Finance - Research Publications
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ItemNo Preview AvailableDo state visits affect cross-border mergers and acquisitions(ELSEVIER, 2021-02)
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ItemGendered Prices(OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC, 2021-08)Abstract We provide evidence that culture is a source of pricing bias. In a sample of 1.9 million auction transactions in 49 countries, paintings by female artists sell at an unconditional discount of 42.1%. The gender discount increases with measures of country-level gender inequality—even in artist fixed effects regressions. Our results are robust to accounting for potential gender differences in art characteristics and their liquidity. Evidence from two experiments supports the argument that women’s art may sell for less because it is made by women. However, the gender discount reduces over time as gender equality increases.
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ItemNo Preview AvailableThe Earnings Expectations Game and the Dispersion Anomaly(INFORMS, 2022-04)This study examines the role of differences in firms’ propensity to meet earnings expectations in explaining why firms with high analyst forecast dispersion experience relatively low future stock returns. We first demonstrate that the negative relation between dispersion and returns is concentrated around earnings announcements. Next, we show that this relation disappears when we control for ex ante measures of firms’ propensity to meet earnings expectations and that the component of dispersion explained by these measures drives the return predictability of dispersion. We further demonstrate that firms with low analyst dispersion are substantially more likely to achieve positive earnings surprises and provide new evidence consistent with both expectations management and strategic forecast pessimism explaining this result. Overall, we conclude that investor mispricing of firms’ participation in the earnings-expectations game provides a viable explanation for the dispersion anomaly. This paper was accepted by Brian Bushee, accounting.
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ItemSpreading the sin: An empirical assessment from corporate takeovers(Elsevier, 2020-10-01)An acquisition of a company involved in socially undesirable activities can have important value implications. On the one hand, stocks in sin industries can be undervalued, and positive wealth effects might be created through risk sharing and a halo effect. On the other hand, acquiring sin stocks could increase litigation risk and the chance of product boycotts, and could hurt relations with employees and other stakeholders. Moreover, many investors avoid investments in sin stocks by applying negative screening. This article empirically establishes that shareholders of acquirer firms on average discount sin acquisitions. The negative wealth effects are stronger in countries with a greater focus on corporate social responsibility and for deals that are more likely to receive public attention. The article concludes that the costs of “sin” are considerable.
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ItemWealth Effects of Seasoned Equity Offerings: A Meta-Analysis(Wiley, 2020-03-01)We use meta-analysis to review studies on announcement effects associated with seasoned equity offerings. Our sample includes 199 studies from 38 leading finance journals and Social Sciences Research Network working papers. The studies cover different countries, but the US is particularly well-represented with 131 studies. We find a statistically significant mean cumulative abnormal return of -0.98%. Abnormal returns are more negative for equity issues by US companies and for non-US rights issues and are less negative for private placements. In addition, wealth effects are more negative when the proceeds are used for debt reduction, when the SEO is issued shortly after IPO, and for issues by nondividend-paying companies and industrial companies. We identify important avenues for future research.
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ItemDirector attention and firm value(Wiley, 2020)In this article, we show that exogenous director distraction affects board monitoring intensity and leads to a higher level of inactivity by management. We construct a firm-level director “distraction” measure by exploiting shocks to unrelated industries in which directors have additional directorships. Directors attend significantly fewer board meetings when they are distracted. Firms with distracted board members tend to be inactive and experience a significant decline in firm value. Overall, this article highlights the impact of limited director attention on the effectiveness of corporate governance and the importance of directors in keeping management active.
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ItemThe fluctuating maturities of convertible bonds(Elsevier, 2020-06-01)The maturities of newly issued convertible bonds vary substantially over time. Firm-specific determinants of maturity from the straight debt literature are relevant for convertible bonds. However, the growth of the convertible arbitrage industry and the role of convertible arbitrage hedge funds have changed the importance of firm characteristics in the convertible bond market. Recently issued convertible bonds come with particularly short maturities that serve as substitutes for call provisions. This substitution implies that backdoor-equity and sequential-financing rationales for issuing callable convertible bonds are also applicable for non-callable convertibles with shorter maturities.
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ItemA rundown of merger target run-ups(Wiley, 2021)We provide evidence of a drastic drop in stock run-ups of U.S. target firms preceding merger and acquisition (M&A) announcements over the past decades. The median target run-up declines from approximately 10% in the 1980s to 2% after 2010. The trend in target run-ups cannot be fully explained by deal or firm characteristics associated with deal anticipation. However, it disappears after controlling for changes in the strength of U.S. insider trading regulation over the research period. Further analyses corroborate our conclusion that more stringent insider trading regulation is the most likely explanation for the reduction in target run-ups.