Process Mining Meets Causal Machine Learning: Discovering Causal Rules from Event Logs
AuthorDasht Bozorgi, Z; Teinemaa, I; Dumas, M; La Rosa, M; Polyvyanyy, A
EditorvanDongen, B; Montali, M; Wynn, MT
Source TitleProceedings of the 2020 2nd International Conference on Process Mining (ICPM)
AffiliationComputing and Information Systems
Document TypeConference Paper
CitationsDasht Bozorgi, Z., Teinemaa, I., Dumas, M., La Rosa, M. & Polyvyanyy, A. (2020). Process Mining Meets Causal Machine Learning: Discovering Causal Rules from Event Logs. vanDongen, B (Ed.) Montali, M (Ed.) Wynn, MT (Ed.) Proceedings of the 2020 2nd International Conference on Process Mining (ICPM), 00, pp.129-136. IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICPM49681.2020.00028.
Access StatusOpen Access
ARC Grant codeARC/DP180102839
This paper proposes an approach to analyze an event log of a business process in order to generate case-level recommendations of treatments that maximize the probability of a given outcome. Users classify the attributes in the event log into controllable and non-controllable, where the former correspond to attributes that can be altered during an execution of the process (the possible treatments). We use an action rule mining technique to identify treatments that co-occur with the outcome under some conditions. Since action rules are generated based on correlation rather than causation, we then use a causal machine learning technique, specifically uplift trees, to discover subgroups of cases for which a treatment has a high causal effect on the outcome after adjusting for confounding variables. We test the relevance of this approach using an event log of a loan application process and compare our findings with recommendations manually produced by process mining experts.
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