Finance - Research Publications
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ItemTakeovers, Ownership, and Shareholder Wealth — The Australian Evidence(Emerald, 2005-03-01)We examine the relationship between value, ownership, and governance structures for a set of acquisitions by Australian companies over the period of 1994–2001. We find that the propensity to diversify increases with the equity ownership of firms' directors, whereas the composition of the board, the presence of block holders and their ownership does not materially affect the decision to diversify. Board size has a positive but weak impact on the tendency to diversify. We also find no significant negative wealth effects for the shareholders of diversifying firms, although in comparison the shareholders of non‐diversifying acquirers experience significantly positive upward revisions of firm values. Although method of payment influences acquirer returns, ownership and governance do not have any impact on announcement period returns. Our results support the notion that capital markets may consider the ownership and governance structures as exerting enough influence to overcome any costs imposed by diversification strategies, hence limiting value loss to the shareholders.
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ItemCredit Unions and Demutualisation(EMERALD GROUP PUBLISHING LTD, 2005-01-01)This paper reviews experience with credit union demutualisation to date in the light of increasing discussion about whether demutualisation is a likely (or inevitable) future stage in the evolutionary process. It is argued that the credit union industry faces an inherent demutualisation bias which emerges as the sector develops maturity. Contributing factors include the emergence of professional management pursuing personal objectives, together with the economic realities of technological change, financial liberalisation, increased competition, and prudential regulation based on minimum capital requirements. Demutualisation incentives may partially reflect the unsuitability of the mutual form of governance in larger, more sophisticated financial institutions, but there is also a significant risk of demutualisation based on wealth expropriation motives. Alternative policies and strategies which might avoid this demutualisation bias are examined.
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ItemThe market impact of trends and sequences in performance: New evidence(BLACKWELL PUBLISHING, 2005-10-01)ABSTRACT Bloomfield and Hales (2002) find strong evidence that experimental market subjects are influenced by trends and patterns in a manner supportive of the shifting regimes model of Barberis, Shleifer, and Vishny (1998). We subject the model to further empirical scrutiny using the football wagering market as our price laboratory. Sports betting markets have several advantages over traditional capital markets as an empirical setting, and commonalities with traditional markets allow for useful insights. We find scant evidence that investors behave in accordance with the model.
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ItemOn the upper bound of a call option(Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2005-08-01)
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ItemDiversification, fee income, and credit union risk(Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2005-09-01)
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ItemAustralian evidence on the determinants and impact of takeover resistance(Wiley, 2005-12-01)Abstract In the present paper, we examine the determinants and impact of target bid resistance on the wealth of target shareholders and the takeover process in Australia. We find that bid resistance increases target shareholder wealth in the post‐announcement period and that the probability of bid hostility increases with the target's size, decreases with the target's performance and is unrelated to the size of the premium offered by the bidder. We also find that bid hostility decreases the probability of bid success, increases the probability of bid revision and has no effect on the probability of competing bidders entering the market.
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ItemIntraday REIT liquidity(Informa UK Limited, 2005-04-01)
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ItemAn Empirical Test of the Pricing of VPO Contracts(SAGE Publications, 2003-01-01)A variable purchase option (VPO) is a call option issued by a company on a stochastic rather than on a fixed number of its ordinary shares. This paper tests the arbitrage-free pricing model of Handley (2000) using a transactions dataset of actual market prices covering the five VPOs traded on the Australian Stock Exchange during the six-year period from May 1992 to May 1998. It is initially found that the model systematically overprices VPOs. A subsequent case-based explanatory analysis of the pricing errors, however, shows that this mispricing substantially disappears under different estimates of two key parameters. The results are consistent with investors using risk-adjusted discount rates rather than the risk-free rate in valuing the bond component of the VPO and, when material, using a narrow range of volatility estimates, rather than historic volatility estimates, in valuing the option component of the VPO.