diagnosis in epilepsy.
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    Multiday cycles of heart rate are associated with seizure likelihood: An observational cohort study
    Karoly, PJ ; Stirling, RE ; Freestone, DR ; Nurse, ES ; Maturana, M ; Halliday, AJ ; Neal, A ; Gregg, NM ; Brinkmann, BH ; Richardson, MP ; La Gerche, A ; Grayden, DB ; D'Souza, W ; Cook, MJ (ELSEVIER, 2021-10)
    BACKGROUND: Circadian and multiday rhythms are found across many biological systems, including cardiology, endocrinology, neurology, and immunology. In people with epilepsy, epileptic brain activity and seizure occurrence have been found to follow circadian, weekly, and monthly rhythms. Understanding the relationship between these cycles of brain excitability and other physiological systems can provide new insight into the causes of multiday cycles. The brain-heart link has previously been considered in epilepsy research, with potential implications for seizure forecasting, therapy, and mortality (i.e., sudden unexpected death in epilepsy). METHODS: We report the results from a non-interventional, observational cohort study, Tracking Seizure Cycles. This study sought to examine multiday cycles of heart rate and seizures in adults with diagnosed uncontrolled epilepsy (N=31) and healthy adult controls (N=15) using wearable smartwatches and mobile seizure diaries over at least four months (M=12.0, SD=5.9; control M=10.6, SD=6.4). Cycles in heart rate were detected using a continuous wavelet transform. Relationships between heart rate cycles and seizure occurrence were measured from the distributions of seizure likelihood with respect to underlying cycle phase. FINDINGS: Heart rate cycles were found in all 46 participants (people with epilepsy and healthy controls), with circadian (N=46), about-weekly (N=25) and about-monthly (N=13) rhythms being the most prevalent. Of the participants with epilepsy, 19 people had at least 20 reported seizures, and 10 of these had seizures significantly phase locked to their multiday heart rate cycles. INTERPRETATION: Heart rate cycles showed similarities to multiday epileptic rhythms and may be comodulated with seizure likelihood. The relationship between heart rate and seizures is relevant for epilepsy therapy, including seizure forecasting, and may also have implications for cardiovascular disease. More broadly, understanding the link between multiday cycles in the heart and brain can shed new light on endogenous physiological rhythms in humans. FUNDING: This research received funding from the Australian Government National Health and Medical Research Council (investigator grant 1178220), the Australian Government BioMedTech Horizons program, and the Epilepsy Foundation of America's 'My Seizure Gauge' grant.