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    Premature mortality 16 years after emergency department presentation among homeless and at risk of homelessness adults: a retrospective longitudinal cohort study
    Zordan, R ; Mackelprang, JL ; Hutton, J ; Moore, G ; Sundararajan, V (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2023-04-19)
    BACKGROUND: People experiencing homelessness have an increased risk of mortality. The association between being at risk of homelessness and premature mortality is unclear. We aimed to determine all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients who were homeless, at risk of homelessness (marginally housed), or housed. METHODS: This retrospective longitudinal cohort study compared mortality patterns in adult patients identified in 2003/04 by linking data from an Australian metropolitan emergency department to national mortality data. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate associations between housing status and mortality. To address competing risks, cause-specific hazards were modelled and transformed into stacked cumulative incidence functions. FINDINGS: Data from 6290 patients (homeless deceased = 382/1050, marginally housed deceased = 259/518, housed deceased = 1204/4722) found increased risk of mortality in homeless [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.0-3.3) and marginally housed (HR = 2.6, 95% CI = 3.4-4.8) patients. Homeless patients had an excess risk from external causes (HR = 6.1, 95% CI = 4.47-8.35), cardiovascular disease (HR = 4.9, 95% CI = 2.78-8.70) and cancer (HR = 1.5, 95% CI = 1.15-2.09). Marginally housed patients had increased risk from external causes (HR = 3.6, 95% CI = 2.36-5.40) and respiratory diseases (HR = 4.7, 95% CI = 1.82-12.05). Taking account of competing risk, marked inequality was observed, with homeless, marginally housed and housed patients having probabilities of death by 55 years of 0.2, 0.1 and 0.02, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality rates were elevated in patients who were homeless or at risk of homelessness. Increasing numbers of people are at risk of homelessness, and the effect of this on mortality is relatively unrecognized. Marginal housing may assuage some risk of premature mortality associated with homelessness; however, it is not equivalent to stable housing.
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    Long-term effects of homelessness on mortality: a 15-year Australian cohort study
    Seastres, RJ ; Hutton, J ; Zordan, R ; Moore, G ; Mackelprang, J ; Kiburg, KV ; Sundararajan, V (WILEY, 2020-12)
    OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of homelessness on mortality. METHODS: This 15-year retrospective longitudinal cohort study compared mortality outcomes of homeless and non-homeless adults attending the emergency department of an inner-city public hospital in Melbourne, Victoria between 1 January 2003 and 31 December 2004. Homeless individuals had ≥1 recorded episodes of homelessness within the recruitment period, categorised by type: primary, secondary, tertiary, marginally housed. Non-homeless individuals were stably housed throughout. RESULTS: Over 15 years, homeless individuals had a higher mortality rate (11.89 vs. 8.10 per 1,000 person-years), significantly increased mortality risk (rate ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26-1.71) and younger median age at death (66.60 vs. 78.19 years) compared to non-homeless individuals. Using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, primary (hazard ratio [HR] 2.05, 95%CI 1.67-2.50), secondary (HR 1.60, 95%CI 1.23-2.10) and tertiary (HR 1.72, 95%CI 1.16-2.56) homelessness were independent risk factors for premature mortality. CONCLUSION: At least one recorded episode of primary, secondary, or tertiary homelessness was associated with premature mortality and younger age at death over a 15-year period. Implications for public health: Accurately identifying individuals experiencing primary, secondary or tertiary homelessness at the emergency department may enable targeted interventions that could potentially reduce their risk of premature mortality.