Evidence of survival bias in the association between APOE-Є4 and age at ischemic stroke onset

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2024
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Frontiers in Genetics
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Frontiers Media S.A.
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Melbourne Medical School
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Journal Article
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von Berg, J., McArdle, P. F., Häppölä, P., Haessler, J., Kooperberg, C., Lemmens, R., Pezzini, A., Thijs, V., Pulit, S. L., Kittner, S. J., Mitchell, B. D., de Ridder, J. & van der Laan, S. W. (2024). Evidence of survival bias in the association between APOE-Є4 and age at ischemic stroke onset. Frontiers in Genetics, 15, https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2024.1392061.
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INTRODUCTION: Large genome-wide association studies (GWASs) using case-control study designs have now identified tens of loci associated with ischemic stroke (IS). As a complement to these studies, we performed GWAS in a case-only design to identify loci influencing the age at onset (AAO) of ischemic stroke. METHODS: Analyses were conducted in a discovery cohort of 10,857 ischemic stroke cases using a linear regression framework. We meta-analyzed all SNPs with p-value <1 x 10-5 in a sexcombined or sex-stratified analysis using summary data from two additional replication cohorts. RESULTS: In the women-only meta-analysis, we detected significant evidence for the association of AAO with rs429358, an exonic variant in apolipoprotein E (APOE) that encodes for the APOE-Є4 allele. Each copy of the rs429358:T>C allele was associated with a 1.29-year earlier stroke AAO (meta p-value = 2.48 x 10-11). This APOE variant has previously been associated with increased mortality and ischemic stroke AAO. We hypothesized that the association with AAO may reflect a survival bias attributable to an age-related decrease in mortality among APOE-Є4 carriers and have no association to stroke AAO per se. A simulation study showed that a variant associated with overall mortality might indeed be detected with an AAO analysis. A variant with a 2-fold increase in mortality risk would lead to an observed effect of AAO that is comparable to what we found. DISCUSSION: In conclusion, we detected a robust association of the APOE locus with stroke AAO and provided simulations to suggest that this association may be unrelated to ischemic stroke per se but related to a general survival bias.
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