School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Sciences - Theses

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    Tree growth modelling of Eucalyptus delegatensis (R. T. Bak.) and other eucalyptus species utilising early-aged stand measurements
    Wong, Justin ( 1999)
    Growth modelling methods for Eucalyptus species that can make use of minimal measurement information are scarce but necessary for those involved in small-scale forestry to make informed decisions about investment and management options. A computer program, FARMTREE, is available for evaluating the costs and benefits of trees on farms, however its growth modelling functions could be improved. This thesis achieves this for Eucalyptus delegatensis (R. T. Bak.) and provides a series of stand basal area, survival, diameter distribution and individual tree diameter increment models that could be incorporated into a FARMTREE-like program. While not a major farm forestry species, the models have been related to other Eucalyptus species and when more later-age data become available, the methods used here could be fully applied to more suitable species. A systematic series of growth predictions were made, with estimates from the earlier processes being used in the next. Initially, the Gompertz function was selected as the best of five non-linear equations and used to model stand basal area based on two, early-age measurements, while keeping the asymptotic parameter constant. Survival was modelled using a modified logistic function with basal area and age as the predictor variables. The results from the above procedures were then used to model diameter distributions using a percentile-based parameter recovery procedure. The predicted distributions were assessed by comparing them to the actual cumulative density functions. Comparing the predicted estimates of basal area, mortality and diameter distributions to those produced by FARMTREE showed that the new estimates were better, both for the stands for which the models were developed, and for an independent data set. Individual tree diameter increment models based on distance-independent competition indices were also studied. Overall, the predictions for two-year diameter increment were not as good as for the previously studied areas of growth. This was especially noticeable when observing the results for the verification data set. These poorer results for diameter increment may be because of the less flexible methods used or perhaps partially due to the accumulation of previous prediction errors. The research approaches and functions used are easy to apply, efficient, accurate and require minimal actual growth measurement information. They could be applied to other species in greater detail when more information becomes available and could be incorporated into FARMTREE or a similar package for use by owners and managers of small farm forests with the expectation of providing improved growth predictions.
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    A microcomputer application of the FORest PLANning (FORPLAN) model to Australian Forestry
    Diep, Cuong ( 1994)
    The FORest PLANning model (FORPLAN) has been studied and applied to Australian native forests since the late 1980s. One of the most successful and typical applications of FORPLAN to Australian native forests is the Otway Forest Management Planning Project developed by the co-operation of the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources Victoria and the Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies, Australian National University. This FORPLAN model was implemented on a VAX mainframe computer system. However, FORPLAN models can also be implemented on a PC computer. A PC version of FORPLAN has recently been developed by the Land Management Planning Systems Section, USDA Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO. In order to test the implementation of FORPLAN run on a microcomputer system, a FORPLAN model was developed for the Upper Barwon forest, which is one of ten management units of the Otway forests, based on an integrated multiple-use management approach. For this purpose, both a knowledge of linear programming techniques, and a knowledge of how to implement and utilize FORPLAN on a PC computer are required. The acquisition and application of such knowledge using data consistent with the original Otway FORPLAN model forms the subject of research described in this thesis.