University Library
  • Login
A gateway to Melbourne's research publications
Minerva Access is the University's Institutional Repository. It aims to collect, preserve, and showcase the intellectual output of staff and students of the University of Melbourne for a global audience.
View Item 
  • Minerva Access
  • Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences
  • Doherty Institute
  • Doherty Institute - Research Publications
  • View Item
  • Minerva Access
  • Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences
  • Doherty Institute
  • Doherty Institute - Research Publications
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

    A model of population dynamics with complex household structure and mobility: implications for transmission and control of communicable diseases

    Thumbnail
    Download
    Published version (1.995Mb)

    Citations
    Altmetric
    Author
    Chisholm, RH; Crammond, B; Wu, Y; Bowen, AC; Campbell, PT; Tong, SYC; McVernon, J; Geard, N
    Date
    2020-11-03
    Source Title
    PeerJ
    Publisher
    PEERJ INC
    University of Melbourne Author/s
    Geard, Nicholas; McVernon, Jodie; Campbell, Patricia; Tong, Steven; Chisholm, Rebecca
    Affiliation
    Doherty Institute
    Computing and Information Systems
    Melbourne School of Population and Global Health
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Document Type
    Journal Article
    Citations
    Chisholm, R. H., Crammond, B., Wu, Y., Bowen, A. C., Campbell, P. T., Tong, S. Y. C., McVernon, J. & Geard, N. (2020). A model of population dynamics with complex household structure and mobility: implications for transmission and control of communicable diseases. PEERJ, 8, https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.10203.
    Access Status
    Open Access
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11343/252964
    DOI
    10.7717/peerj.10203
    Abstract
    Households are known to be high-risk locations for the transmission of communicable diseases. Numerous modelling studies have demonstrated the important role of households in sustaining both communicable diseases outbreaks and endemic transmission, and as the focus for control efforts. However, these studies typically assume that households are associated with a single dwelling and have static membership. This assumption does not appropriately reflect households in some populations, such as those in remote Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities, which can be distributed across more than one physical dwelling, leading to the occupancy of individual dwellings changing rapidly over time. In this study, we developed an individual-based model of an infectious disease outbreak in communities with demographic and household structure reflective of a remote Australian Aboriginal community. We used the model to compare the dynamics of unmitigated outbreaks, and outbreaks constrained by a household-focused prophylaxis intervention, in communities exhibiting fluid vs. stable dwelling occupancy. We found that fluid dwelling occupancy can lead to larger and faster outbreaks in modelled scenarios, and may interfere with the effectiveness of household-focused interventions. Our findings suggest that while short-term restrictions on movement between dwellings may be beneficial during outbreaks, in the longer-term, strategies focused on reducing household crowding may be a more effective way to reduce the risk of severe outbreaks occurring in populations with fluid dwelling occupancy.

    Export Reference in RIS Format     

    Endnote

    • Click on "Export Reference in RIS Format" and choose "open with... Endnote".

    Refworks

    • Click on "Export Reference in RIS Format". Login to Refworks, go to References => Import References


    Collections
    • Minerva Elements Records [45770]
    • Melbourne School of Population and Global Health - Research Publications [4369]
    • Computing and Information Systems - Research Publications [1456]
    • Doherty Institute - Research Publications [371]
    Minerva AccessDepositing Your Work (for University of Melbourne Staff and Students)NewsFAQs

    BrowseCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjects
    My AccountLoginRegister
    StatisticsMost Popular ItemsStatistics by CountryMost Popular Authors