Obstetrics and Gynaecology - Research Publications

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    Phase II single arm open label multicentre clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy and side effects of a combination of gefitinib and methotrexate to treat tubal ectopic pregnancies (GEM II): study protocol
    Horne, AW ; Skubisz, MM ; Doust, A ; Duncan, WC ; Wallace, E ; Critchley, HOD ; Johns, TG ; Norman, JE ; Bhattacharya, S ; Mollison, J ; Rassmusen, M ; Tong, S (BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, 2013)
    INTRODUCTION: Tubal ectopic pregnancy (tEP) is the most common life-threatening condition in gynaecology. tEPs with pretreatment serum human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) levels <1000 IU/L respond well to outpatient medical treatment with intramuscular methotrexate (MTX). TEPs with hCG >1000 IU/L take a significant time to resolve with MTX and require multiple outpatient monitoring visits. Gefitinib is an orally active epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) antagonist. In preclinical studies, we found that EP implantation sites express high levels of EGFR and that gefitinib augments MTX-induced regression of pregnancy-like tissue. We performed a phase I toxicity study administering oral gefitinib and intramuscular MTX to 12 women with tEPs. The combination therapy did not cause significant toxicities and was well tolerated. We noted that combination therapy resolved the tEPs faster than MTX alone. We now describe the protocol of a larger single arm trial to estimate the efficacy and side effects of combination gefitinib and MTX to treat stable tEPs with hCG 1000-10 000 IU/L METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We propose to undertake a single-arm multicentre open label trial (in Edinburgh and Melbourne) and recruit 28 women with tEPs (pretreatment serum hCG 1000-10 000 IU/L). We intend to give a single dose of intramuscular MTX (50 mg/m(2)) and oral gefitinib (250 mg) daily for 7 days. Our primary outcome is the resolution of EP to non-pregnant hCG levels <15 IU/L without requirement of surgery. Our secondary outcomes are comparison of time to resolution against historical controls given MTX only, and safety and tolerability as determined by clinical/biochemical assessment. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been obtained from Scotland A Research Ethics Committee (MREC 11/AL/0350), Southern Health Human Research Ethics Committee B (HREC 11180B) and the Mercy Health Human Research Ethics Committee (R12/25). Data will be presented at international conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12611001056987.
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    Using a decline in serum hCG between days 0-4 to predict ectopic pregnancy treatment success after single-dose methotrexate: a retrospective cohort study
    Skubisz, M ; Dutton, P ; Duncan, WC ; Horne, AW ; Tong, S (BMC, 2013-02-01)
    BACKGROUND: The current measure of treatment efficacy of single-dose methotrexate for ectopic pregnancy, is a fall in serum hCG of ≥15% between days 4-7 of treatment, which has a positive predictive value of 93% for treatment success. Two small studies have proposed a fall in serum hCG between days 0-4 after treatment confers similar, earlier prognostic information, with positive predictive values of 100% and 88% for treatment success. We sought to validate this in a large, independent cohort because of the potentially significant clinical implications. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of women (n=206) treated with single-dose methotrexate for ectopic pregnancy (pre-treatment serum hCG levels ≤3000 IU/L) at Scottish hospitals between 2006-2011. Women were divided into two cohorts based on whether their serum hCG levels rose or fell between days 0-4 after methotrexate. Treatment outcomes of women in each cohort were compared, and the test performance characteristics calculated. This methodology was repeated for the current measure (≥15% fall in serum hCG between days 4-7 of treatment) and an alternate early measure (<20% fall in serum hCG between days 0-4 of treatment), and all three measures were compared for their ability to predict medical treatment success. RESULTS: In our cohort, the positive predictive value of the current clinical measure was 89% (95% CI 84-94%) (121/136). A falling serum hCG between days 0-4 predicted treatment success in 85% (95% CI 79-92%) of cases (94/110) and a <20% fall in serum hCG between days 0-4 predicted treatment success in 94% (95% CI 88-100%) of cases (59/63). There was no significant difference in the ability of these tests to predict medical treatment success. CONCLUSIONS: We have verified that a decline in serum hCG between days 0-4 after methotrexate treatment for ectopic pregnancies, with pre-treatment serum hCG levels ≤3000 IU/L, provides an early indication of likelihood of treatment success, and performs just as well as the existing measure, which only provides prognostic information on day 7.
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    Ultrasound Reference Chart Based on IVF Dates to Estimate Gestational Age at 6-9 weeks' Gestation.
    Delpachitra, P ; Palmer, K ; Onwude, J ; Meagher, S ; Rombauts, L ; Waalwyk, K ; Bethune, M ; Tong, S (Hindawi Limited, 2012)
    Accurate determination of gestational age underpins good obstetric care. We assessed the performance of six existing ultrasound reference charts to determine gestational age in 1268 singleton IVF pregnancies, where "true" gestational age could be precisely calculated from date of fertilisation. All charts generated dates significantly different to IVF dates (P < 0.0001 all comparisons). Thus we generated a new reference chart, The Monash Chart, based on a line of best fit describing crown-rump length across 6 + 1 to 9 + 0 weeks of gestation (true gestational age) in the IVF singleton cohort. The Monash Chart, but none of the existing charts, accurately determined gestational age among an independent IVF twin cohort (185 twin pairs). When applied to 3052 naturally-conceived singletons scans, The Monash Chart generated estimated due dates that were different to all existing charts (P ≤ 0.004 all comparisons). We conclude that commonly used ultrasound reference charts have inaccuracies. We have generated a CRL reference chart based on true gestational age in an IVF cohort that can accurately determine gestational age at 6-9 weeks of gestation.
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    Effects of Maternal Obstructive Sleep Apnoea on Fetal Growth: A Prospective Cohort Study
    Fung, AM ; Wilson, DL ; Lappas, M ; Howard, M ; Barnes, M ; O'Donoghue, F ; Tong, S ; Esdale, H ; Fleming, G ; Walker, SP ; Frasch, MG (PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2013-07-24)
    OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to determine whether obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is associated with reduced fetal growth, and whether nocturnal oxygen desaturation precipitates acute fetal heart rate changes. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a prospective observational study, screening 371 women in the second trimester for OSA symptoms. 41 subsequently underwent overnight sleep studies to diagnose OSA. Third trimester fetal growth was assessed using ultrasound. Fetal heart rate monitoring accompanied the sleep study. Cord blood was taken at delivery, to measure key regulators of fetal growth. RESULTS: Of 371 women screened, 108 (29%) were high risk for OSA. 26 high risk and 15 low risk women completed the longitudinal study; 14 had confirmed OSA (cases), and 27 were controls. The median (interquartile range) respiratory disturbance index (number of apnoeas, hypopnoeas or respiratory related arousals/hour of sleep) was 7.9 (6.1-13.8) for cases and 2.2 (1.3-3.5) for controls (p<0.001). Impaired fetal growth was observed in 43% (6/14) of cases, vs 11% (3/27) of controls (RR 2.67; 1.25-5.7; p = 0.04). Using logistic regression, only OSA (OR 6; 1.2-29.7, p = 0.03) and body mass index (OR 2.52; 1.09-5.80, p = 0.03) were significantly associated with impaired fetal growth. After adjusting for body mass index on multivariate analysis, the association between OSA and impaired fetal growth was not appreciably altered (OR 5.3; 0.93-30.34, p = 0.06), although just failed to achieve statistical significance. Prolonged fetal heart rate decelerations accompanied nocturnal oxygen desaturation in one fetus, subsequently found to be severely growth restricted. Fetal growth regulators showed changes in the expected direction- with IGF-1 lower, and IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-2 higher- in the cord blood of infants of cases vs controls, although were not significantly different. CONCLUSION: OSA may be associated with reduced fetal growth in late pregnancy. Further evaluation is warranted to establish whether OSA may be an important contributor to adverse perinatal outcome, including stillbirth.
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    Maternal Serum Macrophage Inhibitory Cytokine-1 as a Biomarker for Ectopic Pregnancy in Women with a Pregnancy of Unknown Location
    Skubisz, MM ; Brown, JK ; Tong, S ; Kaitu'u-Lino, T ; Horne, AW ; Kanellopoulos-Langevin, C (PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2013-06-18)
    BACKGROUND: Ectopic pregnancy (EP) occurs in 1-2% of pregnancies, but is over-represented as a leading cause of maternal death in early pregnancy. It remains a challenge to diagnose early and accurately. Women often present in early pregnancy with a 'pregnancy of unknown location' (PUL) and the diagnosis and exclusion of EP is difficult due to a lack of reliable biomarkers. A serum biomarker able to clearly distinguish between EP and other pregnancy outcomes would greatly assist clinicians in diagnosing and safely managing PULs. This study evaluates the ability of maternal serum macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 (MIC-1) levels to differentiate between EP and other pregnancy outcomes in women with a PUL. METHODS: Sera were collected from 120 women with a PUL at first clinical presentation and assayed for MIC-1 by ELISA. Results were classified according to ultimate pregnancy outcome and the discriminatory ability of MIC-1 to diagnose EP was assessed. RESULTS: Serum MIC-1 levels were lower in women with histologically confirmed (definite) EP (dEP) (median 552 ng/mL; interquartile range (IQR) 414-693 ng/mL) compared to women with definite viable intra-uterine pregnancies (dVIUPs) (722 ng/mL; IQR 412-1122 ng/mL), and higher when compared to women with definite non-viable intra-uterine pregnancies (dNVIUPs) (465 ng/mL; IQR 341-675 ng/mL). MIC-1 levels were significantly higher in women with dEP compared to women whose PULs resolved without medical intervention (srPUL) (401 ng/mL; IQR 315-475 ng/mL) (p<0.003). There were no women with an ectopic pregnancy where serum MIC-1>1000 ng/mL. CONCLUSION: Serum MIC-1 levels in PUL were not able to categorically diagnose EP, however, MIC-1 could distinguish women with an EP that required medical intervention and those women whose PULs spontaneously resolved. A single serum MIC-1 measurement also excluded EP at levels above 1000 ng/mL. MIC-1 may play a role in the development of a combined assay of biomarkers for the diagnosis of EP.
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    Has increased clinical experience with methotrexate reduced the direct costs of medical management of ectopic pregnancy compared to surgery?
    Westaby, DT ; Wu, O ; Duncan, WC ; Critchley, HOD ; Tong, S ; Horne, AW (BIOMED CENTRAL LTD, 2012-09-17)
    BACKGROUND: There is a debate about the cost-efficiency of methotrexate for the management of ectopic pregnancy (EP), especially for patients presenting with serum human chorionic gonadotrophin levels of >1500 IU/L. We hypothesised that further experience with methotrexate, and increased use of guideline-based protocols, has reduced the direct costs of management with methotrexate. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cost analysis on women treated for EP in a large UK teaching hospital to (1) investigate whether the cost of medical management is less expensive than surgical management for those patients eligible for both treatments and (2) to compare the cost of medical management for women with hCG concentrations 1500-3000 IU/L against those with similar hCG concentrations that elected for surgery. Three distinct treatment groups were identified: (1) those who had initial medical management with methotrexate, (2) those who were eligible for initial medical management but chose surgery ('elected' surgery) and (3) those who initially 'required' surgery and did not meet the eligibility criteria for methotrexate. We calculated the costs from the point of view of the National Health Service (NHS) in the UK. We summarised the cost per study group using the mean, standard deviation, median and range and, to account for the skewed nature of the data, we calculated 95% confidence intervals for differential costs using the nonparametric bootstrap method. RESULTS: Methotrexate was £1179 (CI 819-1550) per patient cheaper than surgery but there were no significant savings with methotrexate in women with hCG >1500 IU/L due to treatment failures. CONCLUSIONS: Our data support an ongoing unmet economic need for better medical treatments for EP with hCG >1500 IU/L.
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    The evolution of methotrexate as a treatment for ectopic pregnancy and gestational trophoblastic neoplasia: a review.
    Skubisz, MM ; Tong, S (Hindawi Limited, 2012)
    Methotrexate was developed in 1949 as a synthetic folic acid analogue to compete with folic acid and thus interfere with cell replication. While initially developed as a potential treatment for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, a serendipitous observation led to methotrexate's use to effect the dramatic cure of a case of advanced choriocarcinoma. This prompted the exploration for the potential of methotrexate to treat other conditions involving disordered trophoblastic tissue. Methotrexate has subsequently revolutionized the treatment of two pregnancy-related conditions-gestational trophoblastic neoplasia and ectopic pregnancy. This article reviews the development of modern treatment protocols that use methotrexate to medically treat these two important gynaecological conditions.
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    Serum Concentrations of Soluble Flt-1 Are Decreased among Women with a Viable Fetus and No Symptoms of Miscarriage Destined for Pregnancy Loss
    Kaitu'u-Lino, TJ ; Whitehead, CL ; Ngian, G-L ; Permezel, M ; Tong, S ; Zenclussen, AC (PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2012-02-28)
    Miscarriage is the most common complication of pregnancy. Pre-clinical miscarriage has an estimated incidence of 30%, whilst clinical miscarriage has an incidence of 12-15%. Two thirds of pregnancies lost to miscarriage are believed to be attributable to defective placentation, thus a number of studies have sought to identify markers of defective placentation that could be used as clinical biomarkers of miscarriage. Decreased soluble FMS-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt1), placental growth factor (PlGF), and soluble endoglin (sEng) in the maternal circulation during the first trimester have recently been proposed as potential markers of pregnancy loss. However, in these studies clinical samples were only obtained once women had presented with symptoms of miscarriage. In this study we prospectively screened serum samples collected from asymptomatic women with a viable fetus. We assessed maternal serum levels of sFlt1, PlGF and sEng across the first trimester of normal pregnancy and compared levels between women who continued to a live birth, to those who subsequently miscarried. Both sFlt1 and PlGF significantly (p≤0.05) increased across gestation in normal pregnancy with serum levels rising from 0.65±0.12 ng/ml at 6 weeks to 1.85±0.24 ng/ml at 12 weeks for sFlt1, and 57.2±19.2 pg/ml to 106±22.7 pg/ml for PlGF. sEng remained unchanged throughout the the first trimester. Importantly we detected a significant (35%, p≤0.05) decrease in sFlt1 levels between our control and miscarriage cohort, however there was significant overlap between cases and controls, suggesting serum sFlt1 is unlikely to be useful as a clinical biomarker in asymptomatic women. Nevertheless, our data suggests a dysregulation of angiogenic factors may be involved in the pathophysiology of miscarriage.
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    MMP-15 Is Upregulated in Preeclampsia, but Does Not Cleave Endoglin to Produce Soluble Endoglin
    Kaitu'u-Lino, TJ ; Palmer, K ; Tuohey, L ; Ye, L ; Tong, S ; Zenclussen, AC (PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2012-06-29)
    Preeclampsia is a major pregnancy complication, characterized by severe endothelial dysfunction, hypertension and maternal end-organ damage. Soluble endoglin is an anti-angiogenic protein released from placenta and thought to play a central role in causing the endothelial dysfunction and maternal organ injury seen in severe preeclampsia. We recently reported MMP-14 was the protease producing placentally-derived soluble endoglin by cleaving full-length endoglin present on the syncytiotrophoblast surface. This find identifies a specific drug target for severe preeclampsia; interfering with MMP-14 mediated cleavage of endoglin could decrease soluble endoglin production, ameliorating clinical disease. However, experimental MMP-14 inhibition alone only partially repressed soluble endoglin production, implying other proteases might have a role in producing soluble endoglin. Here we investigated whether MMP-15--phylogenetically the closest MMP relative to MMP-14 with 66% sequence similarity--also cleaves endoglin to produce soluble endoglin. MMP-15 was localized to the syncytiotrophoblast layer of the placenta, the same site where endoglin was localized. Interestingly, it was significantly (p = 0.03) up-regulated in placentas from severe early-onset preeclamptic pregnancies (n = 8) compared to gestationally matched preterm controls (n = 8). However, siRNA knockdown of MMP-15 yielded no significant decrease of soluble endoglin production from either HUVECs or syncytialised BeWo cells in vitro. Importantly, concurrent siRNA knockdown of both MMP-14 and MMP-15 in HUVECS did not yield further decrease in soluble endoglin production compared to MMP-14 siRNA alone. We conclude MMP-15 is up-regulated in preeclampsia, but does not cleave endoglin to produce soluble endoglin.
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    Diagnostic Accuracy of Maternal Serum Macrophage Inhibitory Cytokine-1 and Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A at 6-10 Weeks of Gestation to Predict Miscarriage
    Tong, S ; Ngian, G-L ; Onwude, JL ; Permezel, M ; Saglam, B ; Hay, S ; Konje, JC ; Marczylo, TH ; Fleming, G ; Walker, SP ; Lappas, M (LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS, 2012-05)
    OBJECTIVE: To determine whether serum macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), anandamide, or β-human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) measured in an asymptomatic population in the middle of the first trimester with a viable fetus predicts subsequent miscarriage. METHODS: We undertook a prospective cohort study at Mercy Hospital for Women between 2004 and 2008. Participants (N=782) were recruited from prenatal clinics, where samples were taken from asymptomatic women at 6 0/7 to 10 6/7 weeks of gestation. We collected samples from only those women for whom we were able to obtain ultrasound evidence of a singleton with fetal cardiac activity. Serum macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1, PAPP-A, anandamide, and β-hCG concentrations were assayed. RESULTS: Twenty-one (2.7%) miscarried and 761 did not. Among those who miscarried, macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 and PAPP-A were significantly decreased at 63% (multiples of the median (MOM) 0.63, 25th-75th percentiles 0.33-0.88) and 23% (MOM 0.23, 25th-75th percentiles 0.12-0.48) of levels seen among those with ongoing pregnancies (P<.001 for both comparisons). In contrast, neither serum β-hCG (MOM 0.99, 25th-75th percentiles 0.46-1.86) nor anandamide (MOM 1.07, 25th-75th percentiles 0.87-1.19) was elevated or decreased among those who miscarried compared with those with ongoing pregnancies. At a fixed 10% false-positive rate (90% specificity), a test combining macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 and PAPP-A yielded 63% sensitivity and a 6.6 positive likelihood ratio in predicting miscarriage. CONCLUSION: Low serum levels of macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 and PAPP-A measured from asymptomatic women at 6-10 weeks of gestation with viable pregnancies can predict subsequent miscarriage. These analytes are likely to have an important biological role in early pregnancy and are likely to be useful clinical biomarkers for miscarriage and other early pregnancy complications. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II.