Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology - Research Publications

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    Risk-Directed Ambulatory Thromboprophylaxis in Lung and Gastrointestinal Cancers The TARGET-TP Randomized Clinical Trial
    Alexander, M ; Harris, S ; Underhill, C ; Torres Corredor, J ; Sharma, S ; Lee, N ; Wong, H ; Eek, R ; Michael, M ; Tie, J ; Rogers, J ; Heriot, AG ; Ball, D ; MacManus, M ; Wolfe, R ; Solomon, BJ ; Burbury, K (American Medical Association, 2023-11)
    IMPORTANCE: Thromboprophylaxis for individuals receiving systemic anticancer therapies has proven to be effective. Potential to maximize benefits relies on improved risk-directed strategies, but existing risk models underperform in cohorts with lung and gastrointestinal cancers. OBJECTIVE: To assess clinical benefits and safety of biomarker-driven thromboprophylaxis and to externally validate a biomarker thrombosis risk assessment model for individuals with lung and gastrointestinal cancers. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This open-label, phase 3 randomized clinical trial (Targeted Thromboprophylaxis in Ambulatory Patients Receiving Anticancer Therapies [TARGET-TP]) conducted from June 2018 to July 2021 (with 6-month primary follow-up) included adults aged 18 years or older commencing systemic anticancer therapies for lung or gastrointestinal cancers at 1 metropolitan and 4 regional hospitals in Australia. Thromboembolism risk assessment based on fibrinogen and d-dimer levels stratified individuals into low-risk (observation) and high-risk (randomized) cohorts. INTERVENTIONS: High-risk patients were randomized 1:1 to receive enoxaparin, 40 mg, subcutaneously daily for 90 days (extending up to 180 days according to ongoing risk) or no thromboprophylaxis (control). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was objectively confirmed thromboembolism at 180 days. Key secondary outcomes included bleeding, survival, and risk model validation. RESULTS: Of 782 eligible adults, 328 (42%) were enrolled in the trial (median age, 65 years [range, 30-88 years]; 176 male [54%]). Of these participants, 201 (61%) had gastrointestinal cancer, 127 (39%) had lung cancer, and 132 (40%) had metastatic disease; 200 (61%) were high risk (100 in each group), and 128 (39%) were low risk. In the high-risk cohort, thromboembolism occurred in 8 individuals randomized to enoxaparin (8%) and 23 control individuals (23%) (hazard ratio [HR], 0.31; 95% CI, 0.15-0.70; P = .005; number needed to treat, 6.7). Thromboembolism occurred in 10 low-risk individuals (8%) (high-risk control vs low risk: HR, 3.33; 95% CI, 1.58-6.99; P = .002). Risk model sensitivity was 70%, and specificity was 61%. The rate of major bleeding was low, occurring in 1 participant randomized to enoxaparin (1%), 2 in the high-risk control group (2%), and 3 in the low-risk group (2%) (P = .88). Six-month mortality was 13% in the enoxaparin group vs 26% in the high-risk control group (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-0.93; P = .03) and 7% in the low-risk group (vs high-risk control: HR, 4.71; 95% CI, 2.13-10.42; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this randomized clinical trial of individuals with lung and gastrointestinal cancers who were stratified by risk score according to thrombosis risk, risk-directed thromboprophylaxis reduced thromboembolism with a desirable number needed to treat, without safety concerns, and with reduced mortality. Individuals at low risk avoided unnecessary intervention. The findings suggest that biomarker-driven, risk-directed primary thromboprophylaxis is an appropriate approach in this population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ANZCTR Identifier: ACTRN12618000811202.
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    The Impact of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy on the Surgical Management of Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
    Flood, MP ; Kong, JCH ; Wilson, K ; Mohan, H ; Waters, PS ; McCormick, JJ ; Warrier, SK ; Tie, J ; Ramsay, R ; Michael, M ; Heriot, AG (SPRINGER, 2022-10)
    BACKGROUND: Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with or without hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) is a well-recognised treatment option for the management of colorectal peritoneal metastases (CRPM). However, incorporating the routine use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) into this management plan is controversial. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to evaluate the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on perioperative morbidity and mortality, and long-term survival of patients with CRPM undergoing CRS and HIPEC. RESULTS: Twelve studies met the inclusion criteria (n = 2,463 patients). Ten were retrospective cohort, one was prospective cohort, and one was a prospective randomised by design. Patients who received NAC followed by CRS and HIPEC experienced no difference in major perioperative morbidity and mortality compared with patients who underwent surgery first (SF). There was no difference in overall survival at 3 years, but at 5 years NAC patients had superior survival (relative risk [RR] 1.31; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.54, P < 0.001). There were no differences in 1- and 3-year, disease-free survival (DFS) between groups. Study heterogeneity was generally high across all outcome measures. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy did not experience any increase in perioperative morbidity or mortality. The potential improvement in 5-year overall survival in patients receiving NAC is based on limited confidence due to several limitations in the data, but not sufficiently enough to curtail its use. The practice of NAC in this setting will remain heterogeneous and guided by retrospective evidence until prospective, randomised data are reported.
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    Outcomes from cytoreduction and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy for appendiceal epithelial neoplasms
    Narasimhan, V ; Pham, T ; Warrier, S ; Lynch, AC ; Michael, M ; Tie, J ; Ramsay, R ; Heriot, A (WILEY, 2019-09-01)
    Background Appendiceal epithelial neoplasms are rare cancers. Management of peritoneal disease from appendiceal neoplasms has historically been with debulking surgery. In recent decades, the advent of cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) has become the standard of care. Here, we report our single institution 10‐year experience with CRS and HIPEC for appendiceal neoplasms. Methods This is a retrospective review from 1 January 2008 to 1 June 2017 of all patients undergoing CRS and HIPEC for appendiceal neoplasms. Institutional ethics approval was granted for this project. Results One hundred and seventy‐two patients underwent 208 CRSs during this time. Overall, 83.72% of patients had one CRS and HIPEC procedure. Pseudomyxoma peritonei from a perforated appendiceal mucinous neoplasm accounted for 67.9% of cases. The median peritoneal carcinomatosis index (PCI) was 14, with complete cytoreduction achieved in 74.2% of patients. Fifty‐four percent of patients had at least one complication, with one (0.5%) peri‐operative mortality in our cohort. For the entire cohort, the median overall survival was 104 months and a 5‐year survival of 75%. In those having a complete cytoreduction, 5‐year survival was 90%, with a median disease free interval of 63 months. PCI and completeness of cytoreduction were independent predictors of overall survival. Conclusion Our results demonstrate that CRS and HIPEC for appendiceal neoplasms are safe and effective. Despite carrying some morbidity, it offers patients an excellent disease free and overall survival.
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    Prognostic value of tumour regression grade in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis
    Kong, JC ; Guerra, GR ; Warrier, SK ; Lynch, AC ; Michael, M ; Ngan, SY ; Phillips, W ; Ramsay, G ; Heriot, AG (WILEY, 2018-07)
    AIM: The current standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer involves neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision. There is a spectrum of response to neoadjuvant therapy; however, the prognostic value of tumour regression grade (TRG) in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) is inconsistent in the literature. METHOD: This study was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A systematic search was undertaken using Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria were Stage II and III locally advanced rectal cancer treated with long-course CRT followed by radical surgery. The aim of the meta-analysis was to assess the prognostic implication of each TRG for rectal cancer following neoadjuvant CRT. Long-term prognosis was assessed. The main outcome measures were DFS and OS. A random effects model was performed to pool the hazard ratio (HR) from all included studies. RESULTS: There were 4875 patients from 17 studies, with 775 (15.9%) attaining a pathological complete response (pCR) and 719 (29.9%) with no response. A significant association with OS was identified from a pooled-estimated HR for pCR (HR = 0.47, P = 0.002) and nonresponding tumours (HR = 2.97; P < 0.001). Previously known tumour characteristics, such as ypN, lymphovascular invasion and perineural invasion, were also significantly associated with DFS and OS, with estimated pooled HRs of 2.2, 1.4 and 2.3, respectively. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, the degree of TRG was of prognostic value in predicting long-term outcomes. The current challenge is the development of a high-validity tests to predict pCR.
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    Colorectal peritoneal metastases: pathogenesis, diagnosis and treatment options - an evidence-based update
    Narasimhan, V ; Ooi, G ; Michael, M ; Ramsay, R ; Lynch, C ; Heriot, A (WILEY, 2020-09)
    Peritoneal metastases confer the worst survival among all sites in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. They develop largely through transcoelomic spread, with a sequence of events that allow cells to first detach from primary tumours, survive in the peritoneal environment, attach to the peritoneal surface of organs and migrate into the submesothelial space to create a microenvironment conducive to metastatic growth. Diagnostic challenges have previously hindered early identification of peritoneal metastases. While advances in diagnostic modalities have improved our ability to identify peritoneal metastases, lesions under 0.5 cm remain challenging to detect. The advent of cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) can offer selected patients with colorectal peritoneal metastases a favourable long-term survival. Recent trials, however, have cast doubts on the efficacy of HIPEC, with the recent PRODIGE 7 trial showing no benefit from oxaliplatin based HIPEC in addition to good quality cytoreductive surgery in resectable disease. While peritoneal recurrence can be reliably predicted from high-risk features in primary tumours such as a perforated cancer, ovarian metastases or T4a cancers, the use of prophylactic second look surgery with HIPEC or adjuvant HIPEC failed to demonstrate any survival benefit in high-risk cases in recent clinical trials, raising further questions about the efficacy of HIPEC. With high failure rates from systemic chemotherapy in unresectable disease, novel surgical techniques such as pressurized intraperitoneal aerolized chemotherapy are being investigated in clinical trials worldwide. Further collaborative research is needed to explore newer avenues of treatment for this poor prognostic cohort.
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    Prognostic factors influencing survival in patients undergoing cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy for isolated colorectal peritoneal metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis
    Narasimhan, V ; Tan, S ; Kong, J ; Pham, T ; Michael, M ; Ramsay, R ; Warrier, S ; Heriot, A (WILEY, 2020-11)
    AIM: Peritoneal metastases from colorectal cancer confer the worst survival among all metastatic sites. The adoption of cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) can offer selected patients with isolated colorectal peritoneal metastases (CRPM) a favourable long-term survival. There are numerous factors postulated to influence survival in patients undergoing CRS and HIPEC. The aim of this study was to identify the key perioperative prognostic factors that influence survival in patients undergoing CRS and HIPEC for isolated CRPM. METHOD: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to evaluate prognostic factors influencing survival in patients undergoing CRS and HIPEC for isolated CRPM. RESULTS: Thirty-three studies fitted the inclusion criteria for the systematic review, with 25 studies included in the meta-analysis. On pooled analysis, incomplete cytoreduction, increasing peritoneal carcinoma index (PCI) and lymph node involvement were significantly associated with a worse survival. Additionally, a rectal primary [hazard ratio (HR) 1.93, 95% CI 1.10-3.37], adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.54-0.93) and perioperative grade III/IV morbidity (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.17-2.16) were also found to significantly influence survival. Notably, tumour differentiation and signet ring cell histology did not influence survival on pooled analysis. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis confirms that in patients undergoing CRS and HIPEC for isolated CRPM, incomplete cytoreduction, high PCI and lymph node involvement have a negative influence on survival. In addition, a rectal primary, adjuvant chemotherapy use and grade III/IV morbidity are important factors that also significantly influence survival.
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    FDG-PET metabolic response predicts outcomes in anal cancer managed with chemoradiotherapy
    Day, FL ; Link, E ; Ngan, S ; Leong, T ; Moodie, K ; Lynch, C ; Michael, M ; de Winton, E ; Hogg, A ; Hicks, RJ ; Heriot, A (NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, 2011-08-09)
    BACKGROUND: The aim was to investigate the correlation between (18)F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) metabolic response to chemoradiotherapy and clinical outcomes in squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the anus. METHODS: A total of 48 patients with biopsy-proven anal SCC underwent FDG-PET scans at baseline and post chemoradiotherapy (54 Gy, concurrent 5-FU/mitomycin). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to determine survival outcomes according to FDG-PET metabolic response. RESULTS: In all, 79% patients (n=38) had a complete metabolic response (CMR) at all sites of disease, 15% (n=7) had a CMR in regional nodes but only partial response in the primary tumour (overall partial metabolic response (PMR)) and 6% (n=3) had progressive distant disease despite CMR locoregionally (overall no response (NR)). The 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) was 95% for patients with a CMR, 71% for PMR and 0% for NR (P<0.0001). The 5-year overall survival (OS) was 88% in CMR, 69% in PMR and 0% in NR (P<0.0001). Cox proportional hazards regression analyses for PFS and OS found significant associations for incomplete (PMR+NR) vs complete FDG-PET response to treatment only, (HR 4.1 (95% CI: 1.5-11.5, P=0.013) and 6.7 (95% CI: 2.1-21.6, P=0.002), respectively). CONCLUSION: FDG-PET metabolic response to chemoradiotherapy in anal cancer is significantly associated with PFS and OS, and in this cohort incomplete FDG-PET response was a stronger predictor than T or N stage.
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    Phase II trial evaluating the feasibility of interdigitating folfox with chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced and metastatic rectal cancer
    Michael, M ; Chander, S ; McKendrick, J ; MacKay, JR ; Steel, M ; Hicks, R ; Heriot, A ; Leong, T ; Cooray, P ; Jefford, M ; Zalcberg, J ; Bressel, M ; McClure, B ; Ngan, SY (NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, 2014-11-11)
    BACKGROUND: Patients (pts) with metastatic rectal cancer and symptomatic primary, require local and systemic control. Chemotherapy used during chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is adequate for radiosensitisation, but suboptimal for systemic control. The aim of this phase II study was to assess tolerability, local/systemic benefits, of a novel regimen delivering interdigitating intensive chemotherapy with radical CRT. METHODS: Eligible pts had untreated synchronous symptomatic primary/metastatic rectal cancer. A total of 12 weeks of treatment with split-course pelvic CRT (total 50.4 Gy with concurrent oxaliplatin and 5-FU infusion) alternating with FOLFOX chemotherapy. All pts staged with CT, MRI and FDG-PET pre and post treatment. RESULTS: Twenty-six pts were treated. Rectal primary MRI stage: T3 81% and T4 15%. Liver metastases in 81%. Twenty-four pts (92%) completed the 12-week regimen. All patients received planned RT dose, and for both agents over 88% of patients achieved a relative dose intensity of >75%. Grade 3 toxicities: neutropenia 23%, diarrhoea 15%, and radiation skin reaction 12%. Grade 4 toxicity: neutropenia 15%. FDG-PET metabolic response rate for rectal primary 96%, and for metastatic disease 60%. CONCLUSIONS: Delivery of interdigitating chemotherapy with radical CRT was feasible to treat both primary and metastatic rectal cancer. High completion and response rates were encouraging.
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    Neoadjuvant therapy in rectal cancer: An ongoing conundrum
    Wilson, K ; Michael, M ; Ramsay, R ; Warrier, S ; Heriot, A (WILEY, 2021-11)