Surgery (RMH) - Theses
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ItemIdentifying the Risks and Drivers of Aggression in Prostate Cancer( 2022)Prostate cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer and the second commonest cause of death in Australian men. The natural history of localised prostate cancer is markedly variable. Most individuals will lead a biologically indolent course where it may never be clinically significant while an unpredictable minority of individuals, approximately 10%, will rapidly progress to metastases and eventually succumb to the disease. Currently there are no adequate methods in determining the difference between an indolent or aggressive course of the disease at an early stage; therefore, leading to significant over-treatment of indolent disease as well as under-treatment of aggressive disease. The identification of potential drivers of aggression in prostate cancer are explored through the compilation of published papers in an integrated thesis by investigating the impacts of obesity, velocity of biochemical recurrence, aggressive ductal adenocarcinoma variant, as well as the molecular comparison between primary and matched metastatic tumours. Obesity is linked with more aggressive prostate cancer and higher rates of disease recurrence post treatment. It is unclear if this is due to specific tumour-promoting effects of obesity or diagnostic bias. The effect of obesity on the accuracy of pre-treatment risk categorisation was determined, and mediation analysis was used to identify the contribution of biologic versus non-biologic mechanisms to the observed increased risk of biochemical recurrence. The analysis included 1587 patients. Despite similar rates of adverse pathological features at prostatectomy, biochemical recurrence rates were significantly higher in very obese patients, which persisted after adjustment for stage, grade and PSA. Tumour volume however correlated significantly with BMI (p = 0.004), and the difference in predicted and observed ‘tumour attributable’ PSA (Delta-PSA) in very obese patients was greater than three times higher than that of healthy patients (p = 0.0067). Regression analysis indicated that the effect of BMI on tumour volume was fully mediated indirectly by its effect on PSA. Inclusion of this diagnostic error as a covariate in the survival analysis attenuated the effect of BMI on recurrence. Being very obese suppresses tumour-associated PSA resulting in a diagnostic bias that is responsible for errors in risk classification, and potentially contributes to a delay in initial presentation. Radical prostatectomy is one of the preferred treatment modalities for localised prostate cancer. Although the majority of patients experience long term disease control, depending on the pre-treatment clinical characteristics of the cohort under study, up to a third of men will develop disease recurrence. The most common manifestation of disease recurrence is a detectable serum PSA in the postoperative period. This thesis characterises the pattern of late disease recurrence in the largest contemporary cohort of localised prostate cancer patients treated with radical prostatectomies in the active surveillance era. Total of 2312 patients were included in the final analysis with up to 12 years of follow up data. The average patient had clinically localised prostate cancer, an elevated PSA, and ISUP grade group 2 on biopsy. 88.7% of patients had ISUP grade group 2 or higher at prostatectomy. A subgroup of 446 patients had undetectable PSA levels at 5 years after prostatectomy; 11.7% of them progressed to experience biochemical recurrence. In this subgroup, late recurrers had significantly higher-grade tumours on ISUP and Gleason sum (p < 0.001 and p = 0.001, respectively), higher rates of extraprostatic extension (p = 0.022), and larger tumour volumes (p = 0.032). Logistic regression demonstrated that prostatectomy ISUP grade group was a significant predictor (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.43-3.20, p < 0.001). Additionally, the timing of recurrence resides on a continuum of risk and that the potential concept of dormant micrometastatic involvement requires further research and evaluation. Ductal adenocarcinoma is an uncommon prostate cancer variant. Previous studies suggest that ductal variant histology may be associated with worse clinical outcomes, but these are difficult to interpret. Prostatectomy patients with ductal variant histology from two institutional databases were identified and compared to an independent acinar adenocarcinoma cohort. A total of 202 ductal adenocarcinoma and 2037 acinar adenocarcinoma cases were analysed. Deep whole exome sequencing was performed in selected cases (n = 8). Survival analysis after matching demonstrated that patients with ductal variant histology had shorter salvage-free survival (8.1 vs 22.0 months, p = 0.03) and metastasis-free survival (6.7 vs 78.6 months, p < 0.0001). Ductal variant histology was consistently associated with RB1 loss, as well as copy number gains in TAP1, SLC4A2 and EHHADH. The presence of any ductal variant adenocarcinoma at the time of prostatectomy portends a worse clinical outcome than pure acinar cancers, with significantly shorter times to the initiation of salvage therapies and the onset of metastatic disease. The exploration of the impacts of obesity, velocity of biochemical recurrence, aggressive ductal adenocarcinoma variant, as well as the molecular comparison between primary and matched metastatic tumours to provide insights into potential drivers of aggression in prostate cancer.