Infrastructure Engineering - Research Publications
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ItemNo Preview AvailableTraining sample selection for robust multi-year within-season crop classification using machine learning(Elsevier BV, 2023-07-01)Within-season crop classification using multispectral imagery is an effective way to generate timely crop maps that can support water and crop management; however, developing such models is challenging due to limited satellite imagery and ground truth data available during the season. This study investigated ways to optimize the use of multi-year samples in a within-season crop classification model, aiming to enable accurate within-season crop mapping across years. Our study focused on classifying field-scale corn/maize, cotton, and rice in south-eastern Australia from 2013 to 2019. The crop classification model was based on the random forest and support vector machine algorithms applied to Landsat 8 multispectral bands. We designed four experiments to understand the influences of training sample selection on model accuracy. Specifically, we analyzed how the within-season classification accuracies are affected by 1) training sample size; 2) proportions of classification classes; 3) the inclusion of a non-crop class (e.g., fallow land) in the training sample, and 4) training samples collected from different years. We found that 1) the training sample size should be sufficiently large to ensure within-season classification accuracy; 2) using training samples for each crop type in proportion to their occurrence within the landscape results in more accurate multi-year classification; 3) the inclusion of the non-crop class can reduce the accuracy with which crop types are distinguished, so the proportion of the non-crop class should be maintained at a relatively low level, and 4) predicting the current year with training samples from previous years can lead to a minor decline in accuracy compared to using samples only from the current year. These training sample settings were adopted to develop a final model. We found that the model accuracy continues to improve as more input imagery is added as the cropping season progresses, with a rapid rate of initial improvement which then slows. December, the third month of the summer growing season, is the earliest time that reliable maps were generated, with an overall accuracy of 86 % and user's accuracies for all crops exceeding 80 %. Our proposed experiments are robust and transferable to other regions and seasons to assist the development of within-season crop maps, and can thus be valuable tools to support agricultural management.
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ItemExplaining changes in rainfall-runoff relationships during and after Australia's Millennium Drought: a community perspective(COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH, 2022-12-06)Abstract. The Millennium Drought lasted more than a decade and is notable for causing persistent shifts in the relationship between rainfall and runoff in many southeastern Australian catchments. Research to date has successfully characterised where and when shifts occurred and explored relationships with potential drivers, but a convincing physical explanation for observed changes in catchment behaviour is still lacking. Originating from a large multi-disciplinary workshop, this paper presents and evaluates a range of hypothesised process explanations of flow response to the Millennium Drought. The hypotheses consider climatic forcing, vegetation, soil moisture dynamics, groundwater, and anthropogenic influence. The hypotheses are assessed against evidence both temporally (e.g. why was the Millennium Drought different to previous droughts?) and spatially (e.g. why did rainfall–runoff relationships shift in some catchments but not in others?). Thus, the strength of this work is a large-scale assessment of hydrologic changes and potential drivers. Of 24 hypotheses, 3 are considered plausible, 10 are considered inconsistent with evidence, and 11 are in a category in between, whereby they are plausible yet with reservations (e.g. applicable in some catchments but not others). The results point to the unprecedented length of the drought as the primary climatic driver, paired with interrelated groundwater processes, including declines in groundwater storage, altered recharge associated with vadose zone expansion, and reduced connection between subsurface and surface water processes. Other causes include increased evaporative demand and harvesting of runoff by small private dams. Finally, we discuss the need for long-term field monitoring, particularly targeting internal catchment processes and subsurface dynamics. We recommend continued investment in the understanding of hydrological shifts, particularly given their relevance to water planning under climate variability and change.
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ItemComparison of KOMPSAT-5 and Sentinel-1 Radar Data for Soil Moisture Estimations Using a New Semi-Empirical Model(MDPI, 2022-08)X-band KOMPSAT-5 provides a good perspective for soil moisture retrieval at high-spatial resolution over arid and semi-arid areas. In this paper, an intercomparison of KOMPSAT-5 and C-band Sentinel-1 radar data in soil moisture retrieval was conducted over agricultural fields in Wimmera, Victoria, Australia. Optical images from Sentinel-2 were also used to calculate the scattering contribution of vegetation. This study employed a new semi-empirical vegetation scattering model with a linear association of soil moisture with observed backscatter coefficient and vegetation indices. The Combined Vegetation Index (CVI) was proposed and first used to parameterize vegetation water content. As a result, the vegetation scattering model was developed to monitor soil moisture based on remotely sensed data and ground measurements. Application of the algorithm over dryland wheat field sites demonstrated that the estimated satellite-based soil moisture contents have good linear relationships with the ground measurements. The correlation coefficients (R) are 0.862 and 0.616, and the root mean square errors (RMSEs) have the values of 0.020 cm3/cm3 and 0.032 cm3/cm3 at X- and C-bands, respectively. Furthermore, the validation results also indicated that X-band provided higher consistent accuracy for soil moisture inversion than C-band. These results showed significant promise in retrieving soil moisture using KOMPSAT-5 and Sentinel-1 remotely sensed data at high-spatial resolution over agricultural fields, with subsequent uses for crop growth and yield estimation.
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ItemAn analysis framework to evaluate irrigation decisions using short-term ensemble weather forecasts(SPRINGER, 2023-01)Abstract Irrigation water is an expensive and limited resource and optimal scheduling can boost water efficiency. Scheduling decisions often need to be made several days prior to an irrigation event, so a key aspect of irrigation scheduling is the accurate prediction of crop water use and soil water status ahead of time. This prediction relies on several key inputs including initial soil water status, crop conditions and weather. Since each input is subject to uncertainty, it is important to understand how these uncertainties impact soil water prediction and subsequent irrigation scheduling decisions. This study aims to develop an uncertainty-based analysis framework for evaluating irrigation scheduling decisions under uncertainty, with a focus on the uncertainty arising from short-term rainfall forecasts. To achieve this, a biophysical process-based crop model, APSIM (The Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator), was used to simulate root-zone soil water content for a study field in south-eastern Australia. Through the simulation, we evaluated different irrigation scheduling decisions using ensemble short-term rainfall forecasts. This modelling produced an ensemble of simulations of soil water content, as well as ensemble simulations of irrigation runoff and drainage. This enabled quantification of risks of over- and under-irrigation. These ensemble estimates were interpreted to inform the timing of the next irrigation event to minimize both the risks of stressing the crop and/or wasting water under uncertain future weather. With extension to include other sources of uncertainty (e.g., evapotranspiration forecasts, crop coefficient), we plan to build a comprehensive uncertainty framework to support on-farm irrigation decision-making.
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ItemA multi-model approach to assessing the impacts of catchment characteristics on spatial water quality in the Great Barrier Reef catchments(ELSEVIER SCI LTD, 2021-11-01)Water quality monitoring programs often collect large amounts of data with limited attention given to the assessment of the dominant drivers of spatial and temporal water quality variations at the catchment scale. This study uses a multi-model approach: a) to identify the influential catchment characteristics affecting spatial variability in water quality; and b) to predict spatial variability in water quality more reliably and robustly. Tropical catchments in the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) area, Australia, were used as a case study. We developed statistical models using 58 catchment characteristics to predict the spatial variability in water quality in 32 GBR catchments. An exhaustive search method coupled with multi-model inference approaches were used to identify important catchment characteristics and predict the spatial variation in water quality across catchments. Bootstrapping and cross-validation approaches were used to assess the uncertainty in identified important factors and robustness of multi-model structure, respectively. The results indicate that water quality variables were generally most influenced by the natural characteristics of catchments (e.g., soil type and annual rainfall), while anthropogenic characteristics (i.e., land use) also showed significant influence on dissolved nutrient species (e.g., NOX, NH4 and FRP). The multi-model structures developed in this work were able to predict average event-mean concentration well, with Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient ranging from 0.68 to 0.96. This work provides data-driven evidence for catchment managers, which can help them develop effective water quality management strategies.
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ItemEnhancing the Accuracy and Temporal Transferability of Irrigated Cropping Field Classification Using Optical Remote Sensing Imagery(MDPI, 2022-02)Mapping irrigated areas using remotely sensed imagery has been widely applied to support agricultural water management; however, accuracy is often compromised by the in-field heterogeneity of and interannual variability in crop conditions. This paper addresses these key issues. Two classification methods were employed to map irrigated fields using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) values derived from Landsat 7 and Landsat 8: a dynamic thresholding method (method one) and a random forest method (method two). To improve the representativeness of field-level NDVI aggregates, which are the key inputs in our methods, a Gaussian mixture model (GMM)-based filtering approach was adopted to remove noncrop pixels (e.g., trees and bare soils) and mixed pixels along the field boundary. To improve the temporal transferability of method one we dynamically determined the threshold value to account for the impact of interannual weather variability based on the dynamic range of NDVI values. In method two an innovative training sample pool was designed for the random forest modeling to enable automatic calibration for each season, which contributes to consistent performance across years. The irrigated field mapping was applied to a major irrigation district in Australia from 2011 to 2018, for summer and winter cropping seasons separately. The results showed that using GMM-based filtering can markedly improve field-level data quality and avoid up to 1/3 of omission errors for irrigated fields. Method two showed superior performance, exhibiting consistent and good accuracy (kappa > 0.9) for both seasons. The classified maps in wet winter seasons should be used with caution, because rainfall alone can largely meet plant water requirements, leaving the contribution of irrigation to the surface spectral signature weak. The approaches introduced are transferable to other areas, can support multiyear irrigated area mapping with high accuracy, and significantly reduced model development effort.
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ItemParsimonious Gap-Filling Models for Sub-Daily Actual Evapotranspiration Observations from Eddy-Covariance Systems(MDPI, 2022-03)Missing data and low data quality are common issues in field observations of actual evapotranspiration (ETa) from eddy-covariance systems, which necessitates the need for gap-filling techniques to improve data quality and utility for further analyses. A number of models have been proposed to fill temporal gaps in ETa or latent heat flux observations. However, existing gap-filling approaches often use multi-variate models that rely on relationships between ETa and other meteorological and flux variables, highlighting a critical lack of parsimonious gap-filling models. This study aims to develop and evaluate parsimonious approaches to fill gaps in ETa observations. We adapted three gap-filling models previously used for other meteorological variables but never applied to infill sub-daily ETa or flux observations from eddy-covariance systems before. All three models are solely based on the observed diurnal patterns in the ETa data, which infill gaps in sub-daily data with sinusoidal functions (Sinusoidal), smoothing functions (Smoothing) and pattern matching (MaxCor) approaches, respectively. We presented a systematic approach for model evaluation, considering multiple patterns of data gaps during different times of the day. The three gap-filling models were evaluated together with another benchmarking gap-filling model, mean diurnal variation (MDV) that has been commonly used and has similar data requirement. We used a case study with field measurements from an EC system over summer 2020–2021, at a maize field in southeastern Australia. We identified the MaxCor model as the best gap-filling model, which informs the diurnal pattern of the day to infill by using another day with similar temporal patterns and complete data. Following the MaxCor model, the MDV and the Sinusoidal models show comparable performances. We further discussed the infilling models in terms of their dependence on data availability and their suitability for different practical situations. The MaxCor model relies on high data availability for both days with complete data and the available records within each day to infill. The Sinusoidal model does not rely on any day with complete data, which makes it the ideal choice in situations where days with complete records are limited.
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ItemAssimilation of stream discharge for flood forecasting: The benefits of accounting for routing time lags(AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2013-04-01)General filtering approaches in hydrologic data assimilation, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are based on the assumption that uncertainty of the current background prediction can be reduced by correcting errors in the state variables at the same time step. However, this assumption may not be valid when assimilating stream discharge into hydrological models to correct soil moisture storage due to the time lag between the soil moisture and the discharge. In this paper, we explore the utility of an ensemble Kalman smoother (EnKS) for addressing this time-lag issue. The EnKF and the EnKS are compared for two different updating schemes with the probability distributed model (PDM) via synthetic experiments: (i) updating soil moisture only and (ii) updating soil moisture and routing states simultaneously. The results show that the EnKS is superior to the EnKF when only soil moisture is updated, while the EnKS and the EnKF exhibit similar results when both soil moisture and routing storages are updated. This suggests that the EnKS can better improve the stream flow forecasting for models that do not adopt storage-based routing schemes (e.g., unit-hydrograph-based routing). For models with dynamic routing stores, errors in soil moisture are transferred to the routing stores, which can be corrected effectively by real-time filters. The EnKS-based soil moisture updating scheme is also tested with the GR4H model, for which unit-hydrograph-based routing is used. The result confirms that the EnKS is superior to the EnKF in improving both soil moisture and stream flow forecasting.
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ItemDe-noising of passive and active microwave satellite soil moisture time series(AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2013-07-28)Satellite microwave retrievals and in situ measurements of surface soil moisture are usually compared in the time domain. This paper examines their differences in the conjugate frequency domain to develop a spectral description of the satellite data, suggesting the presence of stochastic random and systematic periodic errors. Based on a semiempirical model of the observed power spectral density, we describe systematic designs of causal and noncausal filters to remove these erroneous signals. The filters are applied to the retrievals from active and passive satellite sensors and evaluated against field data from the Murrumbidgee Basin, southeast Australia, to show substantive increase in linear correlations.