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dc.contributor.authorPark, J-W
dc.contributor.authorCheong, H-K
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Y
dc.contributor.authorHa, M
dc.contributor.authorKim, H
dc.contributor.authorKolam, J
dc.contributor.authorInape, K
dc.contributor.authorMueller, I
dc.date.accessioned2020-12-17T03:11:46Z
dc.date.available2020-12-17T03:11:46Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifierpii: eht-31-e2016003
dc.identifier.citationPark, J. -W., Cheong, H. -K., Honda, Y., Ha, M., Kim, H., Kolam, J., Inape, K. & Mueller, I. (2016). Time trend of malaria in relation to climate variability in Papua New Guinea.. Environ Health Toxicol, 31, pp.e2016003-. https://doi.org/10.5620/eht.e2016003.
dc.identifier.issn2233-6567
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11343/254784
dc.description.abstractOBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to describe the regional malaria incidence in relation to the geographic and climatic conditions and describe the effect of altitude on the expansion of malaria over the last decade in Papua New Guinea. METHODS: Malaria incidence was estimated in five provinces from 1996 to 2008 using national health surveillance data. Time trend of malaria incidence was compared with rainfall and minimum/maximum temperature. In the Eastern Highland Province, time trend of malaria incidence over the study period was stratified by altitude. Spatio-temporal pattern of malaria was analyzed. RESULTS: Nationwide, malaria incidence was stationary. Regionally, the incidence increased markedly in the highland region (292.0/100000/yr, p =0.021), and remained stationary in the other regions. Seasonality of the malaria incidence was related with rainfall. Decreasing incidence of malaria was associated with decreasing rainfall in the southern coastal region, whereas it was not evident in the northern coastal region. In the Eastern Highland Province, malaria incidence increased in areas below 1700 m, with the rate of increase being steeper at higher altitudes. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing trend of malaria incidence was prominent in the highland region of Papua New Guinea, while long-term trend was dependent upon baseline level of rainfall in coastal regions.
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherThe Korean Society of Environmental Health and Toxicology
dc.titleTime trend of malaria in relation to climate variability in Papua New Guinea.
dc.typeJournal Article
dc.identifier.doi10.5620/eht.e2016003
melbourne.affiliation.departmentMedical Biology (W.E.H.I.)
melbourne.source.titleEnvironmental Health and Toxicology
melbourne.source.volume31
melbourne.source.pagese2016003-
dc.rights.licenseCC BY-NC
melbourne.elementsid1320794
melbourne.openaccess.pmchttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4825189
melbourne.contributor.authorMueller, Ivo
dc.identifier.eissn2233-6567
melbourne.accessrightsOpen Access


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