School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Sciences - Research Publications
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ItemProbability and Consequence of Postfire Erosion for Treatability of Water in an Unfiltered Supply System(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2021-01)Abstract Forested catchments are critical to water supply in major cities. Many of these catchments face the threat of postwildfire erosion, which can contaminate reservoir water. The aim of this paper is to determine the probability and duration of disruptions to treatability due to runoff‐generated debris flows in the first year after a wildfire, before substantial vegetation recovery takes place. We combine models of reservoir hydrodynamics, postfire erosion, and stochastic rainfall to determine probability and magnitude of sediment concentration at the reservoir water offtake. Central to the paper is our technique for linking model components into a risk framework that gives probabilities to the number of days that the turbidity threshold for treatment is exceeded. The model is applied to the Upper Yarra reservoir, which is the linchpin of the water supply system for Melbourne in SE Australia. However, the framework is applicable to other unfiltered water supply systems where suspended sediment is a risk to treatability. Results show that postwildfire erosion poses a substantial threat, with a relatively high probability (annual exceedance probability = 0.1–0.3) of water being untreatable for >1 year following a high‐severity wildfire. Important factors that influence the risk include postwildfire runoff potential, reservoir temperature, and the amount of clay‐sized grains in eroding headwaters. Assumptions about spatial‐temporal rainfall attributes, reservoir hydrodynamics, and the catchment erosion potential are all important sources of error in our estimate of risk. Our approach to risk quantification will help support planning, risk management, and strategic investment to mitigate impacts.
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ItemScale-dependency of effective hydraulic conductivity on fire-affected hillslopes(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2016-07)Abstract Effective hydraulic conductivity (Ke) for Hortonian overland flow modeling has been defined as a function of rainfall intensity and runon infiltration assuming a distribution of saturated hydraulic conductivities (Ks). But surface boundary condition during infiltration and its interactions with the distribution of Ks are not well represented in models. As a result, the mean value of the Ks distribution ( ), which is the central parameter for Ke, varies between scales. Here we quantify this discrepancy with a large infiltration data set comprising four different methods and scales from fire‐affected hillslopes in SE Australia using a relatively simple yet widely used conceptual model of Ke. Ponded disk (0.002 m2) and ring infiltrometers (0.07 m2) were used at the small scales and rainfall simulations (3 m2) and small catchments (ca 3000 m2) at the larger scales. We compared between methods measured at the same time and place. Disk and ring infiltrometer measurements had on average 4.8 times higher values of than rainfall simulations and catchment‐scale estimates. Furthermore, the distribution of Ks was not clearly log‐normal and scale‐independent, as supposed in the conceptual model. In our interpretation, water repellency and preferential flow paths increase the variance of the measured distribution of Ks and bias ponding toward areas of very low Ks during rainfall simulations and small catchment runoff events while areas with high preferential flow capacity remain water supply‐limited more than the conceptual model of Ke predicts. The study highlights problems in the current theory of scaling runoff generation.
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ItemEffects of aridity in controlling the magnitude of runoff and erosion after wildfire(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2016-06)Abstract This study represents a uniquely high‐resolution observation of postwildfire runoff and erosion from dry forested uplands of SE Australia. We monitored runoff and sediment load, and temporal changes in soil surface properties from two (0.2–0.3 ha) dry forested catchments burned during the 2009 Black Saturday wildfire. Event‐based surface runoff to rainfall ratios approached 0.45 during the first year postwildfire, compared to reported values <0.01 for less arid hillslopes. Extremely high runoff ratios in these dry forests were attributed to wildfire‐induced soil water repellency and inherently low hydraulic conductivity. Mean ponded hydraulic conductivity ranged from 3 to 29 mm h−1, much lower than values commonly reported for wetter forest. Annual sediment yields peaked at 10 t ha−1 during the first year before declining dramatically to background levels, suggesting high‐magnitude erosion processes may become limited by sediment availability on hillslopes. Small differences in aridity between equatorial and polar‐facing catchments produced substantial differences in surface runoff and erosion, most likely due to higher infiltration and surface roughness on polar‐facing slopes. In summary, the results show that postwildfire erosion processes in Eucalypt forests in south‐east Australia are highly variable and that distinctive response domains within the region exist between different forest types, therefore regional generalizations are problematic. The large differences in erosion processes with relatively small changes in aridity have large implications for predicting hydrologic‐driven geomorphic changes, land degradation, and water contamination through erosion after wildfire across the landscape.
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ItemClimate Dictates Magnitude of Asymmetry in Soil Depth and Hillslope Gradient(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2018-07-16)Abstract Hillslope asymmetry is often attributed to differential eco‐hydro‐geomorphic processes resulting from aspect‐related differences in insolation. At midlatitudes, polar facing hillslopes are steeper, wetter, have denser vegetation, and deeper soils than their equatorial facing counterparts. We propose that at regional scales, the magnitude in insolation‐driven hillslope asymmetry is sensitive to variations in climate, and investigate the fire‐prone landscapes in southeastern Australia to evaluate this hypothesis. Patterns of asymmetry in soil depth and landform were quantified using soil depth measurements and topographic analysis across a contemporary rainfall gradient. Results show that polar facing hillslopes are steeper, and have greater soil depth, than equatorial facing slopes. Furthermore, we show that the magnitude of this asymmetry varies systematically with aridity index, with a maximum at the transition between water and energy limitation, suggesting a possible long‐term role of climate in hillslope development.
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ItemThe Role of Fire in the Coevolution of Soils and Temperate Forests(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2020-08-01)Climate drives the coevolution of vegetation and the soil that supports it. Wildfire dramatically affects many key eco‐hydro‐geomorphic processes, but its potential role in coevolution of soil‐forest systems has been largely overlooked. The steep landscapes of southeastern Australia provide an excellent natural laboratory to study the role of fire in the coevolution of soil and forests, as they are characterized by temperate forest types, fire frequencies, and soil depths that vary systematically with aridity. The aims of this study were (i) to test the hypothesis that in Southeastern Australia, fire‐related processes are critical to explain the variations in coevolved soil‐forest system states across an aridity gradient and (ii) to identify the key processes and (iii) feedbacks involved. To achieve these aims, we developed a numerical model that simulates the coevolution of soil‐forest systems which employ eco‐hydro‐geomorphic processes that are typical of the flammable forests of southeastern Australia. A stepwise model evaluation, using measurements and published data, confirms the robustness of the model to simulate eco‐hydro‐geomorphic processes across the aridity gradient. Simulations that included fire replicated patterns of observed soil depth and forest cover across an aridity gradient, supporting our hypothesis. The contribution of fire to coevolution increased in magnitude with aridity, mainly due to the higher fire frequency and lower post‐fire infiltration capacity, increasing the rates of fire‐related surface runoff and erosion. Our results show that critical feedbacks between soil depth, vegetation, and fire frequency dictate the trajectory and pace of the coevolution of flammable temperate forests and soils.
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ItemThe Influence of Atmosphere-Ocean Phenomenon on Water Availability Across Temperate Australia(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2022-01)Abstract Links between climate variability modes, rainfall, and streamflow are important for understanding the trajectories of change and dynamics in water availability. In this study, we examined the influence of the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, Southern Annular Mode, and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation modes on interannual variations in rainfall and streamflow in four hydroclimate regions. We also explored the link between climate variability modes and extreme rainfall and streamflow years. Climate mode indices, rainfall, and streamflow data from 1975 to 2018 were analyzed for 92 predominately forested catchments located across temperate Australia. Climate modes had divergent influences on streamflow and rainfall between and within regions. Across temperate Australia, a higher proportion of interannual variation in rainfall was explained by climate modes than for streamflow, indicating factors other than atmosphere‐ocean phenomena are important in determining interannual streamflow variability. Extremes in rainfall and streamflow across regions were related to the co‐occurrence of climate modes, with a stronger relationship between teleconnections and low rainfall/streamflow years than high rainfall/streamflow years. The study provides new insights into the regional drivers of hydrological extremes and consolidates our understanding of the role of teleconnections on water availability in the temperate zone of Australia.
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ItemA rapid risk assessment procedure for post-fire hydrologic hazards: 2009/10 fire season(University of Melbourne, 2009)