Medicine (RMH) - Research Publications
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ItemRedundancy in meta-analyses publications-Time to pull the plug.(Wiley, 2021-06)
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ItemCost-analysis of opportunistic influenza vaccination in general medical inpatients.(Wiley, 2021-04)Influenza vaccination is an important preventative health measure in the elderly and those with medical comorbidities. It has been shown to reduce hospitalisations, cardiovascular and respiratory complications. A significant proportion of patients admitted to general medicine are eligible for opportunistic inpatient influenza vaccination. This study explores the cost-effectiveness of such a strategy in reducing subsequent healthcare utilisation costs.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableDevelopment and validation of a comprehensive early risk prediction model for patients with undifferentiated acute chest pain.(Elsevier BV, 2022-06)Aims: Existing risk scores for undifferentiated chest pain focus on excluding coronary events and do not represent a comprehensive risk assessment if an alternate serious diagnosis is present. This study aimed to develop and validate an all-inclusive risk prediction model among patients with undifferentiated chest pain. Methods: We developed and validated a multivariable logistic regression model for a composite measure of early all-inclusive risk (defined as hospital admission excluding a discharge diagnosis of non-specific pain, 30-day all-cause mortality, or 30-day myocardial infarction [MI]) among adults assessed by emergency medical services (EMS) for non-traumatic chest pain using a large population-based cohort (January 2015 to June 2019). The cohort was randomly divided into development (146,507 patients [70%]) and validation (62,788 patients [30%]) cohorts. Results: The composite outcome occurred in 28.4%, comprising hospital admission in 27.7%, mortality within 30-days in 1.8%, and MI within 30-days in 0.4%. The Early Chest pain Admission, MI, and Mortality (ECAMM) risk model was developed, demonstrating good discrimination in the development (C-statistic 0.775, 95% CI 0.772-0.777) and validation cohorts (C-statistic 0.765, 95% CI 0.761-0.769) with excellent calibration. Discriminatory performance for the composite outcome and individual components was higher than existing scores commonly used in undifferentiated chest pain risk stratification. Conclusions: The ECAMM risk score model can be used as an all-inclusive risk stratification assessment of patients with non-traumatic chest pain without the limitation of a single diagnostic outcome. This model could be clinically useful to help guide decisions surrounding the need for non-coronary investigations and safety of early discharge.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableReassessing the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab for the treatment of renal cell carcinoma based on mature survival data, updated safety and lower comparator price.(Informa UK Limited, 2021-01)Aims: The aim of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab versus everolimus for second-line treatment of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) based on mature data, updated safety and decreased everolimus price.Materials and methods: A 3-state (pre-progression/progression-free disease, progressive disease and death) Markov model was developed from the perspective of the Australian health care system. Two scenarios were tested. Scenario 1 used 30-months clinical data and scenario 2 used updated 80-months clinical data with updated everolimus price. Inputs for quality-of-life and costs were informed by the literature and government sources. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per quality adjusted life years (QALY) gained was reported and an ICER threshold of AU$75,000 was assumed. Threshold analysis was performed, and uncertainty was explored using one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.Results: In scenario 1, the model estimated 1.73 QALYs at a cost of AU$105,000 for nivolumab and 1.48 QALYs at AU$38,000 for everolimus with an ICER = AU$266,871/QALY gained. A rebate of 54.4% was needed for nivolumab to reach the ICER threshold. For scenario 2, 1.93 QALYs at AU$111,418 was estimated for nivolumab and 1.60 QALYs at AU$31,942 for everolimus with an ICER of AU$213,320/QALY gained. The rebate needed to reach the ICER threshold was 54.9%. One-way sensitivity analyses for both scenarios showed that the cost of nivolumab, time horizon and utilities were main drivers. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curves highlighted the differences in cost-effectiveness of the two scenarios, as well as significant uncertainty in the results.Conclusions: A 54% rebate of the published price is needed for nivolumab to be cost-effective in Australia for the treatment of RCC. At that rebate, nivolumab remains cost-effective despite severe price erosion of everolimus because of improved longer term follow-up data. We recommend that generic price erosion should be accounted for when performing cost-effectiveness analysis.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableDo patients with haematological malignancies suffer financial burden? A cross-sectional study of patients seeking care through a publicly funded healthcare system(PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, 2022-02-01)BACKGROUND: It is increasingly appreciated that some patients with cancer will experience financial burden due to their disease but little is known specifically about patients with haematological malignancies. Therefore, this study aimed to measure financial toxicity experienced by patients with haematological malignancies in the context of a publicly funded health care system. METHOD: All current patients diagnosed with leukaemia, lymphoma or multiple myeloma, from two major metropolitan health services in Melbourne, Australia were invited to complete a survey capturing; patient demographics, employment status, income sources, financial coping and insurances, OOP expenses and self-reported financial toxicity using a validated measure. RESULTS: Of the 240 people approached, 113 (47 %) participated and most had leukaemia (62 %). Forty-seven participants (42 %) experienced some degree of financial toxicity using the Comprehensive Score for financial toxicity (COST) instrument. On multivariate linear regression, older age (>65 years, p = 0.007), higher monthly income (>$8000, p = 0.008), not having and being forced into unemployment or early retirement (p < 0.001) remained significantly associated with less financial toxicity. CONCLUSION: Financial toxicity is present in Australian haematology patients and those at higher risk may be patients of working age, those without private health insurance and patients that have been forced to retire early or have become unemployed due to their diagnosis.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableCost-Effectiveness of Non-Statin Lipid-Modifying Agents for Primary and Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease among Patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus: A Systematic Review(Hamad bin Khalifa University Press (HBKU Press), 2022-01-15)
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ItemNo Preview AvailableDo patients with haematological malignancies suffer financial burden? A cross-sectional study of patients seeking care through a publicly funded healthcare system(PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, 2021-11-16)BACKGROUND: It is increasingly appreciated that some patients with cancer will experience financial burden due to their disease but little is known specifically about patients with haematological malignancies. Therefore, this study aimed to measure financial toxicity experienced by patients with haematological malignancies in the context of a publicly funded health care system. METHOD: All current patients diagnosed with leukaemia, lymphoma or multiple myeloma, from two major metropolitan health services in Melbourne, Australia were invited to complete a survey capturing; patient demographics, employment status, income sources, financial coping and insurances, OOP expenses and self-reported financial toxicity using a validated measure. RESULTS: Of the 240 people approached, 113 (47 %) participated and most had leukaemia (62 %). Forty-seven (42 %) participants experienced some degree of financial toxicity using the Comprehensive Score for financial toxicity (COST) instrument. On multivariate linear regression, older age (>65 years, p = 0.007), higher monthly income (>$8000, p = 0.008), not having and being forced into unemployment or early retirement (p < 0.001) remained significantly associated with less financial toxicity. CONCLUSION: Financial toxicity is present in Australian haematology patients and those at higher risk may be patients of working age, those without private health insurance and patients that have been forced to retire early or have become unemployed due to their diagnosis.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableA Randomized Controlled Trial on the Effects of a 6-Month Home-Based Physical Activity Program with Individual Goal-Setting and Volunteer Mentors on Physical Activity, Adherence, and Physical Fitness in Inactive Older Adults at Risk of Cognitive Decline: The INDIGO Study(IOS PRESS, 2021-01-01)BACKGROUND: Increasing physical activity (PA) in those who have memory concerns requires innovative approaches. OBJECTIVE: To compare in this randomized controlled trial (RCT) the effects on PA, adherence, and fitness of two approaches to deliver a 6-month home-based PA program in older, inactive individuals at risk of cognitive decline. METHODS: Individuals (n = 52) aged 60-85 years, inactive with mild cognitive impairment or subjective cognitive decline were recruited from the community and memory clinics. Randomization was to 6 months of 150 min/week moderate intensity PA with either: goal-setting with mentor support; or education and peer contact. A subset of participants (n = 36) continued for a further 6 months. PA, moderate and vigorous PA, and secondary outcomes, fitness, goal performance/satisfaction and self-efficacy were assessed at baseline, 6 and 12 months. Modelling of primary and secondary outcomes was conducted with linear mixed models. RESULTS: Participants were mean age (±sd) 70.1 (6.4) years. Six-month retention was 88.5%(n = 46). No significant between-group differences were observed for PA or fitness. Post-hoc combined group data showed a significant, moderate-large effect size increase in PA with time. PA increased by a mean 1,662 (943, 2383) steps/day (95%CI) and 1,320 (603, 2037) steps/day at 6 and 12 months (p < 0.001). Median (quartiles Q1-Q3) 6 and 6-12 month combined group adherence was 88.9 (74.4-95.7)%and 84.6 (73.9-95.4)%respectively. CONCLUSION: In this target group, no differences were detected between groups both intervention strategies were highly effective in increasing PA and fitness.
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ItemCost and economic determinants of paediatric tonsillectomy.(CSIRO Publishing, 2022-04)Objective Hospital utilisation research is important in pursuing cost-saving healthcare models. Tonsillectomy is one of the most common paediatric surgeries and the most frequent reason for paediatric hospital readmission. This study aimed to report the government-funded costs of paediatric tonsillectomy in the state of Victoria, Australia, extrapolate costs across Australia, and identify the cost determinants. Methods A population-based longitudinal study was conducted with a bottom-up costing approach using linked datasets containing all paediatric tonsillectomy and tonsillectomy with adenoidectomy surgeries performed in the state of Victoria between 2010 and 2015. Results The total average annual cost of tonsillectomy hospitalisation in Victoria was A$21 937 155 with a median admission cost of A$2224 (interquartile range (IQR) 1826-2560). Inflation-adjusted annual tonsillectomy costs increased during 2010-2015 (P < 0.001), not explained by the rising number of surgeries. Hospital readmissions resulted in a total average annual cost of A$1 427 716, with each readmission costing approximately A$2411 (IQR 1936-2732). The most common reason for readmission was haemorrhage, which was associated with the highest total cost. The estimated total annual expenditure of both tonsillectomy and resulting readmissions across Australia was A$126 705 989. Surgical cost in the upper quartile was associated with younger age, male sex, lower socioeconomic status, surgery for reasons other than infection alone, overnight vs day case surgery, public hospitals and metropolitan hospitals. Surgery for obstructed breathing during sleep had the strongest association to high surgical cost. Conclusions This study highlights the cost of paediatric tonsillectomy and associated hospital readmissions. The study findings will inform healthcare reform and serve as a basis for strategies to optimise patient outcomes while reducing both postoperative complications and costs.
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ItemEstimating the economic impacts of percutaneous coronary intervention in Australia: a registry-based cost burden study.(BMJ, 2021-12-07)OBJECTIVES: In this study, we sought to evaluate the costs of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) across a variety of indications in Victoria, Australia, using a direct per-person approach, as well as to identify key cost drivers. DESIGN: A cost-burden study of PCI in Victoria was conducted from the Australian healthcare system perspective. SETTING: A linked dataset of patients admitted to public hospitals for PCI in Victoria was drawn from the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR) and the Victorian Admitted Episodes Dataset. Generalised linear regression modelling was used to evaluate key cost drivers. From 2014 to 2017, 20 345 consecutive PCIs undertaken in Victorian public hospitals were captured in VCOR. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Direct healthcare costs attributed to PCI, estimated using a casemix funding method. RESULTS: Key cost drivers identified in the cost model included procedural complexity, patient length of stay and vascular access site. Although the total procedural cost increased from $A55 569 740 in 2014 to $A72 179 656 in 2017, mean procedural costs remained stable over time ($A12 521 in 2014 to $A12 185 in 2017) after adjustment for confounding factors. Mean procedural costs were also stable across patient indications for PCI ($A9872 for unstable angina to $A15 930 for ST-elevation myocardial infarction) after adjustment for confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: The overall cost burden attributed to PCIs in Victoria is rising over time. However, despite increasing procedural complexity, mean procedural costs remained stable over time which may be, in part, attributed to changes in clinical practice.