School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Sciences - Theses
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ItemTree growth modelling of Eucalyptus delegatensis (R. T. Bak.) and other eucalyptus species utilising early-aged stand measurements( 1999)Growth modelling methods for Eucalyptus species that can make use of minimal measurement information are scarce but necessary for those involved in small-scale forestry to make informed decisions about investment and management options. A computer program, FARMTREE, is available for evaluating the costs and benefits of trees on farms, however its growth modelling functions could be improved. This thesis achieves this for Eucalyptus delegatensis (R. T. Bak.) and provides a series of stand basal area, survival, diameter distribution and individual tree diameter increment models that could be incorporated into a FARMTREE-like program. While not a major farm forestry species, the models have been related to other Eucalyptus species and when more later-age data become available, the methods used here could be fully applied to more suitable species. A systematic series of growth predictions were made, with estimates from the earlier processes being used in the next. Initially, the Gompertz function was selected as the best of five non-linear equations and used to model stand basal area based on two, early-age measurements, while keeping the asymptotic parameter constant. Survival was modelled using a modified logistic function with basal area and age as the predictor variables. The results from the above procedures were then used to model diameter distributions using a percentile-based parameter recovery procedure. The predicted distributions were assessed by comparing them to the actual cumulative density functions. Comparing the predicted estimates of basal area, mortality and diameter distributions to those produced by FARMTREE showed that the new estimates were better, both for the stands for which the models were developed, and for an independent data set. Individual tree diameter increment models based on distance-independent competition indices were also studied. Overall, the predictions for two-year diameter increment were not as good as for the previously studied areas of growth. This was especially noticeable when observing the results for the verification data set. These poorer results for diameter increment may be because of the less flexible methods used or perhaps partially due to the accumulation of previous prediction errors. The research approaches and functions used are easy to apply, efficient, accurate and require minimal actual growth measurement information. They could be applied to other species in greater detail when more information becomes available and could be incorporated into FARMTREE or a similar package for use by owners and managers of small farm forests with the expectation of providing improved growth predictions.
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ItemAn analysis of radiata pine-pasture agroforestry systems( 1993)Agroforestry, the integration of forestry and agricultural production, requires an understanding of the interactions between trees, agriculture and the environment. This thesis presents an analysis of the effects of a variety of Radiata Pine-pasture agroforestry treatments on soil water, tree growth and form and pasture production together with a series of economic analyses using the FARMTREE model to simulate the various agroforestry regimes established at Carngham in western Victoria. The Carngham study site consists of a replicated randomized block design of five Radiata Pinepasture treatments. The treatments were: open pasture (no trees), 100 trees/ha (8 m x 12 m), 277 trees/ha-wide-spaced (4 m x 9 m), 277 trees/ha-5 row (5 rows, 4 x 3 m, with 10 row gap) and 1650 trees/ha (no pasture). Results, 11 years after tree establishment, show that soil water content under the various treatments has a cyclical pattern of recharge and discharge with an annual amplitude of approximately 100 mm. Within the 100 trees/ha and 277 trees/ha-5 row and 277 trees/ha-wide-spaced treatments, the soil water content was generally significantly less than under open pasture in the upper 170 cm of the upper profile. Within the 1650 trees/ha treatment, the trees utilize water to a depth of at least 270 cm. Tree form was influenced by tree density. Tree diameter decreased but height increased with tree density with the trees of largest volume produced in the 277 trees/ha-wide-spaced treatment. Variable-lift pruning was routinely applied on an annual basis from tree age 6 years, to minimize the internal knotty-core and to maximise the volume of knot-free timber produced. Pruning was virtually completed (to 6 m) after five or six annual treatments, and significant relationships between DOS (diameter over stubs) and various tree parameters were identified as predictors for determining the volume of the knotty-core. Agricultural production was assessed as net pasture production using rising-plate methodology during the major growth seasons. Trees in single rows, as in the 100 trees/ha and 277 trees/ha-wide-spaced treatments, had only a limited effect on net pasture production compared to the zone within 4.5 m from the trees in the 277 trees/ha-5 row treatment where pasture production was significantly less than in open pasture, or in the zone from 4.5 to 18 m from the tree line where there was a possible shelter benefit. Although pasture production was similar between treatments, animal production decreased with increasing tree density. Economic analyses using the FARMTREE model and progressive data from the Carngham trial showed that simulations of the agroforestry regimes at Carngham were more profitable than grazing alone using real discount rates up to 7%. The 277 trees/ha-wide-spaced regime returned the greatest net present values over the range of discount rates used. The optimum rotation length, assuming a 5% real discount rate, was 26 years. Based on the 277 trees/ha-5 row treatment, shelter benefits for agricultural production could be obtained with a distance between belts of 150 to 200 m and by leaving at least 10% of the trees unpruned. The Carngham trial represents one case study of Radiata Pine-pasture agroforestry for south west Victoria. On this basis, the data presented provides information on patterns and trends likely to be encountered in applying agroforestry to other locations in Victoria. The adoption of agroforestry requires ongoing research trials and demonstrations and the Carngham trial has been well planned and maintained and should be seen as a valuable asset for the advancement of agroforestry in Victoria.
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