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    The Global Epidemiology of Impetigo: A Systematic Review of the Population Prevalence of Impetigo and Pyoderma
    Bowen, AC ; Mahe, A ; Hay, RJ ; Andrews, RM ; Steer, AC ; Tong, SYC ; Carapetis, JR ; Reid, SD (PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2015-08-28)
    OBJECTIVE: We conducted a comprehensive, systematic review of the global childhood population prevalence of impetigo and the broader condition pyoderma. METHODS: PubMed was systematically searched for impetigo or pyoderma studies published between January 1 1970 and September 30 2014. Two independent reviewers extracted data from each relevant article on the prevalence of impetigo. FINDINGS: Sixty-six articles relating to 89 studies met our inclusion criteria. Based on population surveillance, 82 studies included data on 145,028 children assessed for pyoderma or impetigo. Median childhood prevalence was 12·3% (IQR 4·2-19·4%). Fifty-eight (65%) studies were from low or low-middle income countries, where median childhood prevalences were 8·4% (IQR 4·2-16·1%) and 14·5% (IQR 8·3-20·9%), respectively. However, the highest burden was seen in underprivileged children from marginalised communities of high-income countries; median prevalence 19·4%, (IQR 3·9-43·3%). CONCLUSION: Based on data from studies published since 2000 from low and low-middle income countries, we estimate the global population of children suffering from impetigo at any one time to be in excess of 162 million, predominantly in tropical, resource-poor contexts. Impetigo is an under-recognised disease and in conjunction with scabies, comprises a major childhood dermatological condition with potential lifelong consequences if untreated.
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    Comparative M-protein analysis of Streptococcus pyogenes from pharyngitis and skin infections in New Zealand: Implications for vaccine development
    Williamson, DA ; Smeesters, PR ; Steer, AC ; Morgan, J ; Davies, M ; Carter, P ; Upton, A ; Tong, SYC ; Fraser, J ; Moreland, NJ (BIOMED CENTRAL LTD, 2016-10-12)
    BACKGROUND: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) are responsible for a significant disease burden amongst Māori and Pacific populations in New Zealand (NZ). However, contemporary data are lacking regarding circulating group A Streptococcal (GAS) strains in NZ. Such information is important in guiding vaccine development. METHODS: GAS isolates from April to June 2015 were recovered from skin and pharyngeal samples from children living in areas of high social deprivation in Auckland, NZ, a significant proportion of which are Māori or Pacific. These children are among the highest risk group for developing ARF. Isolates were compared to concurrently collected pharyngeal isolates from Dunedin, NZ, where both the proportion of Māori and Pacific children and risk of developing ARF is low. Emm typing, emm cluster typing and theoretical coverage of the 30-valent vaccine candidate were undertaken as previously described. RESULTS: A high diversity of emm types and a high proportion of emm-pattern D and cluster D4 isolates were detected amongst both skin and pharyngeal isolates in children at high risk of ARF. Pharyngeal isolates from children at low risk of ARF within the same country were significantly less diverse, less likely to be emm pattern D, and more likely to be theoretically covered by the 30-valent M protein vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: The high proportion of emm pattern D GAS strains amongst skin and pharyngeal isolates from children at high risk of ARF raises further questions about the role of skin infection in ARF pathogenesis. Emm types and emm clusters differed considerably between ARF endemic and non-endemic settings, even within the same country. This difference should be taken into account for vaccine development.
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    Clinical Description and Outcomes of Australian Children With Invasive Group A Streptococcal Disease
    Thielemans, E ; Oliver, J ; McMinn, A ; Baker, C ; Britton, PN ; Clark, J ; Marshall, H ; Blyth, CC ; Francis, J ; Buttery, J ; Smeesters, PR ; Crawford, N ; Steer, AC (LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS, 2020-05)
    BACKGROUND: Invasive group A streptococcal disease is a severe infection with a high case fatality rate, estimated to cause more than 150,000 deaths per year worldwide. The clinical presentation of this infection is variable, and early diagnosis can be challenging. There are few data on its short- and longer-term outcomes, especially in children. The aim of this study was to assess the clinical presentation, management and short- and longer-term outcomes of invasive group A streptococcal disease in children in Australia. METHODS: We undertook a prospective surveillance study of children with laboratory-confirmed invasive group A streptococcus disease admitted to 7 sentinel tertiary and quaternary pediatric hospitals in Australia between July 2016 and June 2018. We collected demographic and clinical data and contacted patients 6 months after discharge to assess longer-term outcomes. RESULTS: We enrolled 181 children, 7 days to 16 years of age. The principal site of invasive infection was blood (126 children, 69.6%), and the most frequent clinical presentation was pneumonia in 46 children (25.4%). Twenty-six children developed streptococcal toxic shock syndrome (14.4%), and 74 had severe disease (40.9%), including 71 admitted to the intensive care unit. Five children died (2.8%). At discharge and 6 months, 29.3% and 15.2% of the children had persisting health problems, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Invasive group A streptococcal infection in Australian children is frequently severe and has a high long-term morbidity burden, highlighting the need for strengthened clinical care pathways, epidemiologic surveillance and prevention strategies.
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    Longitudinal Analysis of Group A Streptococcus emm Types and emm Clusters in a High-Prevalence Setting: Relationship between Past and Future Infections.
    Campbell, PT ; Tong, SYC ; Geard, N ; Davies, MR ; Worthing, KA ; Lacey, JA ; Smeesters, PR ; Batzloff, MR ; Kado, J ; Jenney, AWJ ; Mcvernon, J ; Steer, AC (Oxford University Press (OUP), 2020-05-01)
    Group A Streptococcus is a pathogen of global importance, but despite the ubiquity of group A Streptococcus infections, the relationship between infection, colonization, and immunity is still not completely understood. The M protein, encoded by the emm gene, is a major virulence factor and vaccine candidate and forms the basis of a number of classification systems. Longitudinal patterns of emm types collected from 457 Fijian schoolchildren over a 10-month period were analyzed. No evidence of tissue tropism was observed, and there was no apparent selective pressure or constraint of emm types. Patterns of emm type acquisition suggest limited, if any, modification of future infection based on infection history. Where impetigo is the dominant mode of transmission, circulating emm types either may not be constrained by ecological niches or population immunity to the M protein, or they may require several infections over a longer period of time to induce such immunity.
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    Treatment, prevention and public health management of impetigo, scabies, crusted scabies and fungal skin infections in endemic populations: a systematic review
    May, PJ ; Tong, SYC ; Steer, AC ; Currie, BJ ; Andrews, RM ; Carapetis, JR ; Bowen, AC (WILEY, 2019-03)
    We conducted a systematic review of the treatment, prevention and public health control of skin infections including impetigo, scabies, crusted scabies and tinea in resource-limited settings where skin infections are endemic. The aim is to inform strategies, guidelines and research to improve skin health in populations that are inequitably affected by infections of the skin and the downstream consequences of these. The systematic review is reported according to the PRISMA statement. From 1759 titles identified, 81 full text studies were reviewed and key findings outlined for impetigo, scabies, crusted scabies and tinea. Improvements in primary care and public health management of skin infections will have broad and lasting impacts on overall quality of life including reductions in morbidity and mortality from sepsis, skeletal infections, kidney and heart disease.
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    Insights from mathematical modelling on the proposed WHO 2030 goals for scabies.
    Marks, M ; McVernon, J ; Engelman, D ; Kaldor, J ; Steer, A (F1000 Research Ltd, 2019)
    Scabies was adopted by the World Health Organization (WHO) as a Neglected Tropical Disease in 2017. There is currently no formal global scabies control programmes or existing WHO guidelines on scabies control although at least two countries, Fiji and Ethiopia, have adopted national approaches to scabies control. In February 2019 WHO held a first Informal Consultation on a Framework for Scabies Control, in part as a response to multiple national requests for guidance on public health management in high disease burden areas. Below we outline control strategies proposed at this meeting and summarise the role that modelling can play in supporting the development of evidence to translate these proposals into formal WHO recommendations and national and global control programmes. Provisional proposals discussed at the WHO Informal Consultation for a scabies control programme include the use of mass drug administration when the community prevalence of scabies is ≥ 10% (generally considered to reflect a childhood prevalence of at least 20%) and the use of intensified case management when the prevalence is below 10%.
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    SToP (See, Treat, Prevent) skin sores and scabies trial: study protocol for a cluster randomised, stepped-wedge trial for skin disease control in remote Western Australia
    Mullane, MJ ; Barnett, TC ; Cannon, JW ; Carapetis, JR ; Christophers, R ; Coffin, J ; Jones, MA ; Marsh, JA ; Mc Loughlin, F ; O'Donnell, V ; Pavlos, R ; Smith, B ; Steer, AC ; Tong, SYC ; Walker, R ; Bowen, AC (BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, 2019-09)
    INTRODUCTION: Skin is important in Australian Aboriginal culture informing kinship and identity. In many remote Aboriginal communities, scabies and impetigo are very common. Untreated skin infections are painful, itchy and frequently go untreated due to under-recognition and lack of awareness of their potential serious complications. We hypothesise that the skin infection burden in remote Aboriginal communities can be reduced by implementing streamlined training and treatment pathways integrated with environmental health and health promotion activities, tested in the See, Treat, Prevent (SToP skin sores and scabies) trial. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: SToP will evaluate a skin control programme using a stepped-wedge, cluster randomised trial design with three intervention components (the 'SToP activities'): (1) seeing skin infections (development of training resources implemented within a community dermatology model); (2) treating skin infections (employing the latest evidence for impetigo, and scabies treatment); and (3) preventing skin infections (embedded, culturally informed health promotion and environmental health activities). Four community clusters in the remote Kimberley region of Western Australia will participate. Following baseline data collection, two clusters will be randomly allocated to the SToP activities. At 12 months, the remaining two clusters will transition to the SToP activities. The primary outcome is the diagnosis of impetigo in children (5-9 years) at school-based surveillance. Secondary outcome measures include scabies diagnosis, other child health indicators, resistance to cotrimoxazole in circulating pathogenic bacteria, determining the economic burden of skin disease and evaluating the cost effectiveness of SToP activities. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study protocol was approved by the health ethics review committees at the Child and Adolescent Health Service (Approval number RGS0000000584), the Western Australian Aboriginal Health Ethics Committee (Reference number: 819) and the University of Western Australia (Reference RA/4/20/4123). Study findings will be shared with community members, academic and medical communities via publications and presentations, and in reports to funders. Authorship for all publications based on this study will be determined in line with the Uniform Requirements for Manuscripts Submitted to Biomedical Journals published by the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors. Sharing results with organisations and communities who contributed to the study is paramount. The results of the SToP trial will be shared with participants in a suitable format, such as a single summary page provided to participants or presentations to communities, the Kimberly Aboriginal Health Planning Forum Research Subcommittee and other stakeholders as appropriate and as requested. Communication and dissemination will require ongoing consultation with Aboriginal communities to determine appropriate formats. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12618000520235.
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    Reference exome data for Australian Aboriginal populations to support health-based research
    Weeks, AL ; D'Antoine, HA ; McKinnon, M ; Syn, G ; Bessarab, D ; Brown, N ; Tong, SYC ; Remenyi, B ; Steer, A ; Gray, L-A ; Inouye, M ; Carapetis, JR ; Blackwell, JM ; Lassmann, T (NATURE PORTFOLIO, 2020-04-29)
    Whole exome sequencing (WES) is a popular and successful technology which is widely used in both research and clinical settings. However, there is a paucity of reference data for Aboriginal Australians to underpin the translation of health-based genomic research. Here we provide a catalogue of variants called after sequencing the exomes of 50 Aboriginal individuals from the Northern Territory (NT) of Australia and compare these to 72 previously published exomes from a Western Australian (WA) population of Martu origin. Sequence data for both NT and WA samples were processed using an 'intersect-then-combine' (ITC) approach, using GATK and SAMtools to call variants. A total of 289,829 variants were identified in at least one individual in the NT cohort and 248,374 variants in at least one individual in the WA cohort. Of these, 166,719 variants were present in both cohorts, whilst 123,110 variants were private to the NT cohort and 81,655 were private to the WA cohort. Our data set provides a useful reference point for genomic studies on Aboriginal Australians.
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    Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
    Vos, T ; Allen, C ; Arora, M ; Barber, RM ; Bhutta, ZA ; Brown, A ; Carter, A ; Casey, DC ; Charlson, FJ ; Chen, AZ ; Coggeshall, M ; Cornaby, L ; Dandona, L ; Dicker, DJ ; Dilegge, T ; Erskine, HE ; Ferrari, AJ ; Fitzmaurice, C ; Fleming, T ; Forouzanfar, MH ; Fullman, N ; Gething, PW ; Goldberg, EM ; Graetz, N ; Haagsma, JA ; Johnson, CO ; Kassebaum, NJ ; Kawashima, T ; Kemmer, L ; Khalil, IA ; Kinfu, Y ; Kyu, HH ; Leung, J ; Liang, X ; Lim, SS ; Lopez, AD ; Lozano, R ; Marczak, L ; Mensah, GA ; Mokdad, AH ; Naghavi, M ; Nguyen, G ; Nsoesie, E ; Olsen, H ; Pigott, DM ; Pinho, C ; Rankin, Z ; Reinig, N ; Salomon, JA ; Sandar, L ; Smith, A ; Stanaway, J ; Steiner, C ; Teeple, S ; Thomas, BA ; Troeger, C ; Wagner, JA ; Wang, H ; Wanga, V ; Whiteford, HA ; Zoeckler, L ; Abajobir, AA ; Abate, KH ; Abbafati, C ; Abbas, KM ; Abd-Allah, F ; Abraham, B ; Abubakar, I ; Abu-Raddad, LJ ; Abu-Rmeileh, NME ; Ackerman, IN ; Adebiyi, AO ; Ademi, Z ; Adou, AK ; Afanvi, KA ; Agardh, EE ; Agarwal, A ; Kiadaliri, AA ; Ahmadieh, H ; Ajala, ON ; Akinyemi, RO ; Akseer, N ; Al-Aly, Z ; Alam, K ; Alam, NKM ; Aldhahri, SF ; Alegretti, MA ; Alemu, ZA ; Alexander, LT ; Alhabib, S ; Ali, R ; Alkerwi, A ; Alla, F ; Allebeck, P ; Al-Raddadi, R ; Alsharif, U ; Altirkawi, KA ; Alvis-Guzman, N ; Amare, AT ; Amberbir, A ; Amini, H ; Ammar, W ; Amrock, SM ; Andersen, HH ; Anderson, GM ; Anderson, B ; Antonio, CAT ; Aregay, AF ; Arnlov, J ; Al, A ; Asayesh, H ; Assadi, R ; Atique, S ; Avokpaho, EFGA ; Awasthi, A ; Quintanilla, BPA ; Azzopardi, P ; Bacha, U ; Badawi, A ; Balakrishnan, K ; Banerjee, A ; Barac, A ; Barker-Collo, SL ; Barnighausen, T ; Barregard, L ; Barrero, LH ; Basu, A ; Bazargan-Hejazi, S ; Bell, B ; Bell, ML ; Bennett, DA ; Bensenor, IM ; Benzian, H ; Berhane, A ; Bernabe, E ; Betsu, BD ; Beyene, AS ; Bhala, N ; Bhatt, S ; Biadgilign, S ; Bienhofff, K ; Bikbov, B ; Biryukov, S ; Bisanzio, D ; Bjertness, E ; Blore, J ; Borschmann, R ; Boufous, S ; Brainin, M ; Brazinova, A ; Breitborde, NJK ; Brown, J ; Buchbinder, R ; Buckle, GC ; Butt, ZA ; Calabria, B ; Ricardo Campos-Nonato, I ; Cesar Campuzano, J ; Carabin, H ; Cardenas, R ; Carpenter, DO ; Carrero, JJ ; Castaneda-Orjuela, CA ; Castillo Rivas, J ; Catala-Lopez, F ; Chang, J-C ; Chiang, PP-C ; Chibueze, CE ; Chisumpa, VH ; Choi, J-YJ ; Chowdhury, R ; Christensen, H ; Christopher, DJ ; Ciobanu, LG ; Cirillo, M ; Coates, MM ; Colquhoun, SM ; Cooper, C ; Cortinovis, M ; Crump, JA ; Damtew, SA ; Dandona, R ; Daoud, F ; Dargan, PI ; das Neves, J ; Davey, G ; Davis, AC ; De Leo, D ; Degenhardt, L ; Del Gobbo, LC ; Dellavalle, RP ; Deribe, K ; Deribew, A ; Derrett, S ; Des Jarlais, DC ; Dharmaratne, SD ; Dhillon, PK ; Diaz-Torne, C ; Ding, EL ; Driscoll, TR ; Duan, L ; Dubey, M ; Duncan, BB ; Ebrahimi, H ; Ellenbogen, RG ; Elyazar, I ; Endres, M ; Endries, AY ; Ermakov, SP ; Eshrati, B ; Estep, K ; Farid, TA ; Sofia e Sa Farinha, C ; Faro, A ; Farvid, MS ; Farzadfar, F ; Feigin, VL ; Felson, DT ; Fereshtehnejad, S-M ; Fernandes, JG ; Fernandes, JC ; Fischer, F ; Fitchett, JRA ; Foreman, K ; Fowkes, GR ; Fox, J ; Franklin, RC ; Friedman, J ; Frostad, J ; Furst, T ; Futran, ND ; Gabbe, B ; Ganguly, P ; Gankpe, FG ; Gebre, T ; Gebrehiwot, TT ; Gebremedhin, AT ; Geleijnse, JM ; Gessner, BD ; Gibney, KB ; Ginawi, IAM ; Giref, AZ ; Giroud, M ; Gishu, MD ; Glaser, E ; Godwin, WW ; Gomez-Dantes, H ; Gona, P ; Goodridge, A ; Gopalani, SV ; Gotay, CC ; Goto, A ; Gouda, HN ; Grainger, R ; Greaves, F ; Guillemin, F ; Guo, Y ; Gupta, R ; Gupta, R ; Gupta, V ; Gutierrez, RA ; Haile, D ; Hailu, AD ; Hailu, GB ; Halasa, YA ; Hamadeh, RR ; Hamidi, S ; Hammami, M ; Hancock, J ; Handal, AJ ; Hankey, GJ ; Hao, Y ; Harb, HL ; Harikrishnan, S ; Maria Haro, J ; Havmoeller, R ; Hay, RJ ; Beatriz Heredia-Pi, I ; Heydarpour, P ; Hoek, HW ; Horino, M ; Horita, N ; Hosgood, HD ; Hoy, DG ; Htet, AS ; Huang, H ; Huang, JJ ; Huynh, C ; Iannarone, M ; Iburg, KM ; Innos, K ; Inoue, M ; Iyer, VJ ; Jacobsen, KH ; Jahanmehr, N ; Jakovljevic, MB ; Javanbakht, M ; Jayatilleke, AU ; Jee, SH ; Jeemon, P ; Jensen, PN ; Jiang, Y ; Jibat, T ; Jimenez-Corona, A ; Jin, Y ; Jonas, JB ; Kabir, Z ; Kalkonde, Y ; Kamal, R ; Kan, H ; Karch, A ; Karema, CK ; Karimkhani, C ; Kasaeian, A ; Kaul, A ; Kawakami, N ; Karimkhani, C ; Kasaeian, A ; Kaul, A ; Kawakami, N ; Keiyoro, PN ; Kemp, AH ; Keren, A ; Kesavachandran, CN ; Khader, YS ; Khaiff, AR ; Khaiff, EA ; Khang, Y-H ; Khera, S ; Khoja, TAM ; Khubchandani, J ; Kieling, C ; Kim, P ; Kim, C-I ; Kim, D ; Kim, YJ ; Kissoon, N ; Knibbs, LD ; Knudsen, AK ; Kokubo, Y ; Kolte, D ; Kopec, JA ; Kosen, S ; Kotsakis, GA ; Koul, PA ; Koyanagi, A ; Kravchenko, M ; Defo, BK ; Bicer, BK ; Kudom, AA ; Kuipers, EJ ; Kumar, GA ; Kutz, M ; Kwan, GF ; Lal, A ; Lalloo, R ; Lallukka, T ; Lam, H ; Lam, JO ; Langan, SM ; Larsson, A ; Lavados, PM ; Leasher, JL ; Leigh, J ; Leung, R ; Levi, M ; Li, Y ; Li, Y ; Liang, J ; Liu, S ; Liu, Y ; Lloyd, BK ; Lo, WD ; Logroscino, G ; Looker, KJ ; Lotufo, PA ; Lunevicius, R ; Lyons, RA ; Mackay, MT ; Abd El Razek, MM ; Mahdavi, M ; Majdan, M ; Majeed, A ; Malekzadeh, R ; Marcenes, W ; Margolis, DJ ; Martinez-Raga, J ; Masiye, F ; Massano, J ; McGarvey, ST ; McGrath, JJ ; McKee, M ; McMahon, BJ ; Meaney, PA ; Mehari, A ; Meija-Rodriguez, F ; Mekonnen, AB ; Melaku, YA ; Memiah, P ; Memish, ZA ; Mendoza, W ; Meretoja, A ; Meretoja, TJ ; Mhimbira, FA ; Miller, TR ; Mills, EJ ; Mirarefin, M ; Mitchell, PB ; Mock, CN ; Mohammadi, A ; Mohammed, S ; Monasta, L ; Montanez Hernandez, JC ; Montico, M ; Mooney, MD ; Moradi-Lakeh, M ; Morawska, L ; Mueller, UO ; Mullany, E ; Mumford, JE ; Murdoch, ME ; Nachega, JB ; Nagel, G ; Naheed, A ; Naldi, L ; Nangia, V ; Newton, JN ; Ng, M ; Ngalesoni, FN ; Quyen, LN ; Nisar, MI ; Nkamedjie Pete, PM ; Nona, JM ; Norheim, OF ; Norman, RE ; Norrving, B ; Nunes, BP ; Ogbo, FA ; Oh, I-H ; Ohkubo, T ; Olivares, PR ; Olusanya, BO ; Olusanya, JO ; Ortiz, A ; Osman, M ; Ota, E ; Mahesh, PA ; Park, E-K ; Parsaeian, M ; de Azeredo Passos, VM ; Paternina Caicedo, AJ ; Patten, SB ; Patton, GC ; Pereira, DM ; Perez-Padilla, R ; Perico, N ; Pesudovs, K ; Petzold, M ; Phillips, MR ; Piel, FB ; Pillay, JD ; Pishgar, F ; Plass, D ; Platts-Mills, JA ; Polinder, S ; Pond, CD ; Popova, S ; Poulton, RG ; Pourmalek, F ; Prabhakaran, D ; Prasad, NM ; Qorbani, M ; Rabiee, RHS ; Radfar, A ; Rafay, A ; Rahimi, K ; Rahimi-Movaghar, V ; Rahman, M ; Rahman, MHU ; Rahman, SU ; Rai, RK ; Rajsic, S ; Ram, U ; Rao, P ; Refaat, AH ; Reitsma, MB ; Remuzzi, G ; Resnikofff, S ; Reynolds, A ; Ribeiro, AL ; Rios Blancas, MJ ; Rolm, HS ; Rojas-Rueda, D ; Ronfani, L ; Roshandel, G ; Roth, GA ; Rothenbacher, D ; Roy, A ; Sagar, R ; Sahathevan, R ; Sanabria, JR ; Dolores Sanchez-Nino, M ; Santos, IS ; Santos, JV ; Sarmiento-Suarez, R ; Sartorius, B ; Satpathy, M ; Savic, M ; Sawhney, M ; Schaub, MP ; Schmidt, MI ; Schneider, IJC ; Schottker, B ; Schwebel, DC ; Scott, JG ; Seedat, S ; Sepanlou, SG ; Servan-Mori, EE ; Shackelford, KA ; Shaheen, A ; Shaikh, MA ; Sharma, R ; Sharma, U ; Shen, J ; Shepard, DS ; Sheth, KN ; Shibuya, K ; Shin, M-J ; Shiri, R ; Shiue, I ; Shrime, MG ; Sigfusdottir, ID ; Silva, DAS ; Alves Silveira, DG ; Singh, A ; Singh, JA ; Singh, OP ; Singh, PK ; Sivonda, A ; Skirbekk, V ; Skogen, JC ; Sligar, A ; Silwa, K ; Soljak, M ; Soreide, K ; Soriano, JB ; Sposato, LA ; Sreeramareddy, CT ; Stathopoulou, V ; Steel, N ; Stein, DJ ; Steiner, TJ ; Steinke, S ; Stovner, L ; Stroumpoulis, K ; Sunguya, BF ; Sur, P ; Swaminathan, S ; Sykes, BL ; Szoeke, CEI ; Tabares-Seisdedos, R ; Takala, JS ; Landon, N ; Tanne, D ; Tavakkoli, M ; Taye, B ; Taylor, HR ; Te Ao, BJ ; Tedla, BA ; Terkawi, AS ; Thomson, AJ ; Thorne-Lyman, AL ; Thrift, AG ; Thurston, GD ; Tobe-Gai, R ; Tonelli, M ; Topor-Madry, R ; Topouzis, F ; Tran, BX ; Dimbuene, ZT ; Tsilimbaris, M ; Tura, AK ; Tuzcu, EM ; Tyrovolas, S ; Ukwaja, KN ; Undurraga, EA ; Uneke, CJ ; Uthman, OA ; van Gool, CH ; Varakin, YY ; Vasankari, T ; Venketasubramanian, N ; Verma, RK ; Violante, FS ; Vladimirov, SK ; Vlassov, VV ; Vollset, SE ; Wagner, GR ; Waller, SG ; Wang, L ; Watkins, DA ; Weichenthal, S ; Weiderpass, E ; Weintraub, RG ; Werdecker, A ; Westerman, R ; White, RA ; Williams, HC ; Wiysonge, CS ; Wolfe, CDA ; Won, S ; Woodbrook, R ; Wubshet, M ; Xavier, D ; Xu, G ; Yadav, AK ; Yan, LL ; Yano, Y ; Yaseri, M ; Ye, P ; Yebyo, HG ; Yip, P ; Yonemoto, N ; Yoon, S-J ; Younis, MZ ; Yu, C ; Zaidi, Z ; Zaki, MES ; Zeeb, H ; Zhou, M ; Zodpey, S ; Zuhlke, LJ ; Murray, CJL (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, 2016-10-08)
    BACKGROUND: Non-fatal outcomes of disease and injury increasingly detract from the ability of the world's population to live in full health, a trend largely attributable to an epidemiological transition in many countries from causes affecting children, to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) more common in adults. For the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we estimated the incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for diseases and injuries at the global, regional, and national scale over the period of 1990 to 2015. METHODS: We estimated incidence and prevalence by age, sex, cause, year, and geography with a wide range of updated and standardised analytical procedures. Improvements from GBD 2013 included the addition of new data sources, updates to literature reviews for 85 causes, and the identification and inclusion of additional studies published up to November, 2015, to expand the database used for estimation of non-fatal outcomes to 60 900 unique data sources. Prevalence and incidence by cause and sequelae were determined with DisMod-MR 2.1, an improved version of the DisMod-MR Bayesian meta-regression tool first developed for GBD 2010 and GBD 2013. For some causes, we used alternative modelling strategies where the complexity of the disease was not suited to DisMod-MR 2.1 or where incidence and prevalence needed to be determined from other data. For GBD 2015 we created a summary indicator that combines measures of income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility (the Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) and used it to compare observed patterns of health loss to the expected pattern for countries or locations with similar SDI scores. FINDINGS: We generated 9·3 billion estimates from the various combinations of prevalence, incidence, and YLDs for causes, sequelae, and impairments by age, sex, geography, and year. In 2015, two causes had acute incidences in excess of 1 billion: upper respiratory infections (17·2 billion, 95% uncertainty interval [UI] 15·4-19·2 billion) and diarrhoeal diseases (2·39 billion, 2·30-2·50 billion). Eight causes of chronic disease and injury each affected more than 10% of the world's population in 2015: permanent caries, tension-type headache, iron-deficiency anaemia, age-related and other hearing loss, migraine, genital herpes, refraction and accommodation disorders, and ascariasis. The impairment that affected the greatest number of people in 2015 was anaemia, with 2·36 billion (2·35-2·37 billion) individuals affected. The second and third leading impairments by number of individuals affected were hearing loss and vision loss, respectively. Between 2005 and 2015, there was little change in the leading causes of years lived with disability (YLDs) on a global basis. NCDs accounted for 18 of the leading 20 causes of age-standardised YLDs on a global scale. Where rates were decreasing, the rate of decrease for YLDs was slower than that of years of life lost (YLLs) for nearly every cause included in our analysis. For low SDI geographies, Group 1 causes typically accounted for 20-30% of total disability, largely attributable to nutritional deficiencies, malaria, neglected tropical diseases, HIV/AIDS, and tuberculosis. Lower back and neck pain was the leading global cause of disability in 2015 in most countries. The leading cause was sense organ disorders in 22 countries in Asia and Africa and one in central Latin America; diabetes in four countries in Oceania; HIV/AIDS in three southern sub-Saharan African countries; collective violence and legal intervention in two north African and Middle Eastern countries; iron-deficiency anaemia in Somalia and Venezuela; depression in Uganda; onchoceriasis in Liberia; and other neglected tropical diseases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. INTERPRETATION: Ageing of the world's population is increasing the number of people living with sequelae of diseases and injuries. Shifts in the epidemiological profile driven by socioeconomic change also contribute to the continued increase in years lived with disability (YLDs) as well as the rate of increase in YLDs. Despite limitations imposed by gaps in data availability and the variable quality of the data available, the standardised and comprehensive approach of the GBD study provides opportunities to examine broad trends, compare those trends between countries or subnational geographies, benchmark against locations at similar stages of development, and gauge the strength or weakness of the estimates available. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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    Global and National Burden of Diseases and Injuries Among Children and Adolescents Between 1990 and 2013 Findings From the Global Burden of Disease 2013 Study
    Kyu, HH ; Pinho, C ; Wagner, JA ; Brown, JC ; Bertozzi-Villa, A ; Charlson, FJ ; Coffeng, LE ; Dandona, L ; Erskine, HE ; Ferrari, AJ ; Fitzmaurice, C ; Fleming, TD ; Forouzanfar, MH ; Graetz, N ; Guinovart, C ; Haagsma, J ; Higashi, H ; Kassebaum, NJ ; Larson, HJ ; Lim, SS ; Mokdad, AH ; Moradi-Lakeh, M ; Odell, SV ; Roth, GA ; Serina, PT ; Stanaway, JD ; Misganaw, A ; Whiteford, HA ; Wolock, TM ; Hanson, SW ; Abd-Allah, F ; Abera, SF ; Abu-Raddad, LJ ; AlBuhairan, FS ; Amare, AT ; Antonio, CAT ; Artaman, A ; Barker-Collo, SL ; Barrero, LH ; Benjet, C ; Bensenor, IM ; Bhutta, ZA ; Bikbov, B ; Brazinova, A ; Campos-Nonato, I ; Castaneda-Orjuela, CA ; Catala-Lopez, F ; Chowdhury, R ; Cooper, C ; Crump, JA ; Dandona, R ; Degenhardt, L ; Dellavalle, RP ; Dharmaratne, SD ; Faraon, EJA ; Feigin, VL ; Fuerst, T ; Geleijnse, JM ; Gessner, BD ; Gibney, KB ; Goto, A ; Gunnell, D ; Hankey, GJ ; Hay, RJ ; Hornberger, JC ; Hosgood, HD ; Hu, G ; Jacobsen, KH ; Jayaraman, SP ; Jeemon, P ; Jonas, JB ; Karch, A ; Kim, D ; Kim, S ; Kokubo, Y ; Defo, BK ; Bicer, BK ; Kumar, GA ; Larsson, A ; Leasher, JL ; Leung, R ; Li, Y ; Lipshultz, SE ; Lopez, AD ; Lotufo, PA ; Lunevicius, R ; Lyons, RA ; Majdan, M ; Malekzadeh, R ; Mashal, T ; Mason-Jones, AJ ; Melaku, YA ; Memish, ZA ; Mendoza, W ; Miller, TR ; Mock, CN ; Murray, J ; Nolte, S ; Oh, I-H ; Olusanya, BO ; Ortblad, KF ; Park, E-K ; Paternina Caicedo, AJ ; Patten, SB ; Patton, GC ; Pereira, DM ; Perico, N ; Piel, FB ; Polinder, S ; Popova, S ; Pourmalek, F ; Quistberg, DA ; Remuzzi, G ; Rodriguez, A ; Rojas-Rueda, D ; Rothenbacher, D ; Rothstein, DH ; Sanabria, J ; Santos, IS ; Schwebel, DC ; Sepanlou, SG ; Shaheen, A ; Shiri, R ; Shiue, I ; Skirbekk, V ; Sliwa, K ; Sreeramareddy, CT ; Stein, DJ ; Steiner, TJ ; Stovner, LJ ; Sykes, BL ; Tabb, KM ; Terkawi, AS ; Thomson, AJ ; Thorne-Lyman, AL ; Towbin, JA ; Ukwaja, KN ; Vasankari, T ; Venketasubramanian, N ; Vlassov, VV ; Vollset, SE ; Weiderpass, E ; Weintraub, RG ; Werdecker, A ; Wilkinson, JD ; Woldeyohannes, SM ; Wolfe, CDA ; Yano, Y ; Yip, P ; Yonemoto, N ; Yoon, S-J ; Younis, MZ ; Yu, C ; Zaki, MES ; Naghavi, M ; Murray, CJL ; Vos, T (AMER MEDICAL ASSOC, 2016-03)
    IMPORTANCE: The literature focuses on mortality among children younger than 5 years. Comparable information on nonfatal health outcomes among these children and the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among older children and adolescents is scarce. OBJECTIVE: To determine levels and trends in the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among younger children (aged <5 years), older children (aged 5-9 years), and adolescents (aged 10-19 years) between 1990 and 2013 in 188 countries from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2013 study. EVIDENCE REVIEW: Data from vital registration, verbal autopsy studies, maternal and child death surveillance, and other sources covering 14,244 site-years (ie, years of cause of death data by geography) from 1980 through 2013 were used to estimate cause-specific mortality. Data from 35,620 epidemiological sources were used to estimate the prevalence of the diseases and sequelae in the GBD 2013 study. Cause-specific mortality for most causes was estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble Model strategy. For some infectious diseases (eg, HIV infection/AIDS, measles, hepatitis B) where the disease process is complex or the cause of death data were insufficient or unavailable, we used natural history models. For most nonfatal health outcomes, DisMod-MR 2.0, a Bayesian metaregression tool, was used to meta-analyze the epidemiological data to generate prevalence estimates. FINDINGS: Of the 7.7 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 7.4-8.1) million deaths among children and adolescents globally in 2013, 6.28 million occurred among younger children, 0.48 million among older children, and 0.97 million among adolescents. In 2013, the leading causes of death were lower respiratory tract infections among younger children (905.059 deaths; 95% UI, 810,304-998,125), diarrheal diseases among older children (38,325 deaths; 95% UI, 30,365-47,678), and road injuries among adolescents (115,186 deaths; 95% UI, 105,185-124,870). Iron deficiency anemia was the leading cause of years lived with disability among children and adolescents, affecting 619 (95% UI, 618-621) million in 2013. Large between-country variations exist in mortality from leading causes among children and adolescents. Countries with rapid declines in all-cause mortality between 1990 and 2013 also experienced large declines in most leading causes of death, whereas countries with the slowest declines had stagnant or increasing trends in the leading causes of death. In 2013, Nigeria had a 12% global share of deaths from lower respiratory tract infections and a 38% global share of deaths from malaria. India had 33% of the world's deaths from neonatal encephalopathy. Half of the world's diarrheal deaths among children and adolescents occurred in just 5 countries: India, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Ethiopia. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Understanding the levels and trends of the leading causes of death and disability among children and adolescents is critical to guide investment and inform policies. Monitoring these trends over time is also key to understanding where interventions are having an impact. Proven interventions exist to prevent or treat the leading causes of unnecessary death and disability among children and adolescents. The findings presented here show that these are underused and give guidance to policy makers in countries where more attention is needed.