Investigating the evolution of structural variation in cancer

Abstract

Cancers arise from single progenitor cells that acquire mutations, eventually dividing into mixed populations with distinct genotypes. These populations can be estimated by identifying common mutational profiles, using computational techniques applied to sequencing data from tumour tissue samples. Existing methods have largely focused on single nucleotide variants (SNVs), despite growing evidence of the importance of structural variation (SV) as drivers in certain subtypes of cancer. While some approaches use copy-number aberrant SVs, no method has incorporated balanced rearrangements. To address this, I developed a Bayesian inference approach for estimating SV cancer cell fraction called SVclone. I validated SVclone using in silico mixtures of real samples in known proportions and found that clonal deconvolution using SV breakpoints can yield comparable results to SNV-based clustering. I then applied the method to 2,778 whole-genomes across 39 distinct tumour types, uncovering a subclonal copy-number neutral rearrangement phenotype with decreased overall survival. This clinically relevant finding could not have been found using existing methods.

To further expand the methodology, and demonstrate its application to low data quality contexts, I developed a novel statistical approach to test for clonal differences in high-variance, formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) samples. Together with variant curation strategies to minimise FFPE artefact, I applied the approach to longitudinal samples from a cohort of neo-adjuvant treated prostate cancer patients to investigate whether clonal differences can be inferred in highly noisy data.

This thesis demonstrates that characterising the evolution of structural variation, particularly balanced rearrangements, results in clinically relevant insights. Identifying the patterns and dynamics of structural variation in the context of tumour evolution will ultimately help improve understanding of common pathways of tumour progression. Through this knowledge, cancers driven by SVs will have clearer prognoses and clinical treatment decisions will ultimately be improved, leading to better patient outcomes.