School of Geography - Theses

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Author: Tuan-Mu, A. C. K. × End date: 1979 × Start date: 1970 × Subject: Melbourne ×

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    An investigation into the methodology of projecting the future population of Melbourne
    Tuan-Mu, A. C. K. ( 1979)
    The study of population projection has always been of considerable interest to politicians, planners, economists and other professionals from all walks of life. Unfortunately, up until now, most of the studies done in Australia have been restricted to the nation as a whole rather than areas at the regional level. This thesis is intended to fill-at least partially - this long standing void and should be useful to anyone who is interested in the techniques of projecting the population below the national level. The thesis attempts to investigate the methodology of projecting the future population of Melbourne. It is divided into two volumes. Volume 1 contains the text of the research and the bibliography, and Volume 2 contains the relevant tabulations and appendices. There are six chapters in Volume 1. Chapter 1 sets out the aim, scope and structure of the thesis, and Chapter 2 presents a review of the past methodologies in projections. This . is then followed by an examination of the three aspects of population growth (i.e. births, deaths and migration) in Chapters 3 to -5. Each of these chapters could be considered as an independent study in itself. However, these parts are all related and are better understood in the context of the whole volume- than as separate entities. For the reader who is primarily interested in the results of the projections, the last chapter (Chapter 6) gives a summary of the assumptions, procedures and findings of the projections.