School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences - Research Publications
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ItemGlobal impact of COVID-19 restrictions on the surface concentrations of nitrogen dioxide and ozone(Copernicus Publications, 2021-03-09)Social distancing to combat the COVID-19 pandemic has led to widespread reductions in air pollutant emissions. Quantifying these changes requires a business-as-usual counterfactual that accounts for the synoptic and seasonal variability of air pollutants. We use a machine learning algorithm driven by information from the NASA GEOS-CF model to assess changes in nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3) at 5756 observation sites in 46 countries from January through June 2020. Reductions in NO2 coincide with the timing and intensity of COVID-19 restrictions, ranging from 60 % in severely affected cities (e.g., Wuhan, Milan) to little change (e.g., Rio de Janeiro, Taipei). On average, NO2 concentrations were 18 (13–23) % lower than business as usual from February 2020 onward. China experienced the earliest and steepest decline, but concentrations since April have mostly recovered and remained within 5 % of the business-as-usual estimate. NO2 reductions in Europe and the US have been more gradual, with a halting recovery starting in late March. We estimate that the global NOx (NO + NO2) emission reduction during the first 6 months of 2020 amounted to 3.1 (2.6–3.6) TgN, equivalent to 5.5 (4.7–6.4) % of the annual anthropogenic total. The response of surface O3 is complicated by competing influences of nonlinear atmospheric chemistry. While surface O3 increased by up to 50 % in some locations, we find the overall net impact on daily average O3 between February–June 2020 to be small. However, our analysis indicates a flattening of the O3 diurnal cycle with an increase in nighttime ozone due to reduced titration and a decrease in daytime ozone, reflecting a reduction in photochemical production. The O3 response is dependent on season, timescale, and environment, with declines in surface O3 forecasted if NOx emission reductions continue.
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ItemNew observations of NO2 in the upper troposphere from TROPOMI(Copernicus Publications, 2021-03-26)Nitrogen oxides (NOx≡NO+NO2) in the NOx-limited upper troposphere (UT) are long-lived and so have a large influence on the oxidizing capacity of the troposphere and formation of the greenhouse gas ozone. Models misrepresent NOx in the UT, and observations to address deficiencies in models are sparse. Here we obtain a year of near-global seasonal mean mixing ratios of NO2 in the UT (450–180 hPa) at 1∘×1∘ by applying cloud-slicing to partial columns of NO2 from TROPOMI. This follows refinement of the cloud-slicing algorithm with synthetic partial columns from the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model. TROPOMI, prior to cloud-slicing, is corrected for a 13 % underestimate in stratospheric NO2 variance and a 50 % overestimate in free-tropospheric NO2 determined by comparison to Pandora total columns at high-altitude free-tropospheric sites at Mauna Loa, Izaña, and Altzomoni and MAX-DOAS and Pandora tropospheric columns at Izaña. Two cloud-sliced seasonal mean UT NO2 products for June 2019 to May 2020 are retrieved from corrected TROPOMI total columns using distinct TROPOMI cloud products that assume clouds are reflective boundaries (FRESCO-S) or water droplet layers (ROCINN-CAL). TROPOMI UT NO2 typically ranges from 20–30 pptv over remote oceans to >80 pptv over locations with intense seasonal lightning. Spatial coverage is mostly in the tropics and subtropics with FRESCO-S and extends to the midlatitudes and polar regions with ROCINN-CAL, due to its greater abundance of optically thick clouds and wider cloud-top altitude range. TROPOMI UT NO2 seasonal means are spatially consistent (R=0.6–0.8) with an existing coarser spatial resolution (5∘ latitude × 8∘ longitude) UT NO2 product from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI). UT NO2 from TROPOMI is 12–26 pptv more than that from OMI due to increase in NO2 with altitude from the OMI pressure ceiling (280 hPa) to that for TROPOMI (180 hPa), but possibly also due to altitude differences in TROPOMI and OMI cloud products and NO2 retrieval algorithms. The TROPOMI UT NO2 product offers potential to evaluate and improve representation of UT NOx in models and supplement aircraft observations that are sporadic and susceptible to large biases in the UT.
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ItemComparative assessment of TROPOMI and OMI formaldehyde observations and validation against MAX-DOAS network column measurements(Copernicus Publications, 2021-08-23)The TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), launched in October 2017 on board the Sentinel-5 Precursor (S5P) satellite, monitors the composition of the Earth's atmosphere at an unprecedented horizontal resolution as fine as 3.5 × 5.5 km2. This paper assesses the performances of the TROPOMI formaldehyde (HCHO) operational product compared to its predecessor, the OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) HCHO QA4ECV product, at different spatial and temporal scales. The parallel development of the two algorithms favoured the consistency of the products, which facilitates the production of long-term combined time series. The main difference between the two satellite products is related to the use of different cloud algorithms, leading to a positive bias of OMI compared to TROPOMI of up to 30 % in tropical regions. We show that after switching off the explicit correction for cloud effects, the two datasets come into an excellent agreement. For medium to large HCHO vertical columns (larger than 5 × 1015 molec. cm−2) the median bias between OMI and TROPOMI HCHO columns is not larger than 10 % (< 0.4 × 1015 molec. cm−2). For lower columns, OMI observations present a remaining positive bias of about 20 % (< 0.8 × 1015 molec. cm−2) compared to TROPOMI in midlatitude regions. Here, we also use a global network of 18 MAX-DOAS (multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy) instruments to validate both satellite sensors for a large range of HCHO columns. This work complements the study by Vigouroux et al. (2020), where a global FTIR (Fourier transform infrared) network is used to validate the TROPOMI HCHO operational product. Consistent with the FTIR validation study, we find that for elevated HCHO columns, TROPOMI data are systematically low (−25 % for HCHO columns larger than 8 × 1015 molec. cm−2), while no significant bias is found for medium-range column values. We further show that OMI and TROPOMI data present equivalent biases for large HCHO levels. However, TROPOMI significantly improves the precision of the HCHO observations at short temporal scales and for low HCHO columns. We show that compared to OMI, the precision of the TROPOMI HCHO columns is improved by 25 % for individual pixels and by up to a factor of 3 when considering daily averages in 20 km radius circles. The validation precision obtained with daily TROPOMI observations is comparable to the one obtained with monthly OMI observations. To illustrate the improved performances of TROPOMI in capturing weak HCHO signals, we present clear detection of HCHO column enhancements related to shipping emissions in the Indian Ocean. This is achieved by averaging data over a much shorter period (3 months) than required with previous sensors (5 years) and opens new perspectives to study shipping emissions of VOCs (volatile organic compounds) and related atmospheric chemical interactions.
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ItemAnchoring of atmospheric teleconnection patterns by Arctic Sea ice loss and its link to winter cold anomalies in East Asia(WILEY, 2021-01)Abstract In this paper, the physical processes underlying recent winter cold anomalies over East Asia (EA) are examined via statistical analysis. It is found that the EA cold anomaly depends on the warming in the North Atlantic, sea ice loss in the Barents–Kara Sea (BKS), and atmospheric teleconnection patterns. Specifically, the sea ice loss in the BKS can anchor teleconnection patterns originating from different North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) patterns. Different patterns of North Atlantic warming can affect the position of the cold anomaly region through altering the atmospheric circulations. In addition, whether the relevant teleconnection pattern leads to enhanced cold anomaly over EA crucially depends on the sea ice loss in the BKS, because it can anchor the blocking anticyclone embedded in the teleconnection pattern over the Ural region and make it more persistent and quasi‐stationary. Furthermore, it is found that the role of SST modes in the EA cold anomaly depends on their time scales. Although the strong basin‐scale warming (north–south SST tripolar mode) in the North Atlantic mid‐ to high‐latitudes plays a major role in decadal (interannual) cold anomaly over EA, it appears that the Atlantic east–west SST dipole structure dominates winter temperature variations over EA in recent decades on both the interannual and decadal time scales.
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ItemSpatially and Geochemically Anomalous Arc Magmatism: Insights From the Andean Arc(AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 2021-06)Abstract While most volcanic arcs show a distinctive spatial relationship to subducting plates, there are many examples where volcanoes occur in anomalous locations. These are commonly also geochemically anomalous relative to the composition of more typical subduction‐related rocks. Using Holocene volcanoes in South America as a case study, we document the spatial and geochemical patterns along the Andean volcanic belt. To determine whether spatial variations are also geochemically anomalous, we assess a series of geochemical indices that provide information on the depth and degree of melting, and the role of metasomatic subduction inputs in melt generation. We use these parameters to develop a scoring system, with the lowest and highest scores indicating “typical” and “anomalous” arc melting processes, respectively. Typical arc magmatism is defined as melts generated in the sub‐arc mantle wedge through slab‐derived fluid metasomatism, with or without contributions from subducted sediments. In contrast, we show that anomalous volcanism in South America appears to relate to geometric anomalies in the subducting Nazca plate (e.g., beneath Sumaco, Laguna Blanca and Payun Matru), or to areas affected by variations in mantle flow due to the proximity to the slab edge (Crater Basalt Volcanic Field). By establishing relationships between anomalous magmatism and slab structure, we propose that similar geochemical fingerprints could be used to explore the magmatic response to slab deformation and/or tearing in older arc systems, particularly in cases where the three‐dimensional slab structure is no longer detectable.
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ItemUn atto d’amore: Manifesto Open Access per la libertà, l’integrità e la creatività nelle scienze umane e nelle scienze sociali interpretative(Italian Society of Cultural Anthropology (SIAC)., 2020-12-31)Labour of Love: An Open Access Manifesto for Freedom, Integrity, and Creativity in the Humanities and Interpretive Social Sciences, is the result of an LSE Research Infrastructure and Investment–funded workshop entitled Academic Freedom, Academic Integrity and Open Access in the Social Sciences, organised by Andrea E. Pia and held at the London School of Economics on September 9, 2019.
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ItemEarly human occupation of southeastern Australia: New insights from 40Ar/39Ar dating of young volcanoes(GEOLOGICAL SOC AMER, INC, 2020-04-01)Abstract In Australia, the onset of human occupation (≥65 ka?) and dispersion across the continent are the subjects of intense debate and are critical to understanding global human migration routes. New-generation multi-collector mass spectrometers capable of high-precision 40Ar/39Ar dating of young (<500 ka) samples provide unprecedented opportunities to improve temporal constraints of archaeological events. In southeastern Australia, a novel approach to improving understanding of occupation involves dating key volcanic eruptions in the region, referenced to stone artifacts and Aboriginal oral traditions. The current study focuses on two monogenetic volcanoes in the Newer Volcanic Province of southeastern Australia: Budj Bim (previously Mount Eccles) and Tower Hill. Budj Bim and its surrounding lava landforms are of great cultural significance and feature prominently in the oral traditions of the Gunditjmara people. Tower Hill is of archaeological significance due to the occurrence of a stone tool beneath tephra. 40Ar/39Ar eruption ages of 36.9 ± 3.1 ka (95% confidence interval) and 36.8 ± 3.8 ka (2σ) were determined for the Budj Bim and Tower Hill volcanic complexes, respectively. The Tower Hill eruption age is a minimum age constraint for human presence in Victoria, consistent with published optically stimulated luminescence and 14C age constraints for the earliest known occupation sites in Tasmania, New South Wales, and South Australia. If aspects of oral traditions pertaining to Budj Bim or its surrounding lava landforms reflect volcanic activity, this could be interpreted as evidence for these being some of the oldest oral traditions in existence.
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ItemCorrigendum to "Ultra-high precision 40Ar/39Ar ages for Fish Canyon Tuff and Alder Creek Rhyolite sanidine: New dating standards required? (vol 121, pg 229, 2013)"(Elsevier, 2020-03-15)The authors regret that typographical and calculation errors occurred in Table 1, Table DR1 and Appendix A in the manuscript. Most relate to inconsistent propagation of uncertainty levels (i.e. 2σ vs 1σ uncertainties) associated with the J-values reported for FCTs and ACRs aliquots in Table DR1 and typographical errors in the J-values reported for aliquots FC3/AC3 and FC4/AC4. Corrected versions of Table 1, Figs. 3 and 4, and Appendix A are shown below. These errors do not affect the conclusions of the original paper and we summarise the resulting changes to the abstract, Sections 4.2 and 5, and Appendix A below. Correct J-values for aliquots FC3/AC3 and FC4/AC4 in Table DR1 are 0.0025205 ± 0.0000025 (0.098%; 2σ) and 0.0025295 ± 0.0000023 (0.091%; 2σ), respectively. We calculate revised eruption ages of 28.08 ± 0.04 Ma (2σ) for FCT and 1.181 ± 0.002 Ma (2σ) for ACR, relative to the astronomically calibrated age of A1 Tephra sanidine, Crete [Rivera et al. (2011) Earth Planet Sci. Lett. 311, 420–426]. R-values [Formula presented], based on mean fusion or total-gas results for the six irradiated aliquots (Table 1), range from 0.041638 ± 0.000031 (0.07%) to 0.041840 ± 0.000122 (0.29%), with a weighted mean value of 0.041680 ± 0.000050 (0.10%) (Table 1). The authors would like to apologize for any inconvenience these errors may have caused.
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ItemCorrigendum to "Astronomical calibration of 40Ar/39Ar reference minerals using high precision, multi-collector (ARGUSVI) mass spectrometry (vol 196, pg 351, 2017)"(PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, 2020-03-15)The authors regret that typographical and calculation errors occurred in Table 1 and some related figures. Corrected versions of Table 1, Figs. 4–6 are reproduced below. These errors do not affect the conclusions of the original paper and we summarise the main changes to Section 4 below. We calculate revised and values of 0.041692 ± 0.000024 (0.058%) and 0.16989 ± 0.00015 (0.087%), respectively. The former value is indistinguishable from the average value of 0.041680 ± 0.000050 (0.096%) reported by Phillips and Matchan (2013) [Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 121, 229–239]. Other corrections in Table 1 relate to typographical errors and inconsistent propagation of uncertainty levels (2σ vs 1σ uncertainties) associated with some mean and plateau ages. The authors would like to apologize for any inconvenience these errors may have caused.
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ItemInterpreting and reporting 40Ar/39Ar geochronologic data(GEOLOGICAL SOC AMER, INC, 2021-03-01)Abstract The 40Ar/39Ar dating method is among the most versatile of geochronometers, having the potential to date a broad variety of K-bearing materials spanning from the time of Earth’s formation into the historical realm. Measurements using modern noble-gas mass spectrometers are now producing 40Ar/39Ar dates with analytical uncertainties of ∼0.1%, thereby providing precise time constraints for a wide range of geologic and extraterrestrial processes. Analyses of increasingly smaller subsamples have revealed age dispersion in many materials, including some minerals used as neutron fluence monitors. Accordingly, interpretive strategies are evolving to address observed dispersion in dates from a single sample. Moreover, inferring a geologically meaningful “age” from a measured “date” or set of dates is dependent on the geological problem being addressed and the salient assumptions associated with each set of data. We highlight requirements for collateral information that will better constrain the interpretation of 40Ar/39Ar data sets, including those associated with single-crystal fusion analyses, incremental heating experiments, and in situ analyses of microsampled domains. To ensure the utility and viability of published results, we emphasize previous recommendations for reporting 40Ar/39Ar data and the related essential metadata, with the amendment that data conform to evolving standards of being findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable (FAIR) by both humans and computers. Our examples provide guidance for the presentation and interpretation of 40Ar/39Ar dates to maximize their interdisciplinary usage, reproducibility, and longevity.