Melbourne School of Population and Global Health - Research Publications

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    Steroid hormone measurements from different types of assays in relation to body mass index and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women: Reanalysis of eighteen prospective studies
    Key, TJ ; Appleby, PN ; Reeves, GK ; Travis, RC ; Brinton, LA ; Dallal, CM ; Helzlsouer, KJ ; Hoffman-Bolton, J ; Visvanathan, K ; Dorgan, JF ; Falk, RT ; Gapstur, SM ; Gaudet, MM ; Kaaks, R ; Riboli, E ; Rinaldi, S ; Key, T ; Manjer, J ; Hallmans, G ; Giles, GG ; Le Marchand, L ; Kolonel, LN ; Henderson, BE ; Tworoger, SS ; Hankinson, SE ; Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, A ; Koenig, K ; Krogh, V ; Sieri, S ; Muti, P ; Ziegler, RG ; Schairer, C ; Fuhrman, BJ ; Barrett-Connor, E ; Laughlin, GA ; Grant, EJ ; Cologne, J ; Ohishi, W ; Hida, A ; Cauley, JA ; Fourkala, E-O ; Rohan, TE ; Strickler, HD ; Gunter, MJ (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, 2015-07)
    Epidemiological studies have examined breast cancer risk in relation to sex hormone concentrations measured by different methods: "extraction" immunoassays (with prior purification by organic solvent extraction, with or without column chromatography), "direct" immunoassays (no prior extraction or column chromatography), and more recently with mass spectrometry-based assays. We describe the associations of estradiol, estrone and testosterone with both body mass index and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women according to assay method, using data from a collaborative pooled analysis of 18 prospective studies. In general, hormone concentrations were highest in studies that used direct assays and lowest in studies that used mass spectrometry-based assays. Estradiol and estrone were strongly positively associated with body mass index, regardless of the assay method; testosterone was positively associated with body mass index for direct assays, but less clearly for extraction assays, and there were few data for mass spectrometry assays. The correlations of estradiol with body mass index, estrone and testosterone were lower for direct assays than for extraction and mass spectrometry assays, suggesting that the estimates from the direct assays were less precise. For breast cancer risk, all three hormones were strongly positively associated with risk regardless of assay method (except for testosterone by mass spectrometry where there were few data), with no statistically significant differences in the trends, but differences may emerge as new data accumulate. Future epidemiological and clinical research studies should continue to use the most accurate assays that are feasible within the design characteristics of each study.
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    Increases in controlled-release oxycodone utilisation following the subsidy of oxycodone with naloxone formulations: An Australian population-based study
    Schaffer, AL ; Karanges, EA ; Buckley, NA ; Wilson, A ; Degenhardt, L ; Larance, B ; Pearson, S-A (WILEY, 2019-01)
    PURPOSE: Despite increasing use of oxycodone/naloxone controlled-release (CR) in Australia, little is known about how it has affected the overall oxycodone CR market since its subsidy in 2011. METHODS: We used Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme dispensing claims (2006-2016) and interrupted time series analysis to examine changes in the quarterly rates of dispensing of oral oxycodone CR formulations (oxycodone/naloxone CR and single-ingredient oxycodone CR) and new oxycodone CR treatment episodes. We also performed a retrospective cohort study in a sample of people initiating a new oxycodone CR treatment episode in 2009, 2012/2013, and 2016 to compare opioid utilisation patterns over time. RESULTS: The subsidy of oxycodone/naloxone CR was associated with a 1.6-fold increase in the growth rate of oxycodone CR dispensing, resulting from rapid uptake of low strength (≤5 mg) oxycodone/naloxone CR. In our cohort of initiators, the number of new oxycodone CR treatment episodes increased 2.1-fold between 2009 and 2016; in 2016, 91.4% of new treatment episodes involved oxycodone/naloxone CR. Comparing 2016 with 2009, we observed an increase in people initiating with a tablet strength less than or equal to 5-mg (risk difference [RD] = 21.1%, 95% CI, 19.9%-22.4%) in people initiating with no other opioid dispensing 90 days prior to initiation (RD = 5.2%, 3.8%-6.6%) and with no further opioid dispensing 90 days after initiation (RD = 8.8%, 7.4%-10.2%). CONCLUSIONS: After its subsidy, the uptake of low-dose oxycodone/naloxone CR was greater than expected if it were substituting the single-ingredient oxycodone CR, resulting in an expansion of the oxycodone CR market.
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    Injecting drug use is an independent risk factor for reincarceration after release from prison: A prospective cohort study
    Winter, RJ ; Stoove, M ; Agius, PA ; Hellard, ME ; Kinner, SA (WILEY, 2019-03)
    INTRODUCTION AND AIMS: Once involved in the criminal justice system, people who inject drugs (PWID) have a high probability of multiple system encounters. Imprisonment typically fails to rehabilitate PWID, who upon return to the community are at considerable risk of returning to injecting drug use (IDU) and poor health and social outcomes. We examined the effect of IDU resumption, and a suite of other sociodemographic, criminogenic, health and behavioural indicators, on the timing of reincarceration among adults with a history of IDU following release from prison. DESIGN AND METHODS: Structured interviews were conducted with 561 PWID in Queensland, Australia prior to release from prison and approximately 1, 3 and 6 months post-release. Data were linked prospectively with correctional records and the National Death Index. Data collected at multiple time-points were treated as time-varying covariates. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the rate and hazards of reincarceration. RESULTS: Sixty-eight percent of participants (n = 350) were reincarcerated over a combined observation time of 1043.5 years, representing a rate of 33.5 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 30.2-37.2). Time-invariant predictors of reincarceration in PWID were: male gender (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] = 1.62, 95% CI 1.19-2.21), older age at release (AHR = 0.97, 95% CI 0.95-1.00), previous adult (AHR = 2.00, 95% CI 1.41-2.84) or juvenile (AHR = 1.78, 95% CI 1.27-2.49) imprisonment, shorter imprisonment (≤90 days vs. >365 days, AHR = 2.09, 95% CI 1.30-3.34), release on parole (AHR = 2.29, 95% CI 1.82-2.88) and drug-related sentence (AHR = 1.84, 95% CI 1.34-2.53). Time-varying predictors included resumption of IDU (AHR = 2.04, 95% CI 1.60-2.61), unemployment (AHR = 1.53, 95% CI 1.07-2.19) and low perceived social support (AHR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.05-1.90). Very-high psychological distress at the most recent interview was protective against reincarceration (AHR = 0.65, 95% CI 0.44-0.95). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: Efforts to prevent resumption of IDU and address disadvantage, social inclusion and health service access in ex-prisoners through the scale-up and integration of prison-based and post-release interventions are likely to reap both public health and criminal justice benefits.
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    The Structure of Indigenous Data
    Rose, J (Systems and Society Research Network, University of Melbourne, 2019-11-28)
    All data may be considered as exhibiting structure at two levels: a ‘micro’ level of constituent elements and relations, and a ‘macro’ level of patterns in the dataset as a whole. Macro-level structure emerges from micro-level structure, via a combination of factors both internal and external to the data itself. When we are dealing with data about people, dataset structure is determined at a macro-level by the interaction of two factors: The lived reality of the people from whom the data is collected, and the research objectives of the people who collect the data. The interaction between these two factors may range between harmony and tension, which in turn generates either self-consistency or contradictions in dataset structure. In colonial administrative settings, because of the competing and asymmetrically resourced interests of Indigenous and colonizing communities, data collection has historically been performed by government, while the people whose lands have been colonized are the ones from whom data is collected. Conflicting interests tend to shift the structure of resulting datasets towards a state of inherent contradiction, generating limited insights. The twin emerging movements of Indigenous data governance, and Indigenous data sovereignty provide an opportunity to engage in large-scale data restructuring initiatives. A new interest on the part of government departments and agencies in facilitating Indigenous governance over data concerning Indigenous peoples, means that there is now an opportunity to reconsider not only the historic skewing of data collection and modelling, but also the ongoing practice of exclusive data structure management by government.
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    Use of LV Deformation Imaging to predict long term Heart Failure Risk in high risk patients
    Haji, K ; Marwick, T ; Neil, C ; Stewart, S ; Carrington, M ; Wright, L ; Chan, Y ; Simons, K ; Wong, C (Oxford University Press (OUP), 2019-10-01)
    Abstract Background The increasing prevalence of heart failure (HF), due to hypertension, ischaemic heart disease, diabetes, obesity, and ageing population demands identification of at-risk subgroup whom we could target on prevention strategies. In a same cohort of patients at risk of HF (70% with CAD), 13% developed new HF hospitalization or death over 4.3 years of follow-up, however, disease management program did not confer any benefit to outcome and LV ejection fraction (EF) was not predictive of progression to HF. Better risk stratification strategies are needed. In this study, we sought whether advanced echo measure on deformation, global longitudinal strain (GLS) would predict HF admission over a long term follow up and thereby define an at-risk group. Aim: To determine which of the LV morphology, function and deformation parameters, best predict new HF admission or HF death in pts at risk but without prior dx of HF. Method Echocardiograms (including measurement of LV, size, function, morphology and deformation) were obtained in 431 inpatients (mean age 65±11, 72% male) at risk of HF. LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) and strain rate (GLSR) were measured offline (EchoPac, GE). Long term (9 years) follow up data were obtained via data linkage. Results 63 pts (15%) reached the end-point of HF admission or HF death. LV deformation showed a univariable association with outcome (Table). In multivariable analysis, including known significant predictors of outcome (age, sex, BMI, diabetes, hypertension), GLS less than 18 remained an independent predictor (Table), in addition to age and DM at baseline. EF and LV mass were not predictors of heart failure. HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value Age 1.1 (1–1.1) <0.01 1.1 (1–1.1) 0.04 1 (1–1.1) 0.04 Sex 1.0 (0.6–1.7) 0.9 0.8 (0.4–1.8) 0.6 0.8 (0.4–1.8) 0.6 BMI 1.0 (1–1.1) 0.05 1 (0.9–1.1) 0.7 1 (0.9–1.1) 0.7 DM 2.6 (1.6–4.3) <0.01 2.7 (1.4–5.3) <0.01 2.7 (1.4–5.2) 0.04 LVMI 1.0 (1.0–1.0) <0.01 1 (0.9–1.0) 0.7 1 (0.99–1.0) 0.7 Impaired EF, % 1.0 (0.9–1.0) <0.01 1 (0.9–1.0) 0.16 0.97 (0.94–1.0) 0.04 Diastolic dysfunction 2.3 (1.4–3.7) <0.01 0.8 (0.3–1.7) 0.5 0.7 (0.3–1.7) 0.5 GLS 1.3 (1.4–1.2) <0.01 1.1 (1–1.2) 0.07 GLS <18 5.3 (2.8–10.2) <0.01 2.3 (1.1–5.1) 0.04 Conclusion GLS <18 is independently associated with increasing new onset heart failure admission and HF mortality in patients at risk of HF.
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    Rethink: Interdisciplinary evaluation of academic workspaces
    Backhouse, S ; Newton, C ; Fisher, K ; Cleveland, B ; Naccarella, L ; Agrawal, A ; Gupta, R (Architectural Science Association (ANZAScA), 2019)
    Academic workspace remains an emotive topic. It is bound tightly with each academic’s identity, purpose and status. As universities increasingly focus on cross-disciplinary collaboration to producenew knowledge, the sanctuary of the individual office is under challenge. Inspired by precedents in the commercial world, universities are experimenting with more open workspace environments with a desire topromote collaborationand increasespace utilisation.However,there is resistance withintheacademic community. Given this context, there is a surprising paucity of research into the design and occupation of academic workspaces. This research beginsto fill that gap through a scoping literature review specific to the academic workspaceand anew approach toacademic workspace evaluation (AWE). The AWE approach focuses on the alignment of people, purpose and place, differentiating itself from the predominant post-occupancy evaluation fociofbudget, time, environmental performance and user satisfaction. A key finding of the research has been that change management – as an integral aspect of the project design process –is as importantto the success of future-focused academic workspace projects as theirspatial design.
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    HIERARCHICAL MODELS FOR INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS: A CASE STUDY OF SMOKING, DISABILITY AND SOCIAL INEQUALITY IN 21 EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
    Disney, G ; Gurrin, L ; Milner, A ; Kavanagh, A ; Aitken, Z ; Petrie, D (BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, 2019-09)
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    14th Annual Meeting of the Collaborative Group of the Americas on Inherited Colorectal Cancer Dallas, TX, USA. 12-13 October 2010. Abstracts.
    Parry, S ; Win, AK ; Macrae, FA ; Parry, B ; Gurrin, LC ; Lindor, NM ; Gallinger, S ; Hopper, JL ; Jenkins, MA (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2011)
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    Women as agents in fertility decision-making: Australia, 1870-1910
    Moyle, H ; McDonald, P (IUSSP – UIESP, 2017)